# Mystery Mafia -- Game Thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Created:** [August 17, 2011, 2:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025 "2011-08-17T14:03:37Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 190

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**Author:** ![lilflower](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/ecccb3/32.png) [@lilflower](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/lilflower)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 8:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3782 "2011-08-29T20:52:11Z")

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Good catch, **septimus**!

**unvote Episkey  
vote Idle Thoughts**

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**Author:** ![Idle\_Thoughts](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/838e76/32.png) [@Idle\_Thoughts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Idle_Thoughts)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 8:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3783 "2011-08-29T20:53:19Z")

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Septimus is a wolf too. 😉  
No, seriously!

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**Author:** ![Episkey](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7ba0ec/32.png) [@Episkey](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Episkey)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 8:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3784 "2011-08-29T20:54:03Z")

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> [@LightFoot](#):
>
> No t sure how it confirms any thing  
> both could be true/false unless I’ve missed something?

So you think Idle makes a false claim saying NAF is a villager if he is a villager there?

I do not. Therefore I think the one about NAF was correct and he’s a wolf. That means mine is the false message, which said “wolf”, and should clear it up for everyone.

If you want to wait until idle and naf flip wolf to clear me go ahead, but we’ve got this game on lockdown now.

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**Author:** ![LightFoot](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/8e8cbc/32.png) [@LightFoot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LightFoot)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 8:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3785 "2011-08-29T20:54:39Z")

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Does anyone else find it “interesting” that \*\* Idle \*\* mucked up his win-con but typed \*\* NAFF’s \*\* correctly (for Town)  
We may have to throw all these bits of information out with the bathwater

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**Author:** ![Idle\_Thoughts](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/838e76/32.png) [@Idle\_Thoughts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Idle_Thoughts)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 8:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3786 "2011-08-29T20:55:02Z")

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We talked about my slip on the scum boards, see…and we figured it’d get someone a heap of Town Cred to point it out. We figured **septimus** should. True story!

But by all means, lynch **NAF** next…not **septimus**. 🙂

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**Author:** ![Episkey](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7ba0ec/32.png) [@Episkey](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Episkey)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 8:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3787 "2011-08-29T20:57:22Z")

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ok im heading out for a while.

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**Author:** ![lilflower](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/ecccb3/32.png) [@lilflower](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/lilflower)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 8:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3788 "2011-08-29T20:57:57Z")

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CORRECTED CORRECTED Summary of message shenanigans (the parentheses denote what we know about the content of the message but doesn’t say anything about the recipient).

Night 1:  
Scuba Ben gets a message that Jan is a villager (veracity unknown)  
Weedy gets a message that Texcat is a villager and a mason (confirmed true)  
Giraffe gets a message that Blaster is a villager (confirmed false)  
Idle gets a message that Dancecat is a villager (confirmed true)  
\*\*Idle claims he \*\* gets a message that NAF is a villager and a mimic (unknown)  
Jan gets a message that gnarlycharlie is a wolf (confirmed false)

We know Dancecat was able to send her alignment so that accounts for Idle’s message.  
We know Blaster could send false alignment so that accounts for Giraffe’s message  
Night 2:  
PCM gets a message that he is a villager and the apothecary (unknown)  
AskthePizzaGuy gets a message that NAF is a wolf (unknown; contradicted by Idle)  
AskthePizzaGuy gets a message that Episkey is a wolf (unknown)  
Donkx4 gets a message that Dancecat is a villager (confirmed true)  
Ed gets a message that he is a villager and a power booster (unknown)  
**Idle claims he** gets a message that Drain Bead is a villager and a reflector (unknown)  
Giraffe gets a message that pwnsall is a villager

On Night 1, we had two messages with both role and alignment. Idle is pretty sure his is correct (about himself) and know that the message about Texcat is correct. So the question here is why PCM got one that doesn’t seem right (i.e., how did he get a message about role and alignment that wasn’t correct). Also, on this Night there are three role/alignment messages and only two on Night 1. I’m not sure that means but it’s curious.  
Also, based on other claims, it seems that Ed is the power booster so at least that part of his message seems correct. And if we believe Idle, that leaves Episkey and PCM as the odd men out.

