# Nevada Caucus

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [February 6, 2012, 1:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917 "2012-02-06T01:32:23Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 12\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/q/f04885/32.png) [@Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Qin_Shi_Huangdi)\
**Post date:** [February 6, 2012, 1:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917/1 "2012-02-06T01:32:23Z")

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Surprised there was no thead on it.

Unsurprisingly it was a Romney win but so far his margin of victory seems to worse than in 2008 but than again the votes from Clark County aren’t fully in yet. I wish Ron Paul had gotten second place rather than the Pillsbury Doughspeaker, at least he beat Santorum though.

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**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [February 6, 2012, 2:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917/2 "2012-02-06T02:36:29Z")

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Going by [this,](http://www.2012presidentialelectionnews.com/2012-republican-primary-schedule/) it’s all caucuses for a while, except for a “beauty contest” primary in Missouri 02/07/12 to be followed by a caucus. The next actual primaries will be 02/28/12, Arizona and Michigan.

Is there any pattern known for caucuses producing different results from primaries?

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**Author:** ![appleciders](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/85f322/32.png) [@appleciders](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/appleciders)\
**Post date:** [February 6, 2012, 4:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917/3 "2012-02-06T04:58:54Z")

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Caucuses usually give an advantage to candidates with the best organization and candidates with the most enthusiastic voters. To me, that gives the edge to Romney and Paul, respectively.

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**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [February 6, 2012, 3:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917/4 "2012-02-06T15:42:00Z")

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> [@appleciders](#):
>
> Caucuses usually give an advantage to candidates with the best organization and candidates with the most enthusiastic voters. To me, that gives the edge to Romney and Paul, respectively.

I thought **Gingrich** had the most enthusiastic voters.

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**Author:** ![appleciders](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/85f322/32.png) [@appleciders](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/appleciders)\
**Post date:** [February 7, 2012, 1:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917/5 "2012-02-07T01:16:46Z")

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> [@BrainGlutton](#):
>
> I thought **Gingrich** had the most enthusiastic voters.

Uh, compared to Paul? Are you kidding? Paul has long enjoyed a small base of fanatic support, and that hasn’t changed in this cycle. Gingrich’s supporters are more enthusiastic than Romney’s, but not Paul’s.

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**Author:** ![Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/q/f04885/32.png) [@Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Qin_Shi_Huangdi)\
**Post date:** [February 7, 2012, 2:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917/6 "2012-02-07T02:32:39Z")

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> [@appleciders](#):
>
> Uh, compared to Paul? Are you kidding? Paul has long enjoyed a small base of fanatic support, and that hasn’t changed in this cycle. Gingrich’s supporters are more enthusiastic than Romney’s, but not Paul’s.

Gingrich’s supporters have on average shifted their support six-seven times.

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**Author:** ![2sense](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/2/e47774/32.png) [@2sense](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/2sense)\
**Post date:** [February 7, 2012, 10:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917/7 "2012-02-07T10:21:32Z")

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Does anyone have the final numbers from Nevada? I couldn’t find any when I looked before.

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**Author:** ![Frank](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Frank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frank)\
**Post date:** [February 7, 2012, 3:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917/8 "2012-02-07T15:02:47Z")

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> [@2sense](#):
>
> Does anyone have the final numbers from Nevada? I couldn’t find any when I looked before.

Romney 50%  
Gingrich 21%  
Paul 19%  
Santorum 10%

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**Author:** ![2sense](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/2/e47774/32.png) [@2sense](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/2sense)\
**Post date:** [February 8, 2012, 8:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917/9 "2012-02-08T20:03:03Z")

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thanks

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**Author:** ![Gatopescado](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gatopescado/32/5711_2.png) [@Gatopescado](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gatopescado)\
**Post date:** [February 9, 2012, 4:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917/10 "2012-02-09T16:20:57Z")

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I didn’t participate. And I won’t till the primary format returns.

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**Author:** ![Bryan\_Ekers](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bryan_ekers/32/183_2.png) [@Bryan\_Ekers](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bryan_Ekers)\
**Post date:** [February 10, 2012, 3:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917/11 "2012-02-10T03:27:39Z")

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> [@Qin\_Shi\_Huangdi](#):
>
> Gingrich’s supporters have on average shifted their support six-seven times.

Well, they’re old - they have to avoid bedsores.

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**Author:** ![Tim\_T-Bonham.net](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/46a35a/32.png) [@Tim\_T-Bonham.net](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tim_T-Bonham.net)\
**Post date:** [February 10, 2012, 4:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-caucus/611917/12 "2012-02-10T04:48:15Z")

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> [@BrainGlutton](#):
>
> Is there any pattern known for caucuses producing different results from primaries?

Caucuses tend to be mainly party stalwarts, so they are usually farther from center (Democrats left, Republicans right) than the voters in general. So a more liberal or a more conservative candidate can do better. A Primary displays this trend too, but moderated by the voters who vote according to the last TV commercial they saw. The general election voters are even more centrist.
