# Obama up by 3 with 3 minutes to go (football analogy)

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 1, 2012, 7:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603 "2012-11-01T19:11:30Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 8:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/21 "2012-11-01T20:14:49Z")

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It’s Match Play at the World Golf Championship, and Obama is dormie on hole 15. Romney is on the tee box, looking at a dogleg left knowing that he normally fades the ball. His caddie hands him a 3-wood, but he says “No, give me the driver, dammit!” Obama says “Proceed, Governor.”

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**Author:** ![XT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/xt/32/456_2.png) [@XT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/XT)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 8:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/22 "2012-11-01T20:15:54Z")

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Unfortunately for Romney, Obama has the ball on the 45 and it’s 1st and 5 after another Romney penalty. The clock is ticking and Romney is out of timeouts and has too many men on the field as well, which I seem to recall is not a good thing.

Doesn’t look good for Romney, but I suppose he could cause Obama to drop the ball…but Obama has a great running game that can really eat up the clock, and averages 4 yards a carry, so it’s going to be rough…

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**Author:** ![Simplicio](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/c37758/32.png) [@Simplicio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Simplicio)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 8:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/23 "2012-11-01T20:17:49Z")

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My second hands me a revolver with four empty chambers and a fifth loaded with a bullet manufactured by a subsidary of Bain Capital. I spin the cylinder, push the barrel against my temple, and with a trembling hand, pull the trigger…

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 8:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/24 "2012-11-01T20:25:45Z")

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It’s a beer-chugging contest down at O’Mally’s bar. The bartender has lined up 5 freshly poured glasses of Guinness for each contestant. They look each other in the eye. Obama slowly smiles and lets out a little laugh.

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**Author:** ![elucidator](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/8edcca/32.png) [@elucidator](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elucidator)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 8:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/25 "2012-11-01T20:36:24Z")

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“The calm confidence of a Methodist with four aces.”

- Mark Twain

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**Author:** ![Johanna](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johanna/32/8318_2.png) [@Johanna](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Johanna)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 8:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/26 "2012-11-01T20:39:08Z")

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d8-d1 +  
a1-a2  
f5-e6 +  
a2-a3?  
b7-b5!  
(mate in 3)

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**Author:** ![bup](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/6bbea6/32.png) [@bup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bup)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 8:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/27 "2012-11-01T20:42:29Z")

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Obario’s facing the boss in the final level, and he’s already got him down to 50% power. Obario is at 80% on his heart meter, and has a heart restoration mushroom he hasn’t used yet.

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**Author:** ![Simplicio](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/c37758/32.png) [@Simplicio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Simplicio)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 8:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/28 "2012-11-01T20:46:41Z")

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The score is oogey-boogey to Q12. Romney has pushed the Calvinball through the time-fracture wickets, but Obama hit the opposite pole when they went into undertime, forcing Romney to enter the pernicious poem place and recite all his campaign commercials in iambic hexameter or forfit the match.

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**Author:** ![elucidator](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/8edcca/32.png) [@elucidator](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elucidator)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 8:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/29 "2012-11-01T20:50:49Z")

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> [@bup](#):
>
> obario’s facing the boss in the final level, and he’s already got him down to 50% power. Obario is at 80% on his heart meter, and has a heart restoration mushroom he hasn’t used yet.

Finish him!

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 8:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/30 "2012-11-01T20:51:16Z")

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Perhaps if they were playing polo…

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**Author:** ![The\_Hamster\_King](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/8edcca/32.png) [@The\_Hamster\_King](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Hamster_King)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 8:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/31 "2012-11-01T20:55:39Z")

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Obama’s at Tottenham Court Road with an easy lateral through West Hampstead and a safety at Barbican.

Romney’s at West Croyden with forced blocks at both Mansion House and Barking.

Advantage, Obama.

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**Author:** ![Bryan\_Ekers](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bryan_ekers/32/183_2.png) [@Bryan\_Ekers](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bryan_Ekers)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 8:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/32 "2012-11-01T20:57:09Z")

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“Wait a moment, the Soviet coach is talking to the officials, raising an objection about the clock…”

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 9:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/33 "2012-11-01T21:05:18Z")

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Well, if we assume 80% chance of victory, then it would be pocket QQ heads-up against any random two cards.

Alternatively, it’s AA against a lower pocket pair.

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**Author:** ![Jack\_Batty](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jack_batty/32/3201_2.png) [@Jack\_Batty](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jack_Batty)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 9:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/34 "2012-11-01T21:06:52Z")

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Obama has seven monopolies - with houses - and he just landed on Free Parking. Romney has Boardwalk and Park Place, plus the railroads and the utilities, but he’s stuck in jail and he’s on his last chance to roll doubles.

Obama just picked up a Chance card and advanced to Go.

Of course Romney is the top hat and Obama is the howitzer.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 9:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/35 "2012-11-01T21:08:46Z")

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For baseball, according to [this](http://www.tangotiger.net/welist.html), it looks like a 20% win chance is equivalent to Bottom of the 9th with one out, down by 1, with a man on 1st.

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**Author:** ![Ravenman](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ravenman/32/2929_2.png) [@Ravenman](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ravenman)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 9:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/36 "2012-11-01T21:13:54Z")

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Obama has made his way to Charing Cross, and Romney is trying to make a play to Southwark. That might be a wise strategy, except that Romney didn’t realize that at the second debate they agreed on Houndslow Manor Rules, and lateral passes aren’t authorized.

'Nuff said.

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**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 9:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/37 "2012-11-01T21:14:28Z")

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Psst… Post 31. 😃

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**Author:** ![mkecane](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9e8a1a/32.png) [@mkecane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mkecane)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 9:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/38 "2012-11-01T21:15:07Z")

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> [@Saint\_Cad](#):
>
> Actually Obama is holding K W I J I B O

That’s not a word!

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**Author:** ![bup](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/6bbea6/32.png) [@bup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bup)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 9:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/39 "2012-11-01T21:17:53Z")

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> [@The\_Hamster\_King](#):
>
> Obama’s at Tottenham Court Road with an easy lateral through West Hampstead and a safety at Barbican.
> 
> Romney’s at West Croyden with forced blocks at both Mansion House and Barking.
> 
> Advantage, Obama.

Tube races? Or what?

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**Author:** ![Miller](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/miller/32/481_2.png) [@Miller](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Miller)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 9:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/40 "2012-11-01T21:20:52Z")

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> [@Saint\_Cad](#):
>
> Actually Obama is holding K W I J I B O

He can spell “job” with that. Obama is a job creator!

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