# New Game: Pick when OBL is captured.  Win nothing at all but prestige!

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591>\
**Category:** Miscellaneous and Personal Stuff I Must Share\
**Created:** [February 23, 2004, 3:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591 "2004-02-23T03:10:18Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 16\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![Shirley\_Ujest](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/45deac/32.png) [@Shirley\_Ujest](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shirley_Ujest)\
**Post date:** [February 23, 2004, 3:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/1 "2004-02-23T03:10:18Z")

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**The Rules**

**1.** Pick a date that you in your heart or ouija board tells you feel Osama bin Laden will be captured or turn up dead(bombing/suicide/assassinated/hit by taxi).

**2.** Date of capture or day the bomb dropped on him is the offical date, not the date DNA confirms his demise.

**3.** One entry per person.

\*\*4. **Tie Breaker** What time he is caught, local time of wherever he is captured or found dead.

\*\*5. \*\*Bonus points for whomever comes up with the most accurate situation.

**6.** Once your date is picked, **No substitutions are allowed.** I’m just a simple girl, go easy on me and my lack of techtalk.

**7.** You can be apart of his arrest or final destruction at your own expense and possible loss of life, if not luggage. Proceed to glory at your own risk.

\*\*Contest ends February 29th, 2004 at Midnight, EST. \*\*

Good luck!

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**Author:** ![Tripler](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tripler/32/21807_2.png) [@Tripler](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tripler)\
**Post date:** [February 23, 2004, 3:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/2 "2004-02-23T03:25:24Z")

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May 25, 2004.

I predict he will actually be captured in a firefight when they locate him at a cave in Western Pakistan. He’ll be wounded, but he’ll be alive.

Tripler  
But the Pakistanis will be the ones to actually catch him.

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**Author:** ![ftg](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ftg/32/2801_2.png) [@ftg](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ftg)\
**Post date:** [February 23, 2004, 3:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/3 "2004-02-23T03:54:00Z")

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This is a poorly founded contest. What if the Pakistanis captured him a year ago? What source would be the final arbiter of date? God help us if it’s the Drudge Report.

We already went thru this with Saddam. He was captured at least 2 days before he was captured. People are still arguing over the official date and no one is paying up. Do we really need this?

In any case, it’s all relative: 3 days after the 2nd consecutive Gallup poll between the last week in September and the end of October that shows Dubya slipping further behind the Dem.

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**Author:** ![Shirley\_Ujest](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/45deac/32.png) [@Shirley\_Ujest](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shirley_Ujest)\
**Post date:** [February 23, 2004, 4:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/4 "2004-02-23T04:22:43Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> In any case, it’s all relative: 3 days after the 2nd consecutive Gallup poll between the last week in September and the end of October that shows Dubya slipping further behind the Dem.

Your paranoia is well fueled, however, slightly vague. More definate date needs to be set.

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**Author:** ![Nurobath](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/a88e57/32.png) [@Nurobath](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Nurobath)\
**Post date:** [February 23, 2004, 5:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/5 "2004-02-23T05:05:57Z")

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How about Sept 11, 2004, 4:47 am gmt.

At least that’s when the announcement that he’s been caught will be made. It would certainly help Bush out with the election ;).

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**Author:** ![Ranchoth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ranchoth/32/1066_2.png) [@Ranchoth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ranchoth)\
**Post date:** [February 23, 2004, 5:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/6 "2004-02-23T05:43:13Z")

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July 8th, 2104.

That’s the date when land surveyors will discover his crushed bones in an Afgani cave. It’ll be determined that he died in December, 2001, when a GPS guided bomb hit what the CIA thought was an ammo dump.

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**Author:** ![Shirley\_Ujest](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/45deac/32.png) [@Shirley\_Ujest](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shirley_Ujest)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2004, 1:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/7 "2004-02-24T01:30:47Z")

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::::bump::::::

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**Author:** ![schplebordnik](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/91b2a8/32.png) [@schplebordnik](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/schplebordnik)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2004, 2:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/8 "2004-02-24T02:11:28Z")

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July 26, 2004. First day of the Democrat convention. Causing intense sleepless nights of rewrite time for a multitude of speechwriters.

