# My predictions for next Tuesday (Wisconsin specific)

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/my-predictions-for-next-tuesday-wisconsin-specific/558361>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [October 26, 2010, 12:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/my-predictions-for-next-tuesday-wisconsin-specific/558361 "2010-10-26T00:35:35Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 8\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![SanibelMan](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/a88e4f/32.png) [@SanibelMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SanibelMan)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2010, 7:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/my-predictions-for-next-tuesday-wisconsin-specific/558361/21 "2010-11-02T19:20:58Z")

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I voted for Feingold and Barrett, but my guess is that I moved to Wisconsin just in time for it to turn into a red state. Might as well have just stayed in Kansas.

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**Author:** ![Sitnam](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/6a8cbe/32.png) [@Sitnam](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sitnam)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2010, 8:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/my-predictions-for-next-tuesday-wisconsin-specific/558361/22 "2010-11-02T20:00:10Z")

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I think Kind is safe, Feingold will eek out a win thanks to his voting record. In my opinion Scott Walker really looked good in his debates with Barrett and Tom’s negative mudslinging really turned me off.

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**Author:** ![Sitnam](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/6a8cbe/32.png) [@Sitnam](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sitnam)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2010, 8:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/my-predictions-for-next-tuesday-wisconsin-specific/558361/23 "2010-11-02T20:02:50Z")

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> [@Measure\_for\_Measure](#):
>
> 538 puts the odds at Feingold maintaining his seat at something like 4%. [http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/](http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/)

What are you talking about? You cite gives Johnson a 97.3% chance of winning.

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**Author:** ![pkbites](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pkbites/32/204_2.png) [@pkbites](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pkbites)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2010, 2:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/my-predictions-for-next-tuesday-wisconsin-specific/558361/24 "2010-11-03T02:26:19Z")

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> [@Sitnam](#):
>
> I think Kind is safe, Feingold will eek out a win thanks to his voting record.

If his record is so great, why has he been trailing for so long?

Johnson has been ahead in the polls for months, currently by 9 points.  
Could you please explain why the polls would be so wrong on this particular race?

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**Author:** ![pkbites](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pkbites/32/204_2.png) [@pkbites](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pkbites)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2010, 2:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/my-predictions-for-next-tuesday-wisconsin-specific/558361/25 "2010-11-03T02:52:34Z")

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> [@Sitnam](#):
>
> Feingold will eek out a win thanks to his voting record.

> [@pkbites](#):
>
> If his record is so great, why has he been trailing for so long?
> 
> Johnson has been ahead in the polls for months, currently by 9 points.  
> Could you please explain why the polls would be so wrong on this particular race?

NBC has just called it for Johnson, but please answer my question any way.

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**Author:** ![Enuma\_Elish](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5e9695/32.png) [@Enuma\_Elish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Enuma_Elish)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2010, 7:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/my-predictions-for-next-tuesday-wisconsin-specific/558361/26 "2010-11-03T19:54:52Z")

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Pkbites - I bow to your prognostication skills! You da man!

You had a much better grasp on the Feingold - Johnson race than I did.

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**Author:** ![jayjay](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jayjay/32/6765_2.png) [@jayjay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jayjay)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2010, 8:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/my-predictions-for-next-tuesday-wisconsin-specific/558361/27 "2010-11-03T20:04:06Z")

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Yeah, congratulations on having a pedophile-defender representing you in the Senate.

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**Author:** ![pkbites](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pkbites/32/204_2.png) [@pkbites](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pkbites)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2010, 10:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/my-predictions-for-next-tuesday-wisconsin-specific/558361/28 "2010-11-03T22:55:56Z")

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> [@Enuma\_Elish](#):
>
> Pkbites - I bow to your prognostication skills! You da man!
> 
> You had a much better grasp on the Feingold - Johnson race than I did.

Heh. I hit on everything except Ron Kind. He squeaked by.

Most predicted they would take the State Senate, but nobody predicted the Republicans would also take the Assembly except me. Some real heavy hitters in the Democratic party were clipped to pull it off.

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