The neocons never had any power in terms of electoral success. Bush wasn’t a neocon when he was elected in 2000 and I really don’t think he’s a neocon now. Aside from a few political appointees I can’t really think of many prominent neoconservatives who have held elected office.
In fact, Bush was about as traditionally conservative as you could get in his pre-9/11 views when it came to foreign involvement, and that was, as little as possible.
Furthermore, I think the total numbers of “neoconservatives” has always been very small. The neoconservative ideology is actually very out of whack not only with what was the old “core” Republican views on foreign relations but very out of whack with what most Americans in general think is the correct way to go about foreign relations.
Neocon is a word that gets bandied about a lot but I am willing to bet a large percentage of Americans don’t actually know what it means. If you asked the average Republican what he thought about proactively invading other countries around the world to shape them to our values most would probably not be too favorable towards the idea. The old Republican ideal was one of as little involvement as possible, although obviously under the Cold War that was still quite a lot. Personally I’m not a neocon or an isolationist, though I’d have probably been an isolationist prior to WWII.
I think what happened with 9/11 was the governing party was the GOP, and the only faction within the GOP with a strong, coherent philosophical view on foreign relations were the neoconservatives, so by default their views began to shape how we responded to 9/11.
That’s one area where the GOP was hurt by not having a President for eight years, we hadn’t really formulated foreign policy in a long time, and the only group within the GOP that really had strong ideas about foreign policy were neocons.
I think an established foreign policy is something the GOP is sorely lacking. Throughout the Cold War both the GOP and the Dems basically wanted to do whatever it took to get the upper hand over the Soviets, while we disagreed with the specifics sometimes, over all both sides were very much agreed on the overall goal, at least the mainstream wings of both parties. Once the Cold War was over I think George H.W. Bush was going in the right direction with his “New World Order” and etc. He was asserting that collective security was still just as serious as it was during the Cold War, and that just because there’s a power vacuum in the place of the USSR doesn’t mean every tinpot dictator can start invading countries willy nilly.
But then Bush lost reelection and Clinton for his eight years worked out fairly well when it came to foreign relations.
But in all honesty 9/11 was a watershed event in foreign relations and we really need to find a way to deal with the issues that have come up because of 9/11 and because of the very real and growing divide between the Islamic world and the Western world. I think neoconservatism is not the answer, but I think we’ll continue to be in bad shape until some sort of answer is developed. I still give the neocons big props on having a clear, consistent ideology. It’s something that the rest of the GOP doesn’t have, nor do the Dems at the moment.