# Mortality statistics

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mortality-statistics/291456>\
**Category:** Factual Questions\
**Created:** [February 23, 2005, 1:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mortality-statistics/291456 "2005-02-23T01:46:31Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 5\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![Pork\_Pie\_Hat](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/58f4c7/32.png) [@Pork\_Pie\_Hat](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pork_Pie_Hat)\
**Post date:** [February 23, 2005, 1:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mortality-statistics/291456/1 "2005-02-23T01:46:31Z")

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What is the age at which a human being has the fewest chances of dying?

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**Author:** ![meanoldman](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/7ab992/32.png) [@meanoldman](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/meanoldman)\
**Post date:** [February 23, 2005, 1:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mortality-statistics/291456/2 "2005-02-23T01:54:49Z")

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Newer data likely exists.

> **[nvsr49\_12.pdf](https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr49/nvsr49_12.pdf)**
>
> 1761.70 KB

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**Author:** ![AskNott](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asknott/32/5790_2.png) [@AskNott](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AskNott)\
**Post date:** [February 23, 2005, 5:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mortality-statistics/291456/3 "2005-02-23T05:49:01Z")

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If you are alive today, your chance of dying yesterday is extremely small.

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**Author:** ![Cunctator](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/43a26b/32.png) [@Cunctator](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Cunctator)\
**Post date:** [February 23, 2005, 7:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mortality-statistics/291456/4 "2005-02-23T07:19:13Z")

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When I studied life contingencies as part of my actuarial degree, the lowest population mortality rates were experienced at about ages 8, 9 and 10. I’ve just had a quick look at the latest copy of the Australian Life Tables and this still appears to be the case.

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**Author:** ![antechinus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/fbc32d/32.png) [@antechinus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/antechinus)\
**Post date:** [February 23, 2005, 11:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mortality-statistics/291456/5 "2005-02-23T23:59:50Z")

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A logarithmic curve of ‘probability of death within one year’ versus ‘age in years’ can [be found here (pdf)](http://www.aga.gov.au/publications/ALT1995-97.pdf).

Curve drops rapidly from birth to the lowest probability at around 10 years old. The curve then rises, flattens out a quite a bit from 20 to 35 and then rises fairly straight again towards probability of 1 curving asymptopically towards 1 after about 85.

The probability of death in the first year is the same as about age 55-60.

Notice there is a little dip again for females from about 20-24. I think this is a more recent occurence - an older graph I have does not show this.
