# Obama up by 3 with 3 minutes to go (football analogy) **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 1, 2012, 7:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603 "2012-11-01T19:11:30Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 3
**Author:** ![Bryan\_Ekers](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bryan_ekers/32/183_2.png) [@Bryan\_Ekers](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bryan_Ekers)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 9:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/41 "2012-11-01T21:21:55Z")
You can also spell “kiwi”… that’s some kinda _gay_ fruit! ---
**Author:** ![Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/face_intentionally_left_blank/32/288_2.png) [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Face_Intentionally_Left_Blank)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 9:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/42 "2012-11-01T21:30:10Z")
> [@Jas09](#): > > For baseball, according to [this](http://www.tangotiger.net/welist.html), it looks like a 20% win chance is equivalent to Bottom of the 9th with one out, down by 1, with a man on 1st. But who’s in the on-deck circle, man? WHO’S IN THE ON-DECK CIRCLE? ---
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 9:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/43 "2012-11-01T21:31:04Z")
> [@Paranoid\_Randroid](#): > > The only uniform is a toothbrush mustache. (By regulation mandatory, BTW.) Naked Hitler… Ewww! 😉 I’ll contribute: Romney’s twig just hit a rock halfway under the bridge, but is still in the water at least. Obama’s log is about to emerge from under the bridge, but it looks like it just might start to sink a bit. (Poohsticks). ---
**Author:** ![Hampshire](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hampshire/32/4887_2.png) [@Hampshire](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hampshire)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 9:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/44 "2012-11-01T21:38:20Z")
The only inevitable is the fans of the losing candidate kicking and screaming about those ga-damn refs screwing the whole thing up. ---
**Author:** ![scabpicker](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/scabpicker/32/8268_2.png) [@scabpicker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/scabpicker)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 10:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/45 "2012-11-01T22:04:58Z")
It’s the second to the last lap of 24 Hours of Daytona. Obama’s in the lead, and Romney’s a lap down. His only real hope is for Obama to have a terrible mechanical problem, or run out of fuel in the next couple of turns. Hey, it’s the only sport I follow. ---
**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 10:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/46 "2012-11-01T22:05:37Z")
> [@Hampshire](#): > > The only inevitable is the fans of the losing candidate kicking and screaming about those ga-damn refs screwing the whole thing up. It’s the replacement poll workers! ---
**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 10:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/47 "2012-11-01T22:08:43Z")
[Football probabilities:](http://wp.advancednflstats.com/winprobcalc1.php) Romney’s ball. Thirty seconds to go, Romney’s down by 4. He’s on the Obama 20. Third and 9. Romney has a 21% chance of winning this. OR… Obama’s ball. Five seconds to go, tie game. He’s on the Romney 28. First and 10. Obama has a 79% chance of winning. OR… Obama’s ball. Right at the start of the fourth quarter, Obama’s up by 4. He’s on Romney’s 35. First and 10. Obama has a 79% chance of winning. OR… Romney’s ball. Fourth quarter, 1:40 to go, tie game. He’s on his own 1. Fourth and long. He has a 21% chance of winning. This is great, I could do these all day. ---
**Author:** ![Drain\_Bead](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e47774/32.png) [@Drain\_Bead](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Drain_Bead)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 10:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/48 "2012-11-01T22:12:34Z")
> [@scabpicker](#): > > It’s the second to the last lap of 24 Hours of Daytona. Obama’s in the lead, and Romney’s a lap down. His only real hope is for Obama to have a terrible mechanical problem, or run out of fuel in the next couple of turns. > > Hey, it’s the only sport I follow. Are some of your good friends team owners? ---
**Author:** ![wonky](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wonky/32/393_2.png) [@wonky](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wonky)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 10:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/49 "2012-11-01T22:16:32Z")
I have bad news. Marie-Reine Le Gougne is the sole judge. ---
**Author:** ![J\_Cubed](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/c6cbf5/32.png) [@J\_Cubed](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/J_Cubed)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 10:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/50 "2012-11-01T22:17:02Z")
> [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](#): > > But who’s in the on-deck circle, man? WHO’S IN THE ON-DECK CIRCLE? Chris Christie. ---
**Author:** ![Asimovian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asimovian/32/172_2.png) [@Asimovian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Asimovian)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 10:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/51 "2012-11-01T22:31:10Z")
> [@J\_Cubed](#): > > Chris Christie. I’m pretty sure Coach Boehner is keeping Christie on the bench in case of extra innings. Ryan’s in the on-deck circle. Rubio’s in the hole. Bush, Jr. was yanked earlier after an 0-2 performance, and is currently hitting the showers. ---
**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 10:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/52 "2012-11-01T22:42:20Z")
> [@mkecane](#): > > That’s not a word! And it’s on triple word score. ---
**Author:** ![jayjay](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jayjay/32/6765_2.png) [@jayjay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jayjay)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 10:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/53 "2012-11-01T22:44:27Z")
> [@bup](#): > > Tube races? Or what? [Mornington Crescent](http://www.amazonsystems.co.uk/data/morn.htm) ---
**Author:** ![drewtwo99](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d07c76/32.png) [@drewtwo99](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/drewtwo99)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 10:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/54 "2012-11-01T22:47:26Z")
Obama is in 1st and holds a green-shell behind him. Romney is in 2nd but is quite a ways behind and is about to pick up an item box. Obama knows how to power-slide and snake, but Romney knows a short-cut through the track if he picks up a mushroom or golden mushroom. Jill Stein just picked up a blue shell but the Ron Paul supporters used a boo and don’t know how to play Mario Kart. ---
**Author:** ![Knorf](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/58956e/32.png) [@Knorf](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Knorf)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 11:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/55 "2012-11-01T23:34:21Z")
> [@John\_Mace](#): > > It’s a beer-chugging contest down at O’Mally’s bar. The bartender has lined up 5 freshly poured glasses of Guinness for each contestant. They look each other in the eye. Obama slowly smiles and lets out a little laugh. /Wins thread. ---
**Author:** ![Trepa\_Mayfield](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/edb3f5/32.png) [@Trepa\_Mayfield](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Trepa_Mayfield)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 11:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/56 "2012-11-01T23:45:15Z")
Obama’s got out an active JTMS, 2 Moxen, and land, and is holding Tinker, Force, and Gush. On Romney’s upkeep, all Romney’s got is an Ancient Tomb, a Revoker set to “Time Vault”, and a Thorn in hand he can’t cast. ---
**Author:** ![Bryan\_Ekers](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bryan_ekers/32/183_2.png) [@Bryan\_Ekers](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bryan_Ekers)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2012, 11:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/57 "2012-11-01T23:45:41Z")
Obama has switched to door #3, Romney has not. ---
**Author:** ![Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/8edcca/32.png) [@Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hentor_the_Barbarian)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 12:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/58 "2012-11-02T00:02:09Z")
Obama has Romney turned around and off-balance as he is slipping in the jello. Obama has Romney’s g-string stretched to the breaking point. ---
**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 12:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/59 "2012-11-02T00:19:00Z")
Michelle and Ann jump into the mud vat. Oh, wait… that’s another contest. ---
**Author:** ![Malden\_Capell](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/malden_capell/32/5274_2.png) [@Malden\_Capell](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Malden_Capell)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 12:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/60 "2012-11-02T00:24:10Z")
Obama’s got the finish line in his sites, but Romney’s just launched a blue shell! Can Obama cross the line in time? [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603.md?page=2) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603.md?page=4)