# Nevada Republican Caucus

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [February 23, 2016, 10:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919 "2016-02-23T22:46:49Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 3

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TonySinclair](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/49beb7/32.png) [@TonySinclair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TonySinclair)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 8:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/41 "2016-02-24T08:52:53Z")

</div>

> [@Simplicio](#):
>
> Trump was polling better in NV then most other states. So if your Rubio, you presumably hope that in the next few States his lead will be lower.
> 
> But aside from just consolidation of actual voters, winnowing down to an effective two man race makes the choice starker, and ideally will focus both Rubio and the establishment on attacking Trump. So ideally, they can strip voters from the Trump column, rather then just rely on the likely inadequate Bush/Kaisich/Christie vote moving to Rubio.

You keep saying “ideally,” but I don’t see anything good about Rubio getting the nomination. I detest both of them, but I think Trump is more likely to listen to sensible advice, should the unthinkable happen and he winds up in the WH.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 9:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/42 "2016-02-24T09:10:10Z")

</div>

> [@Tangent](#):
>
> Cruz has a slight lead on Rubio right now, with about 35% of the precincts reporting.

Do you have a link? I did find this graph showing that Cruz got second place by getting one more delegate than Rubio, but most recent links show Rubio still slightly ahead of Cruz.

> **[LIVE RESULTS: Nevada Republican Caucus – TRUMP WINS](https://legalinsurrection.com/2016/02/live-results-nevada-republican-caucus/)**
>
> On to Super Tuesday.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Simplicio](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/c37758/32.png) [@Simplicio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Simplicio)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 9:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/43 "2016-02-24T09:10:54Z")

</div>

> [@TonySinclair](#):
>
> You keep saying “ideally,” but I don’t see anything good about Rubio getting the nomination. I detest both of them, but I think Trump is more likely to listen to sensible advice, should the unthinkable happen and he winds up in the WH.

Well ideally…

> [@me](#):
>
> if your Rubio

I agree Rubio’s politics are pretty abhorrent. Whether he’d be better or worse than Trump is kinda hard to say, since I doubt even Trump knows what Trump will actually do in the unlikely event he finds himself in the Oval Office.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TonySinclair](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/49beb7/32.png) [@TonySinclair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TonySinclair)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 9:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/44 "2016-02-24T09:28:17Z")

</div>

Holy crap, Trump is up to 46% now, with 94% reporting. Just yesterday, some very smart pundit on TV was wondering if 35% was his ceiling.

ETA: and somebody voted for Jeb!, who is cruising at 0.1%. Kasich and Carson both below 5%. Carson is probably too dumb to drop out, but I don’t see why Kasich would bother running any more.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lord\_Feldon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lord_feldon/32/341_2.png) [@Lord\_Feldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lord_Feldon)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 9:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/45 "2016-02-24T09:43:39Z")

</div>

> [@TonySinclair](#):
>
> Kasich and Carson both below 5%. Carson is probably too dumb to drop out, but I don’t see why Kasich would bother running any more.

[Kasich doesn’t know either.](http://blogs.rollcall.com/opinion-analysis/john-kasich-im-not-exactly-sure-what-the-goal-is/?dcz=)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 9:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/46 "2016-02-24T09:46:45Z")

</div>

TPM sez that with 97.31% of precincts reporting, we have:

Trump 45.9%  
Rubio 23.8%  
Cruz 21.5%  
Carson 4.8%  
Cruz 3.6%

On to Super Tuesday! Or at least, that’s what Rubio supposedly said before he went to bed, not bothering with a victory-for-2nd-place speech. 😃

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 9:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/47 "2016-02-24T09:52:53Z")

</div>

Re Kasich: if you’ve been running for President for a year, what’s the argument against hanging in there for 3 more weeks until your home state votes?

