I think that even with the nuke building boom , that the fossil fuel plants will be around , as some of the existing nukes will have to be de-commisioned or at least taken offline to be refurbished with newer nuke technology.
Then we come to a fork in the road
I don’t want nukes to become an end all energy generation solution , they just happen to the easiest to implement in the time available, but at some point in time , someone is gonna come up with a fusion reactor design, so these new plants will have to have the ability to bolt on newer technology.
Next is that while I think that almost everyone agrees that nuclear generation is going to make a comeback , I have not seen anything along the lines of how its gonna be networked , how many nukes exactly are we gonna need , the fun part , who is gonna pay for em.
Back in the fifties , or late forties experts were saying that electrical energy will be almost free , that and the flying cars of course. So once we get past the politcal , the scientific and break ground on the new nukes , now it becomes financial. To make money on these things, the power has to be a commodity , not like the air we breathe ,which can’t be taxed or metered.
Anyone wanna bet that con-ed is not just going to drop your electrical bill 99 percent , once the tap is turned on. For the high start up costs , the payoff has to be a very sharp decrease in the billing department before john q public is gonna sign off.
Actually I don’t believe that terrorism will greatly impact the integerity of a nuke plant much ,when the existing plants are designed to withstand the impact of a jet airliner, physical invasion and a whole host of other goth senarios.
While I dont put much faith that a terrorist can tote around a tow missile launcher , set it up , and fire a round with a good probability of a causing some sort of chain reaction, a more likely situation would be moving the nuclear goods in the transit phase and hitting it with multiple RPG-7 or M-72 LAWS rockets.
Right now on an irregular schedule , nuclear weapons are constantly being moved across state lines , in unmarked semi-trailors with no visible security present, so there is a body of accumulated knowlege on how to move hazmat cargos in an unsecure transit corridor.
Declan