Night 3:  
Scuba Ben gets a message that Weedy is a villager (unknown)  
**Idle claims he** gets a message that he is a villager and a detective (unknown)  
Episkey gets a message that pwnsall is a wolf (unknown; contradicts Giraffe’s message)  
[/QUOTE]

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**Author:** ![Scuba\_Ben](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/278dde/32.png) [@Scuba\_Ben](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Scuba_Ben)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 8:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3789 "2011-08-29T20:59:31Z")

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> [@Drain\_Bead](#):
>
> Fascinating. And very useful, thank you. I have to admit, I laughed at the recursiveness of my self-targeting last Night. I wonder if that is still bouncing back and forth from me to me. 😉
> 
> My N2 target was a mistake, knowing my role…but he’s dead now so it doesn’t matter. My N1 target was **Ben** , so whatever he did N1 reflected back onto him. I’ll need my memory refreshed as to whether or not we know what that was, because I’m having major trouble keeping track of everything. Blah.

That’s interesting, **Drain Bead**. I had previously said I had targeted **gnarlycharlie** on Night 1. Now you’re saying you bounced me onto myself (though you didn’t know it at the time). I’ve added this info into my table of what I’ve done, what info I’ve received, and what info regarding my actions I’ve said.

This helps me determine what roles I don’t have, and whittles down the aleph-null list of roles I might have.

In other matters, regarding **Idle** being outed in a Scummy slip-up. I suggest everybody on the Idle lynch-fest post an alternate non-vote, of the other player you consider most likely to be Scum. This will help future analysis.  
AOP: Idle’s trying to muddy the waters now. He’s fingering NAF, septimus, and pwnsall as Scum, and ed as third party. I think we’re better off taking everything he says with a large dose of salt.

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**Author:** ![LightFoot](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/8e8cbc/32.png) [@LightFoot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LightFoot)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 8:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3790 "2011-08-29T20:59:55Z")

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> [@Episkey](#):
>
> So you think Idle makes a false claim saying NAF is a villager if he is a villager there?

Could be used for Town Cred later on

> [@](#):
>
> I do not. Therefore I think the one about NAF was correct and he’s a wolf. That means mine is the false message, which said “wolf”, and should clear it up for everyone.

One being true does not make the other false and visa/versa

> [@](#):
>
> If you want to wait until idle and naf flip wolf to clear me go ahead, but we’ve got this game on lockdown now.

What others flip will not clear anyone for me at nthis time.

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**Author:** ![Scuba\_Ben](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/278dde/32.png) [@Scuba\_Ben](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Scuba_Ben)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 9:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3791 "2011-08-29T21:01:12Z")

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Addition to the list of messages.

3770: **Idle Thoughts received a message** that **special ed** is a third party of unknown type.

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**Author:** ![lilflower](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/ecccb3/32.png) [@lilflower](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/lilflower)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 9:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3792 "2011-08-29T21:01:34Z")

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> [@Episkey](#):
>
> This really helps us out for figuring this stuff out:
> 
> 1. Idle made a fake cop claim apparently involving NAF being villager when everyone else was unsure whether NAF’s or My pm from pizza was fake.
> 
> 2. Idle got people to instantly vote me based on this claim
> 
> 3. It confirms that mine was the false statement to EVERYONE.
> 
> 4. It makes me 100000% sure Pwnsall is a VILLAGER.
> 
> Now we should go back and look at who jumped all over my wagon once idle claimed that, as I think we’ll find a wolf or two there.

Well, I’m on that wagon (and I’m not a wolf) but you have to admit that **Idle** ’s claim was pretty convincing. I think if we had lynched you and you came up town, we probably would have lynched \*\*NAF \*\*next.

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**Author:** ![Suburban\_Plankton](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/suburban_plankton/32/219_2.png) [@Suburban\_Plankton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Suburban_Plankton)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 9:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3793 "2011-08-29T21:03:00Z")

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Two Scum slips in two Days? I almost don’t believe it. But I’ll take it 🙂  
So do we believe **Idle’s** claim that \*\*NAF \*\*is a mimic? I’ll admit that I haven’t taken the time to work out how all of the recent reveals fit together, and I won’t have time to sit down and diagram it all out until after work today…and with Idle being outed as a Wolf, I’m not sure how much trust we can put in the things he told us.

