# NFL Picks: Are you winning?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nfl-picks-are-you-winning/322622>\
**Category:** Miscellaneous and Personal Stuff I Must Share\
**Created:** [September 20, 2005, 11:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nfl-picks-are-you-winning/322622 "2005-09-20T23:50:22Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 10\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![hawkeyejo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/e19b73/32.png) [@hawkeyejo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hawkeyejo)\
**Post date:** [September 20, 2005, 11:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nfl-picks-are-you-winning/322622/1 "2005-09-20T23:50:22Z")

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After two weeks I am 17-15, which is pretty bad, though I can console myself with the fact that it’s at least above .500. You know its gonna be bad when SF beats STL and Miami beats Denver. Week 2 was better though - I picked Carolina and TB to win which felt good. I hope Denver does well this year coz I ain’t gona pick them to lose. Doesn’t look good after two weeks for them.

And what business did Dallas have losing to the Redskins at home on Monday night anyway? I hope next week brings better news.

So how do your picks look?

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**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\
**Post date:** [September 21, 2005, 12:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nfl-picks-are-you-winning/322622/2 "2005-09-21T00:34:13Z")

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We talking straight up or against the spread?

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**Author:** ![Mr.Blue\_Sky](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/d26b3c/32.png) [@Mr.Blue\_Sky](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mr.Blue_Sky)\
**Post date:** [September 21, 2005, 12:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nfl-picks-are-you-winning/322622/3 "2005-09-21T00:38:52Z")

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> [@hawkeyejo](#):
>
> After two weeks I am 17-15, which is pretty bad, though I can console myself with the fact that it’s at least above .500.

Same here. I’m in a simple win/lose pool just for kicks. I don’t even follow sports, much less football in great detail.

The first week I used ESPN’s pre-season power ranking to choose the winners - ended up 6-10.

This past week I used the Vegas line and went 11-5. Much better.

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**Author:** ![hawkeyejo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/e19b73/32.png) [@hawkeyejo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hawkeyejo)\
**Post date:** [September 21, 2005, 12:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nfl-picks-are-you-winning/322622/4 "2005-09-21T00:41:24Z")

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> [@Omniscient](#):
>
> We talking straight up or against the spread?

I am pretty new at this so its straight up. I was thinking of starting a new thread asking about all this spread and over-under stuff, but maybe you could help me out and explain it here.

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**Author:** ![Gozu\_Tashoya](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/7993a0/32.png) [@Gozu\_Tashoya](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gozu_Tashoya)\
**Post date:** [September 21, 2005, 1:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nfl-picks-are-you-winning/322622/5 "2005-09-21T01:08:36Z")

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A bunch of us here at work are playing pick 'em on Yahoo! and I’m in second place (out of 8 people) with a straight .500. Kinda sad, but the first two or three weeks of a season are generally the hardest to figure out. Or so I keep telling myself…

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**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\
**Post date:** [September 21, 2005, 1:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nfl-picks-are-you-winning/322622/6 "2005-09-21T01:10:20Z")

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[NFL Predictions - Week 1](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=334368)

[NFL Predictions - Week 2](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=335262)

This will get you started.

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**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [September 21, 2005, 2:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nfl-picks-are-you-winning/322622/7 "2005-09-21T02:18:25Z")

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I’m a 2-under .500 15-17 so far. God-awful Week 1, going 6-10. Better Week 2 at 9-7.

Week 3 is when I begin by season-long streak of perfect picking across the board.

What? What’s with all the " :dubious:" looks from everyone??

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**Author:** ![Jet\_Jaguar](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jet_jaguar/32/3562_2.png) [@Jet\_Jaguar](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jet_Jaguar)\
**Post date:** [September 21, 2005, 2:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nfl-picks-are-you-winning/322622/8 "2005-09-21T02:28:19Z")

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Haven’t done it this year, but last year a few of us at work did a straight pick-em pool. I was astonishingly bad, consistently picking only 4-6 correct each week. We even started flipping a coin and keeping track of it’s picks. The coin beat me more often than not. A couple of weeks I took the opposite of what I thought and I still did horrible.

I contend that’s just as amazing as someone who consistently gets 12 correct every week, since the probability is the same.

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**Author:** ![Mr.Blue\_Sky](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/d26b3c/32.png) [@Mr.Blue\_Sky](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mr.Blue_Sky)\
**Post date:** [September 22, 2005, 1:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nfl-picks-are-you-winning/322622/9 "2005-09-22T01:34:07Z")

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Well, I misread one score, so I actually ended up with a 10-6 record this week. However, it was enough to win the pool!!

That’s right, I gots me $13!

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**Author:** ![MysteryFellow63427](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/a88e4f/32.png) [@MysteryFellow63427](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MysteryFellow63427)\
**Post date:** [September 22, 2005, 7:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nfl-picks-are-you-winning/322622/10 "2005-09-22T07:33:43Z")

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Don’t spend it all at one Mexican donkey show, **Mr. Blue Sky**.
