[QUOTE=RTFirefly]
I’m still trying to figure out how. If that’s their attitude, we can just blow up their moon base from Earth. Neither side’s gained an edge in keeping the other from being there by getting there first.
Maybe that demonstrates that we shouldn’t be the nation that colonizes space.
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We have never excluded anyone else from space. We have no guarantees that our competitors feel the same way. We go first, it’s almost assured that everyone gets a piece of the pie. Someone else goes first, and by your own example, we may have to start WWIII to keep our options open.
It baffles me that these two scenarios could be equivalent in anyone’s eyes.
[QUOTE=RTFirefly]
OK, first about 2/3 of the budget is nondiscretionary. Social Security, Medicare, stuff like that. So there goes $3.33.
Then there’s defense. Hopefully we can get that down to 50¢ again before too long, but IIRC it’s a bit more now. So what we’ve really got is $1.20 to play with.
3¢ out of a buck-twenty is nontrivial already, and you’re proposing to perhaps triple it. So that’s 7.5% of the nondefense discretionary budget. Very nontrivial. Blowing wads like that can indeed stop you from doing many worthwhile projects.
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I never said it ought to be tripled. I merely provided the math showed tripling it would still not amount to a great deal of the total federal budget. NASA does amazing amounts of stuff with the budget they have, and I can’t imagine that their budget would even need to be doubled, much less tripled.
I used tripled because you said the NASA budget would skyrocket. I’m still waiting for any historical precedent which suggests that’s even remotely likely to happen.
[QUOTE=RTFirefly]
And I would bet the house that waiting 50 years and starting our manned space exploration program then, would cost us approximately nothing in terms of “long run” (i.e. 300+ years) payoff.
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Save, of course, for the necessary military buildup for going toe-to-toe with China as in your above scenario.
[QUOTE=RTFirefly]
Guess what: when Columbus sailed from Europe, he knew he’d be able to drink the water and breathe the air, once he got to where he was going. He knew there would be game to kill and eat.
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Inane analogy yourself.
Columbus was doing what most people thought was physically impossible and logistically insurmountable and had to spend an inordinate amount of time trying to wheedle the necessary resources out of the unimaginative.
The fact that, in hindsight, he couldn’t have been more wrong about what he was getting himself into, I’m sure makes you think the expenditure was not worth it, 500 years later, huh?
[QUOTE=RTFirefly]
The physical challenges of the European settling of the Americas was a matter of getting people over here, and getting a regular crop cycle going. What would work in Europe would mostly work here.
That will NOT be true on the Moon, or Mars, or elsewhere.
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Earth and lunar mineral composition are nearly identical, and there’s every indication that a decent amount of moisture is available. If we can provide a controlled atmosphere, which there is every indication we can figure out how to do, what works here will work there.
As for Mars, they have a 24-hour day, more gravity than the moon, and as we just recently found out, occasional running liquid water. If we can figure out the moon, a much harsher environment, Mars, but for the long-distance logistics, will be a piece of cake.
Antarctic bases will help figure some of this out, but not everything. Not large-scale heat dissipation in a vacuum, not long-term exposure to reduced gravity. Some of the research has to be done off-planet.
But don’t worry. Remember, the money spent is not printed out and stuffed into the rockets as kindling. It’s all paid to flesh and blood people here on Earth.