Obama nominates Judge Merrick Garland to the SCOTUS.

A little disappointed, but Garland is a good judge and should be confirmed. Besides, he’s older than the usual. He could be gone in as little as 15 years.

As a libertarian though he’s not what I was hoping for. He’s a John Paul Stevens type, generally pro-government, with the concerns liberals have about him mainly having to do with his pro-prosecution bent. There’s just nothing here for libertarians to like. I’d rather have a Brennan/Marshall-type liberal, but Obama hasn’t appointed one of those yet. He likes justices who won’t mess with his executive prerogatives first and foremost.

The problem Senator, is that the American people already elected a President who decided to nominate Judge Garland. This can’t end well for the Republicans. meep-meep

They also elected a Senate which has to confirm nominees. The election argument is a poor one. Plus it ignores a little Political Science 101 concept called “political capital”, which basically says that unpopular Presidents don’t usually get their way.

Nope.

If Obama wants something, then they MUST be entirely against it.

The cannot agree with him on ANYthing. At all. Ever.

[QUOTE=Procrustus]
The problem Senator, is that the American people already elected a President who decided to nominate Judge Garland.
[/QUOTE]

I think the Republicans are still in denial that Obama was even elected the first time.

Obama is only unpopular among the far-rabid right wing. The ones who hate him with the passion of a thousand exploding suns, and will never do anything that he proposes, ever.

If Obama yelled at them that their house was burning down, and they should probably think of evacuating, they would sit on the couch denying there was a fire until they burned to death.

They’re not, however, making the argument that the Senate gets to block it. They’re *trying *to make the argument that “we should see who the American people elect as president first.” We already know that.

That’s not really true. The right wing only makes up at most, 40% of voters, and I’m being generous there by going with self described conservatives. Obama is unpopular because he’s lost a lot more than right-wing voters.

His popularity is definitely on the upswing though, at 49%, so he’s getting closer to the point where opposing him could actually have consequences. But assuming he falls back to his normal range of about 45% or so, opposing his nominee is a risk free proposition for Republicans. It keeps their base happy and only really angers Democrats. Independents will mostly say “meh”, since they don’t like Obama or the Republicans. Plus the case can be made that Obama could have done better at picking a moderate. Garland was the most liberal person on his short list, which tells me that the short list was mainly to make it seem like he’d pick someone more conservative. In the end, his pitch to conservatives is that Garland is a white dude and tough on criminals.

If McConnell’s argument was that the current Senate was somehow too incompetent to hold hearings and our best bet was to wait for voters to bring in a new senate, then the “Ho ho! The Senate is elected TOO!” argument would have some weight.

But that’s not McConnell’s argument. His argument is that the president shouldn’t be nominating people because it’s too late in the president’s term and people should get to pick a new president first.

Fortunately, it’s likely that we will get a new Senate, in part since this one can’t manage to do their jobs and McConnell will spend his time as leader of the minority party wishing he had confirmed Garland instead of Clinton’s pick.

If we assume that the President has no political capital left, that the public is already looking ahead to the next President and doesn’t really care about Obama anymore, the Republican strategy makes sense.

It’s still wrong, mainly due to the precedent it sets and the risk of an even more unpalatable nominee being presented to them after the election. The odds right now look really bad. Not so much because Clinton would be favored, but because Donald Trump can’t be relied on to make a good conservative pick. Historically, Republicans who are not movement conservatives have made very poor choices for the court in terms of ideology. Nixon and Bush 41 both unintentionally put liberals on the court and there’s pretty much no chance that Donald Trump has any idea what a conservative judge looks like. So as of right now, the most likely outcome is a judge who is worse for Republicans than Garland. So just approve the guy and move on.

Except for all the vulnerable blue/purple state Republicans up for re-election who are facing deep approval holes and where voters feel 2:1 that the Senate should be giving Obama’s nominees a fair and real process.

THat’s just not going to be a top issue though. Jobs, national security, etc. trump process issues every time.

Actually, he has been steadily moving upward - for the last 10 polls, 7 of them have him above 50%, which is not bad for a president in the last year of his term.
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=44&sort=time&direct=DESC&Submit=DISPLAY

Bush’s approval numbers in his last year were abysmal - in the low 30’s.
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=43&sort=time&direct=DESC&Submit=DISPLAY

I agree that the Republicans in their dreams wanted some Fifth Circuit conservative to replace Scalia. But that wasn’t going to happen. They had to deal with the reality that they’re facing a Democratic President who’s probably going to be replaced by another Democrat while the Republican party seems to be collapsing. But they still managed to get Obama to offer them a compromise and nominate somebody they picked.

That’s the walkback right there. Hatch said Garland’s name first. So they can sell it to the base that Garland is Hatch’s choice not Obama’s. They’ll say they looked Obama in the eye and he blinked.

They could- that would’ve been the smart play… but they didn’t.

Quite a few Republican senators must be very embarrassed that they voted for him already – Hatch, Inhofe, Coats, McCain, Roberts, and others. The NRA should cut off funding to these senators for their anti-gun record.

In fairness, both of the cases discussed were decided after he was confirmed to the DC Circuit.

Reality is not the Republican’s strong suit at the moment.

I don’t think they have even acknowledged that Obama is really the president.

So it is that an even less popular Senate should not have their way.

IMHO to have their way the Senate should at least give him a hearing and express their reasons why they reject him, but since they are not giving him that right is clear to me that the Republican Senate’s more feeble political capital will go down the toilet.

Lets throw all the rascals out!!

Haven’t been able to shake this image yet. Jerry would have made an AWESOME Associate Justice. I can see him laying out lines of cocaine back in chambers to share with Clarence Thomas and Ruth Bader Ginsberg. Talk about reaching across the aisle!

Exactly. Justice Elizabeth Warren FTW.