# McConnell vs. McGrath for Kentucky Senate seat!

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [July 9, 2019, 3:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773 "2019-07-09T15:03:42Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 5

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**Author:** ![CarnalK](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnalk/32/486_2.png) [@CarnalK](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CarnalK)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2019, 3:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/81 "2019-08-08T15:36:34Z")

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You aren’t going to see many early Kentucky polls. They don’t tend to poll a lot for races in such partisan territory. The only one I see is from June before her announcement and it assumed Jim Gray would be the D nominee. McConnell +8.  
[http://www86.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/ky/kentucky\_senate\_mcconnell\_vs\_gray-6919.html](http://www86.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/ky/kentucky_senate_mcconnell_vs_gray-6919.html)

That same poll gave Trump a 60% strong/somewhat approval.

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**Author:** ![Shodan](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/9f8e36/32.png) [@Shodan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shodan)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2019, 5:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/82 "2019-08-08T17:01:27Z")

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> [@Intergalactic\_Gladiator](#):
>
> McConnel’s campaign Twitter account was just suspended for posting protestors swearing outside his home.

I wonder what the logic was on that one.

People gather outside your home, wish that you had broken your neck, and say that you should be stabbed in the heart, and McConnell’s account gets suspended for mentioning it. Why doesn’t Twitter want people to know that it happened?

Regards,  
Shodan

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2019, 5:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/83 "2019-08-08T17:22:55Z")

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> [@Shodan](#):
>
> I wonder what the logic was on that one.
> 
> People gather outside your home, wish that you had broken your neck, and say that you should be stabbed in the heart, and McConnell’s account gets suspended for mentioning it. Why doesn’t Twitter want people to know that it happened?
> 
> Regards,  
> Shodan

Because twitter has dumb rules that are applied inconsistently.

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**Author:** ![bobot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bobot/32/21622_2.png) [@bobot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bobot)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2019, 5:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/84 "2019-08-08T17:35:47Z")

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Trump’s probably laughing it up. “Ha ha! You should see the shit I’m able to post!”

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**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2019, 8:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/85 "2019-08-08T20:28:55Z")

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Do we actually have a statement from Twitter as to which posting(s) caused the ban? It looks to me like maybe he _was_ banned for the tombstone thing, and he’s just lying when he says that it’s because of his honest account of what people are saying to him.

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**Author:** ![CarnalK](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnalk/32/486_2.png) [@CarnalK](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CarnalK)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2019, 9:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/86 "2019-08-08T21:11:02Z")

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> [@Chronos](#):
>
> Do we actually have a statement from Twitter as to which posting(s) caused the ban? It looks to me like maybe he _was_ banned for the tombstone thing, and he’s just lying when he says that it’s because of his honest account of what people are saying to him.

And why does it look that way to you?

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**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\
**Post date:** [August 9, 2019, 2:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/87 "2019-08-09T14:24:57Z")

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Because Mitch McConnell lying is usually the safe bet, and because he did in fact commit the offense that Twitter claimed he did, just in a different post.

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**Author:** ![Snowboarder\_Bo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/snowboarder_bo/32/229_2.png) [@Snowboarder\_Bo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snowboarder_Bo)\
**Post date:** [December 28, 2019, 12:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/88 "2019-12-28T00:23:23Z")

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[Amy McGrath filed her paperwork today; she is now officially running against Mitch McConnell in the 2020 election](https://apnews.com/327ffb449dcca61d978a543688914cd4):

> [@](#):
>
> Calling her party’s victory in the Kentucky governor’s race a jolt of momentum for her own bid to unseat a Republican incumbent, Democrat Amy McGrath on Friday officially filed to challenge Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell in what looms as a bruising, big-spending campaign next year.
> 
> McGrath, a retired Marine combat pilot, touted many of the same issues — health care and good-paying jobs — that Andy Beshear highlighted in ousting Republican incumbent Matt Bevin in last month’s election for governor. Beshear ran a “great campaign” that focused on issues that hit home for Kentuckians, McGrath said in a phone interview with The Associated Press.
> 
> “It absolutely gives us momentum because it shows that against an unpopular Republican incumbent, a Democrat can win,” McGrath said. “And we win by talking about those bread-and-butter issues that Kentuckians really care about.
> 
> “And that’s what I’m going to be talking about over and over again,” she said. “With Mitch McConnell, we’re not going to get any progress on these things.”
> 
> McGrath became the latest in a crowded field of candidates from both parties to file for McConnell’s seat. McGrath, who lost a hotly contested congressional race last year, has shown her mettle as a fundraiser, raking in nearly $11 million in her first few months as a Senate candidate, giving her a huge advantage over other Democratic candidates. McConnell has his own bulging campaign fund.

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**Author:** ![elucidator](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/8edcca/32.png) [@elucidator](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elucidator)\
**Post date:** [December 28, 2019, 2:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/89 "2019-12-28T02:22:04Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> …McConnell has his own bulging campaign fund.

The AP seldom shows such a gift for droll, ironic understatement.