Not to mention, at the speed everything happens once things start happening, Kasich probably hasn’t had time to make it past denial to anger and bargaining yet. Acceptance is still a ways down the road. Remember that it’s been only 2 weeks since he had his big second-place finish in NH.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Little\_Pig](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/c57346/32.png) [@Little\_Pig](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Little_Pig)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 10:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/48 "2016-02-24T10:04:10Z")

</div>

> [@Lord\_Feldon](#):
>
> [Kasich doesn’t know either.](http://blogs.rollcall.com/opinion-analysis/john-kasich-im-not-exactly-sure-what-the-goal-is/?dcz=)

I was interested in learning more about Kasich until the Pecker Head [did this.](http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2016/02/ohio_gov_john_kasich_signs_bil_1.html):dubious: “His office announced the action without further comment.” What a weenie.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 11:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/49 "2016-02-24T11:22:16Z")

</div>

It’s easy to overstate Nevada, you can’t say the candidates really went all out for weeks on end to win it. In my opinion, the Trumpmentum is becoming unstoppable. If he wins all but one or two states on Tuesday, the fat lady can start warming up her voice. Another second place for Rubio! He likes his silver medals so much, he’s going to have them bronzed.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![bienville](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/4bbf92/32.png) [@bienville](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bienville)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 11:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/50 "2016-02-24T11:47:19Z")

</div>

> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> He likes his silver medals so much, he’s going to have them bronzed.

Heh. That’s a pretty good line. Can you lay claim to that one or is it a quote/old saying?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 12:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/51 "2016-02-24T12:19:22Z")

</div>

> [@bienville](#):
>
> Heh. That’s a pretty good line. Can you lay claim to that one or is it a quote/old saying?

That’s an old one, usually it goes that the Polish athlete liked his gold medal so much he had it bronzed.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 12:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/52 "2016-02-24T12:54:38Z")

</div>

> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> It’s easy to overstate Nevada, you can’t say the candidates really went all out for weeks on end to win it. In my opinion, the Trumpmentum is becoming unstoppable. If he wins all but one or two states on Tuesday, the fat lady can start warming up her voice. Another second place for Rubio! He likes his silver medals so much, he’s going to have them bronzed.

He’s favored to win a lot of states on Super Tuesday according to the betting markets. If he does that, then Trump as the nominee becomes a very likely reality.

Normally I have to wait until November to be disappointed and go off and sulk. Now I’ll have to do it in March.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 12:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/53 "2016-02-24T12:57:44Z")

</div>

> [@adaher](#):
>
> Normally I have to wait until November to be disappointed and go off and sulk. Now I’ll have to do it in March.

Just don’t go away. You’re too much fun to have around. Are you conceding the election if Trump is nominated?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 1:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/54 "2016-02-24T13:07:29Z")

</div>

No, because Trump’s support is impossible to quantify. Robert Reich just actually posted on Facebook that people he talks to say things like, “I can’t decide between Trump and Sanders.” If there are Sanders supporters who actually like Trump, who knows what will happen?

But I’d rather see Clinton or Sanders win than Trump. I’m saved from voting Democrat only by the presence of Gary Johnson in the race on the libertarian side. There’s also still the Bloomberg possibility.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Claverhouse](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/13edae/32.png) [@Claverhouse](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Claverhouse)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 1:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/55 "2016-02-24T13:15:36Z")

</div>

> [@adaher](#):
>
> There’s also still the Bloomberg possibility.

That’s The Ludlum Option.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 1:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/56 "2016-02-24T13:27:56Z")

</div>

Can anyone familiar with the delegate rules explain the reports on how the delegates have been awarded? Thirty delegates are available, and the reports I’ve seen assign 12 to Trump and 5 each to Cruz and Rubio with 100% of the vote in. What happened to the other 8 delegates?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 1:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/57 "2016-02-24T13:47:43Z")

</div>

Interesting fact:

More people voted for Trump in the NV caucuses (34,531) than voted in the NV Repub caucuses in 2008, for _all_ candidates (34,387)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 1:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/58 "2016-02-24T13:50:33Z")

</div>

That’s why you can’t rule out a Trump general election win. He’s driving turnout to insane levels.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 2:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/59 "2016-02-24T14:03:19Z")

</div>

> [@adaher](#):
>
> He’s driving turnout to insane levels.

No, he’s driving the insane to turn out.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2016, 2:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919/60 "2016-02-24T14:09:17Z")

</div>

Same difference.

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919.md?page=2)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nevada-republican-caucus/746919.md?page=4)