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**Author:** ![lilflower](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/ecccb3/32.png) [@lilflower](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/lilflower)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 9:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3794 "2011-08-29T21:05:32Z")

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> [@Scuba\_Ben](#):
>
> Addition to the list of messages.
> 
> 3770: **Idle Thoughts received a message** that **special ed** is a third party of unknown type.

I’m kind of dismissing anything \*\*Idle \*\*said after being caught. Do you really think this could be true?

Now what does this mean for **Drain Bead**? Would \*\*Idle \*\*have taken the chance to post claims on all scum buddies? Could either \*\*NAF \*\*and/or **Drain Bead** ’s claims be true?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Suburban\_Plankton](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/suburban_plankton/32/219_2.png) [@Suburban\_Plankton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Suburban_Plankton)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 9:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3795 "2011-08-29T21:06:09Z")

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OK, I should have probably caught up all the way before posting.

At this point, I’m taking \*everything \*that \*\*Idle \*\*told us off the table. Then I’ll try adding them all back again one at a time and see what makes sense and what doesn’t.

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**Author:** ![Idle\_Thoughts](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/838e76/32.png) [@Idle\_Thoughts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Idle_Thoughts)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 9:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3796 "2011-08-29T21:06:43Z")

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**Unvote Episkey**  
Vote Special Ed

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**Author:** ![lilflower](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/ecccb3/32.png) [@lilflower](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/lilflower)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 9:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3797 "2011-08-29T21:09:24Z")

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\*\*Ed \*\*says he targeted \*\*bufftabby \*\*on Night 2. Did \*\*buff \*\*ever confirm that?

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**Author:** ![Idle\_Thoughts](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/838e76/32.png) [@Idle\_Thoughts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Idle_Thoughts)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 9:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3798 "2011-08-29T21:11:24Z")

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> [@Suburban\_Plankton](#):
>
> At this point, I’m taking \*everything \*that \*\*Idle \*\*told us off the table. Then I’ll try adding them all back again one at a time and see what makes sense and what doesn’t.

Hey, I told you dancecat was Town and she was Town, wasn’t she?  
I’m always 100 percent honest, even as scum!

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**Author:** ![Giraffe](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/giraffe/32/129_2.png) [@Giraffe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Giraffe)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 9:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3799 "2011-08-29T21:15:00Z")

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> [@septimus](#):
>
> A villager wins _by achieving parity with the village_ ?
> 
> This looks like a careless edit of a Scum role PM.
> 
> Vote: Idle Thoughts

Another great moment in Mafia excellence for me: I read this post and my first thought was “septimus is trying to lynch a claimed Detective? How scummy can you get?!” Then I read the next post. And my first thought to that was “huh, Idle is being sarcastic, that’s a weird response.”

**Idle** , you should have waited, I’d have probably gotten a septimus wagon going to save you. :smack:

**Idle Thoughts**

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Scuba\_Ben](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/278dde/32.png) [@Scuba\_Ben](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Scuba_Ben)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 9:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3800 "2011-08-29T21:16:22Z")

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> [@lilflower](#):
>
> I’m kind of dismissing anything \*\*Idle \*\*said after being caught. Do you really think this could be true?

That’s why I tagged it in red. Anything Idle said could have been a lie.

However, I have reason to suspect this item to be accurate.

1. I had previously been leaning Town on Drain Bead.
2. Idle’s claimed role for Drain Bead resolves an inconsistency in my notes.

And here’s the fun part: **IF** Idle accurately reported the message he received about Drain Bead **and if** that message is valid, **THEN** at least one Wolf is within the set: { **Episkey, NAF1138** }.

I base this conclusion on that resolved inconsistency in my notes.

Now here’s the problem\ in this: There are two big IF conditions there. Messages have been proven to be of varying validity, and we think there is an insane or paranoid whisperer out there. AOP – Idle says he’s honest even as Scum. Of course he’s Scum, so how honest _can_ he be?

Here’s a thought. Idle could be a Scum Mystic, and receiving the investigation results of another Mystic. Stranger things have happened in this game.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![pwnsall](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/7feea3/32.png) [@pwnsall](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pwnsall)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2011, 9:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mystery-mafia-game-thread/593025/3801 "2011-08-29T21:17:43Z")

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eh, i’m not sure about assuming anything about NAF

remember i got a whisper about me that day that was correct

he did sort of disappear when someone pointed out the slip tho

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