# NYC Mayor election thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [June 24, 2025, 5:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085 "2025-06-24T17:40:57Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 30
**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\ **Post date:** [September 17, 2025, 4:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/581 "2025-09-17T16:43:40Z")
I have a bad feeling about it also and she shouldn’t have made the endorsement. It could only hurt her chances and not help her. Sherrill has a solid lead in the polls at least, but not as high as it should be running against a no charisma politician like Ciattarelli. ---
**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\ **Post date:** [September 17, 2025, 4:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/582 "2025-09-17T16:55:19Z")
I from '08 to '15 I was pretty much right on every election. Then I was wrong a bunch. It can happen suddenly. From a cursory search through the board, you were right on last year’s election, but a few years before that you were saying AOC was intent upon destroying the Democratic party. So your recent track record might not be quite so clean as you recall. ---
**Author:** ![Xocomil](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/xocomil/32/14927_2.png) [@Xocomil](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Xocomil)\ **Post date:** [September 17, 2025, 10:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/583 "2025-09-17T22:49:27Z")
> [@Loach](#): > > since the endorsement the race continues to tighten So polls continued their existing trend but it’s Mamdani’s fault now somehow? ---
**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\ **Post date:** [September 17, 2025, 11:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/584 "2025-09-17T23:05:26Z")
Americans consistently hate the “socialist” label, but love actual socialist policies. ---
**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\ **Post date:** [September 17, 2025, 11:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/585 "2025-09-17T23:12:21Z")
Americans say this, but the “socialist” policies they bring up are things like price caps on drugs, $15 an hour minimum wage, social security or medicade, and union protections. ---
**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\ **Post date:** [September 18, 2025, 6:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/586 "2025-09-18T18:09:55Z")
> [@Loach](#): > > It’s not the only factor but since the endorsement the race continues to tighten. > **[Mamdani Dominates NYC Mayor's Race, Up 22 Points Over Cuomo In 4-Way...](https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3930)** > > "In a mayoral race that seems to grow more intense by the day, Zohran Mamdani has the wind at his back > less than two months until Election Day. While a lot can happen in the race between now and November 4, > Mamdani's edge on enthusiasm among... The race doesnt appear to be “tight” at all. ---
**Author:** ![Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/left_hand_of_dorkness/32/7156_2.png) [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Left_Hand_of_Dorkness)\ **Post date:** [September 18, 2025, 7:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/587 "2025-09-18T19:27:55Z")
The race in question appears to be the NJ gubernatorial campaign, where the Dem’s numbers went from +8 in mid-July to +8 in mid-September, clearly damaged by her endorsement of Mamdani. > **[Sherrill up by eight points over Ciattarelli in new Quinnipiac poll - New...](https://newjerseyglobe.com/governor/sherrill-up-by-eight-points-over-ciattarelli-in-new-quinnipiac-poll/)** > > After a seven-year hiatus from the world of New Jersey polling, the Quinnipiac University Poll is back, and – much like almost every other pollster ---
**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\ **Post date:** [September 19, 2025, 12:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/588 "2025-09-19T00:06:19Z")
> [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](#): > > The race in question appears to be the NJ gubernatorial campaign, where the Dem’s numbers went from +8 in mid-July to +8 in mid-September, clearly damaged by her endorsement of Mamdani. Oh, okay, I thought this thread was about NYC mayor? ---
**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\ **Post date:** [September 22, 2025, 12:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/589 "2025-09-22T12:43:34Z")
It is. If you go back and read the thread you will note that the context is the effect of Sherill’s endorsement of Mamdani on her own race. ---
**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\ **Post date:** [September 28, 2025, 6:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/590 "2025-09-28T18:12:33Z")
Adams is out. [https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/28/nyregion/adams-mayor-drops-out.html?smtyp=cur&smid=fb-nytimes&fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR5DxJnBITxnSK5di6moI7xP\_2Hq5DBOu2heoR-95PySqOkE9AQVodo\_pN6eHA\_aem\_OFLUPmaUKMA6FwDFeGFH0Q](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/28/nyregion/adams-mayor-drops-out.html?smtyp=cur&smid=fb-nytimes&fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR5DxJnBITxnSK5di6moI7xP_2Hq5DBOu2heoR-95PySqOkE9AQVodo_pN6eHA_aem_OFLUPmaUKMA6FwDFeGFH0Q) ---
**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\ **Post date:** [September 28, 2025, 6:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/591 "2025-09-28T18:20:41Z")
About time and good riddance. ---
**Author:** ![gnoitall](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/bb73d2/32.png) [@gnoitall](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/gnoitall)\ **Post date:** [September 28, 2025, 7:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/592 "2025-09-28T19:05:06Z")
For those who can’t read that NYT link: [https://www.politico.com/news/2025/09/28/eric-adams-ends-reelection-campaign-00583690](https://www.politico.com/news/2025/09/28/eric-adams-ends-reelection-campaign-00583690) ---