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**Author:** ![schplebordnik](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/91b2a8/32.png) [@schplebordnik](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/schplebordnik)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2004, 2:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/9 "2004-02-24T02:12:40Z")

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> [@schplebordnik](#):
>
> July 26, 2004. First day of the Democrat convention. Causing intense sleepless nights of rewrite time for a multitude of speechwriters.

Noon, EST.

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**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2004, 2:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/10 "2004-02-24T02:20:14Z")

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August 20th, 2006.

After remaining in hiding just long enough to ensure his affairs are in order (children cowed into submission, wives thoroughly beaten, and all that) Ozzie emerges from a Pakistani village where workaround repairs to his dialysis equipment have left him near death.

He surrenders to Pakistani intelligence officials, and a brief struggle ensues between the parliamentarian elements of ISI and those loyal to the mullahs calling for Musharraf’s head.

Eventually, he is loaded aboard a prisoner transport C-5 Galaxy and flown to Rammstein, where he recieves emergency medical care.

Somehow his IV becomes contaminated with a massive dose of ricin and Vice President Dianne Feinstein (President Kerry being in Osaka for the G-9 summit) announces at 2:08pm ET on August 29th that Usamah bin Muhammad bin Awad bin Laden has died while in U.S. custody. The Army Medical Corps has begun a full investigation.

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**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2004, 2:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/11 "2004-02-24T02:24:09Z")

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August 20th, 2006.

After remaining in hiding just long enough to ensure his affairs are in order (children cowed into submission, wives thoroughly beaten, and all that) Ozzie emerges from a Pakistani village where workaround repairs to his dialysis equipment have left him near death.

He surrenders to Pakistani intelligence officials, and a brief struggle ensues between the parliamentarian elements of ISI and those loyal to the mullahs calling for Musharraf’s head.

Eventually, he is loaded aboard a prisoner transport C-5 Galaxy and flown to Rammstein, where he recieves emergency medical care.

Somehow his IV becomes contaminated with a massive dose of ricin and Vice President Dianne Feinstein (President Kerry being in Osaka for the G-9 summit) announces at 2:08pm ET on August 29th that Usamah bin Muhammad bin Awad bin Laden has died while in U.S. custody. The Army Medical Corps has begun a full investigation.

So long, you evil beardy git.

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**Author:** ![Chicago\_Faucet](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chicago_faucet/32/13910_2.png) [@Chicago\_Faucet](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chicago_Faucet)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2004, 3:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/12 "2004-02-24T03:29:04Z")

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August 12th, 2004, at 5 am, local time.

Colonel Mustard, in the library, with the candle stick.

No, seriously. He will be found in a village in far northern Pakistan. He will be ratted out by a disenchanted follower, who walked 27 miles to the nearest outpost of someone who spoke English and had a working telephone. This second person will call the closest US Embassy. Within 24 hours of that phone call, at the above date and time, US troops will storm the village in a blitzkrieg fashion and just overwhelm him. He will not have time to committ suicide, but two US soldiers will die in the process.

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**Author:** ![Menocchio](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9de053/32.png) [@Menocchio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Menocchio)\
**Post date:** [February 24, 2004, 3:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/13 "2004-02-24T03:39:19Z")

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October 20, 2004. 4:00 AM local time. By US special forces in a surprisingly bloodless and effective raid on his hiding spot. So effective, of course, that runors immediately arise among the more cynical that the US had long known his location, and only chose to strike when Bush’s election chances looked dim. The Bush administration, riding into a comeback landslide, will deny such charges, of course.

That, or practically never at all.

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**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\
**Post date:** [March 31, 2015, 2:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/14 "2015-03-31T14:29:28Z")

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Yes, I know this is a zombie, but I just came across it by accident and I’d like to point out that I WON, SUCKERS! Didn’t do so well on the President Kerry bit, though.

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**Author:** ![Zebra](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/z/c0e974/32.png) [@Zebra](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Zebra)\
**Post date:** [March 31, 2015, 7:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/15 "2015-03-31T19:50:33Z")

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WOW  
Can you pick tomorrow lotto numbers?

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**Author:** ![chrisk](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/6de8d8/32.png) [@chrisk](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/chrisk)\
**Post date:** [March 31, 2015, 8:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-game-pick-when-obl-is-captured-win-nothing-at-all-but-prestige/230591/16 "2015-03-31T20:03:39Z")

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You were off by more than four years. 😉 You just sucked a little bit less than anybody else who ventured a guess in the thread.
