The Reds lost 98 games last year, so, yeah, they were just about as bad as the Phillies. Unless all their young starting pitchers turn out to be quality major leaguers (which I doubt), and Billy Hamilton learns to hit (which I doubt), and 34-year-old Brandon Phillips doesn’t start showing his age, I see no reason they can’t be equally as bad or even worse.
The only real improvement from last season is that their catcher (Mesoraco) is healthy. So far.