# New Hampshire Primary Discussion **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [February 6, 2020, 8:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-hampshire-primary-discussion/847563 "2020-02-06T20:33:19Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 4\ **Page:** 8
**Author:** ![Corry\_El](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/ecae2f/32.png) [@Corry\_El](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Corry_El)\ **Post date:** [February 12, 2020, 5:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-hampshire-primary-discussion/847563/141 "2020-02-12T17:32:28Z")
> [@RTFirefly](#): > > Your post is your cite. 🙂 As not a Buttigieg fan I’d have to say talking about him dropping out and Biden picking up his voters is a lot more detached from reality than saying Buttigieg’s campaign is going just as he planned. The latter is a pretty realistic statement I think, I mean how would it be going much better at this point, realistically? Whether Buttigieg lasts out the whole primary season as major contender I’ve no idea. I doubt the betting odds of 15% chance of his getting the nomination are WTF off in either direction. But Biden is pretty much toast, right now. Talking about Buttigieg dropping out and his support going to Biden is pretty ridiculous IMO. ---
**Author:** ![Thing\_Fish](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/ecb155/32.png) [@Thing\_Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing_Fish)\ **Post date:** [February 12, 2020, 5:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-hampshire-primary-discussion/847563/142 "2020-02-12T17:45:27Z")
Well, on the one hand, based on results we’re pretty much in Pete’s best case scenario world. He won the most delegates in Iowa and tied in NH. Historically, this should lead to his campaign picking up a lot of momentum. OTOH, his win in Iowa was announced two days later, came with an asterix (lost the popular vote), and, let’s just say, won’t be what most people remember about the Iowa caucuses. And his second place in NH was, well, second place. So it will be interesting to see how things go for him from here. But yeah, it’s bizarre to suggest that dropping out of the race would be even remotely on his mind at this point. ---
**Author:** ![Thing\_Fish](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/ecb155/32.png) [@Thing\_Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing_Fish)\ **Post date:** [February 12, 2020, 5:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-hampshire-primary-discussion/847563/143 "2020-02-12T17:47:13Z")
double posted ---
**Author:** ![Warm\_blood](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/df705f/32.png) [@Warm\_blood](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Warm_blood)\ **Post date:** [February 14, 2020, 6:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-hampshire-primary-discussion/847563/144 "2020-02-14T06:26:48Z")
> [@Thing\_Fish](#): > > Biden is toast. He has so far had overwhelming support among moderate blacks, for a lot of reasons but the most important being that he’s perceived as the most electable. But even if he wins SC, all he’s proven is that moderate blacks still like him. And that’s not enough to win, so even they will probably abandon him by then. I feel like giving him a hug. Thanks for your service, Joe. > > As far as Buttigieg, I’m hearing a lot of the same lazy thinking I heard about Bernie in 2016. “He’s not doing well with minorities right now; the only possible explanation is that all minorities hate him and will never vote for him under any circumstances”. Or, like, maybe they just like the other candidate(s) better? The moderate black vote is up for grabs with Biden fading, and there 's no law of nature that says Buttigieg can’t be the one to pick it up. **yes, blacks overall are a bit more homophobic than whites** , but not\* that \*dramatically so. It seems like that voting bloc really values experience, though, so that could give Klobuchar a leg up with them. So no one else is going to dispel this [racist and patently untrue generalization](https://thinkprogress.org/new-survey-debunks-the-myth-of-black-homophobia-e5066ae38aa8/)? Yikes, dude. It’s this kind of crap that makes black voters feel undervalued by both parties. Don’t do this. Buttigieg’s sexuality has no relevance to black people’s wariness of him. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/new-hampshire-primary-discussion/847563.md?page=7)