**Author:** ![PastTense](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pasttense/32/14550_2.png) [@PastTense](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PastTense)\ **Post date:** [September 29, 2025, 4:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/593 "2025-09-29T04:03:28Z")
I wonder if someone in the anti-Mamdani group offered him a cushy job. ---
**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\ **Post date:** [September 29, 2025, 9:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/594 "2025-09-29T09:10:28Z")
I actually believe the stated reason, which is that he wasn’t getting enough funding (between not qualifying for state money and not getting a lot of donations.) ---
**Author:** ![Love\_Rhombus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/love_rhombus/32/10694_2.png) [@Love\_Rhombus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Love_Rhombus)\ **Post date:** [September 29, 2025, 9:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/595 "2025-09-29T09:56:32Z")
Maybe he (Adams) will be the new ambassador to Turkey? ---
**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\ **Post date:** [September 29, 2025, 6:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/596 "2025-09-29T18:41:42Z")
> [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](#): > > The race in question appears to be the NJ gubernatorial campaign, where the Dem’s numbers went from +8 in mid-July to +8 in mid-September, clearly damaged by her endorsement of Mamdani. > > [Sherrill up by eight points over Ciattarelli in new Quinnipiac poll - New Jersey Globe](https://newjerseyglobe.com/governor/sherrill-up-by-eight-points-over-ciattarelli-in-new-quinnipiac-poll/) The race continued to tighten up to the point that it’s now either a dead heat or she is losing. It started as a double digit lead. ---
**Author:** ![Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/left_hand_of_dorkness/32/7156_2.png) [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Left_Hand_of_Dorkness)\ **Post date:** [September 29, 2025, 7:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/597 "2025-09-29T19:21:43Z")
I’m finding this analysis of the poll results: [Latest Poll Shows Huge Shift In NJ's Governor's Race | Newark, NJ Patch](https://patch.com/new-jersey/newarknj/latest-poll-finds-sherrill-ciattarelli-tied-nj-governor-race-heats) There’s a lot of talk about tying Sherrill to the current unpopular Democratic governor, a lot of talk about economic woes, about threats to democracy, about housing costs. Implying that Sherrill’s in trouble because she endorsed Mamdani seems like quintessential _post hoc ergo propter hoc_ and pretty tangential to this thread. ---
**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\ **Post date:** [September 29, 2025, 8:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/598 "2025-09-29T20:19:45Z")
> [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](#): > > Implying that Sherrill’s in trouble because she endorsed Mamdani seems like quintessential _post hoc ergo propter hoc_ and pretty tangential to this thread. Which is why I neither said or implied that was the reason why. I said her endorsement was being used as a weapon against her. Which was true then and continues to be true. I said that the race was tightening up which was true then and remains true today. I also clearly stated it was not the only factor. There are other factors in play that I would discuss in another thread but if you were following the election at all you would know the endorsement is being used against her daily. ---
**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\ **Post date:** [September 29, 2025, 8:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/599 "2025-09-29T20:49:34Z")
“Used as a weapon against her” doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a net negative. Pretty much anything a Democrat does (and much of what they don’t do) is going to be “used as a weapon against them”. Polling models make predictions based on turnout of the various age cohorts and other demographics (which I’m sure you’re aware of) – if her endorsement of Mamdani energizes young voters (and other progressive groups) to come out in her favor more than otherwise (and more than pollster’s models are accounting for), then it could counteract any negative in other demographics. What Democrats need is charismatic fighters, IMO. Issues – even the scary “socialism” – matters far less than charisma and the appearance of fighting, IMO. So many Democrats and other progressive voters are tired of voting for those who appear as boring, run-of-the-mill, institutional, insider-y, do-nothings. ---
**Author:** ![Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/left_hand_of_dorkness/32/7156_2.png) [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Left_Hand_of_Dorkness)\ **Post date:** [September 29, 2025, 9:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085/600 "2025-09-29T21:01:56Z")
> [@Loach](#): > > Which is why I neither said or implied that was the reason why. I said her endorsement was being used as a weapon against her. Which was true then and continues to be true. I said that the race was tightening up which was true then and remains true today. I also clearly stated it was not the only factor. If you’re suggesting it’s not “the only factor,” you’re clearly suggesting that it’s “a factor.” But you’ve offered no evidence that it’s “a factor,” only that Republicans are attacking her for it, just as they’re attacking her for every single thing she does, because that’s what Republicans do. It’s pretty common for moderate and conservative Democrats to attack progressives for anything they can, regardless of the merits of the attack. This tactic of “Sherrill’s endorsement of Mamdani is a factor in her losing her lead” is par for the course, and I’m not willing to accept it as a valid attack on progressives without stronger evidence. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085.md?page=29) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/nyc-mayor-election-thread/1020085.md?page=31)