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**Author:** ![Bijou\_Drains](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bijou_drains/32/2814_2.png) [@Bijou\_Drains](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bijou_Drains)\
**Post date:** [December 28, 2019, 12:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/90 "2019-12-28T12:18:43Z")

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I wonder what Moscow Mitch will come up with to attempt to swift boat her.

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [March 6, 2020, 4:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/91 "2020-03-06T04:07:58Z")

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Two polls have now put her within one point:[KY-Sen: Two Polls Confirm A Toss-Up Race Between Amy McGrath (D) & Moscow Mitch (R)](https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/24/1921639/-KY-Sen-Two-Polls-Confirm-A-Toss-Up-Race-Between-Amy-McGrath-D-Moscow-Mitch-R)  
\*Two statewide polls conducted last month show the U.S. Senate race in Kentucky is winnable for former Marine combat pilot Amy McGrath against Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.

In January, Garin-Hart-Yang conducted a live telephone survey among a representative sample of 802 likely voters (margin of error +3.5%), and Change Research conducted an online survey the following week among 1,281 likely voters (margin of error +2.8%).

Both polls show a strong dissatisfaction with Sen. Mitch McConnell and his vulnerability to Amy McGrath’s candidacy, and highlight a very competitive Senate race, with McGrath and McConnell tied in the Change Research poll and McConnell only up by 3% in the Garin-Hart-Yang poll, well within the margin of error.\*

This would be soooooo nice. I sent her $5.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Snowboarder\_Bo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/snowboarder_bo/32/229_2.png) [@Snowboarder\_Bo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snowboarder_Bo)\
**Post date:** [March 7, 2020, 9:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/92 "2020-03-07T21:26:08Z")

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Good news, everyone!

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**Author:** ![squeegee](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/squeegee/32/14537_2.png) [@squeegee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/squeegee)\
**Post date:** [March 8, 2020, 12:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/93 "2020-03-08T00:19:53Z")

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> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> This would be soooooo nice. I sent her $5.

I just sent her $25. Chip in, people!

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**Author:** ![Procrustus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/procrustus/32/2994_2.png) [@Procrustus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Procrustus)\
**Post date:** [March 8, 2020, 12:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/94 "2020-03-08T00:25:29Z")

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> [@squeegee](#):
>
> I just sent her $25. Chip in, people!

I sent $50. Who’s in for $100?

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**Author:** ![Chingon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chingon/32/17645_2.png) [@Chingon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chingon)\
**Post date:** [March 8, 2020, 12:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/95 "2020-03-08T00:49:29Z")

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Lol it will be a miracle if she finishes within 10 points.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [March 8, 2020, 8:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/96 "2020-03-08T20:39:39Z")

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> [@Chingon](#):
>
> Lol it will be a miracle if she finishes within 10 points.

The GOP will be spread thin in 2020. They have to pass Jim crow laws to disenfranchise minority voters, fix voting machines, work with the Kremlin to spread lies about whoever the Dems pick- and the will have to be spent in places normally solid Red, like Virginia, North Carolina and even Texas. Beto will make sure Texas is in play, even if reddish-purple. How much and time can they spend on Moscow Mitch- who is hated by many of his own party?  
As Prince Humperdinck put it: _“Tyron. You know how much I love watching you work, but I’ve got my country’s 500th anniversary to plan, my wedding to arrange, my wife to murder, and Gilda to blame for it. I’m swamped.”_

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Chingon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chingon/32/17645_2.png) [@Chingon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chingon)\
**Post date:** [March 8, 2020, 10:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/97 "2020-03-08T22:01:36Z")

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Real Republicans don’t hate Mitch, that’s an absurd statement.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![RioRico](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/f04885/32.png) [@RioRico](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RioRico)\
**Post date:** [March 9, 2020, 1:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/98 "2020-03-09T01:14:05Z")

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> [@Chingon](#):
>
> Lol it will be a miracle if she finishes within 10 points.

I clicked on [Moscow Mitch’s RCP page](https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/mitch_mcconnell_favorableunfavorable-6672.html) just now for his in-state ratings: 29% favorable, 50% unfavorable, a -21% spread. Which means, don’t get over-excited. Much shit can and will still go down.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [March 9, 2020, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/99 "2020-03-09T02:00:31Z")

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> [@Chingon](#):
>
> Real Republicans don’t hate Mitch, that’s an absurd statement.

Yes, he is hated in the GOP Senate because he is too controlling.

and he is unpopular in his own state.

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**Author:** ![Chisquirrel](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/6bbea6/32.png) [@Chisquirrel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chisquirrel)\
**Post date:** [March 9, 2020, 2:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcconnell-vs-mcgrath-for-kentucky-senate-seat/836773/100 "2020-03-09T02:36:18Z")

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> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> Yes, he is hated in the GOP Senate because he is too controlling.
> 
> and he is unpopular in his own state.

So hated that there’s not even 4 Republican Senators can be found to remove him as Senate Majority Leader.

McConnell is the willing lightning rod for Senate Republicans to do whatever they want and be able to fully blame someone with a previously-thought unassailable office.

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