# Obama up by 3 with 3 minutes to go (football analogy)

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 1, 2012, 7:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603 "2012-11-01T19:11:30Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 4

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**Author:** ![bengangmo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/50afbb/32.png) [@bengangmo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bengangmo)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 12:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/61 "2012-11-02T00:57:09Z")

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> [@Bryan\_Ekers](#):
>
> You can also spell “kiwi”… that’s some kinda _gay_ fruit!

Well they have legalised gay marriage…

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**Author:** ![Just1Lurk](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/c0e974/32.png) [@Just1Lurk](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Just1Lurk)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 1:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/62 "2012-11-02T01:00:36Z")

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Barry Potter’s team is up by 140, and he’s on a Firebolt. Mittco Romfoy is on a Cleansweep 260, and he has a bad habit of running straight into the bludgers…

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**Author:** ![Drain\_Bead](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e47774/32.png) [@Drain\_Bead](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Drain_Bead)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 2:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/63 "2012-11-02T02:52:28Z")

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This…is the best thread ever.

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**Author:** ![Gukumatz](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/74df32/32.png) [@Gukumatz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gukumatz)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 3:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/64 "2012-11-02T03:14:43Z")

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The match is in Sudden Death, Romney’s playmaker just flipped the ref the bird and Obama’s keeper is a calm man who _smiles all the time_. (And his name is Schmeichel.)

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**Author:** ![bengangmo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/50afbb/32.png) [@bengangmo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bengangmo)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 3:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/65 "2012-11-02T03:15:39Z")

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Team Obama up by 11, they’ve got the feed to a scrum on Romney’s 5 yard line, 5 minutes to play.

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**Author:** ![Bryan\_Ekers](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bryan_ekers/32/183_2.png) [@Bryan\_Ekers](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bryan_Ekers)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 3:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/66 "2012-11-02T03:24:51Z")

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Because of penalties and injuries, Romney’s squamish team is down to 38 men.

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**Author:** ![Alan\_Smithee](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/2acd7d/32.png) [@Alan\_Smithee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Alan_Smithee)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 6:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/67 "2012-11-02T06:09:38Z")

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Ba-rock Oh Mamma just became lead jammer and Bitch Romney is still coming through the pack, but Bitch Romney only needs fifteen points and there’s time for one more jam. If Ba-rock Oh Mamma gets a penalty, Bitch Romney can make it up with one power jam.

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**Author:** ![Robot\_Arm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robot_arm/32/18280_2.png) [@Robot\_Arm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Robot_Arm)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 6:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/68 "2012-11-02T06:54:46Z")

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It’s the last end, and the Obama rink is up by two with the hammer.

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**Author:** ![bengangmo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/50afbb/32.png) [@bengangmo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bengangmo)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 7:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/69 "2012-11-02T07:23:12Z")

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Obama’s ahead by 40, he’s at the table and all the colours are on their spots.

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**Author:** ![eschereal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschereal/32/18939_2.png) [@eschereal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschereal)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 7:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/70 "2012-11-02T07:43:14Z")

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Mitt is riding with Jeremy, who went a bit into the grass around the Hammerhead and they are now just passing the tirewall. Barack is riding with the Stig, just coming up to Gambon.

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**Author:** ![bengangmo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/50afbb/32.png) [@bengangmo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bengangmo)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 7:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/71 "2012-11-02T07:56:30Z")

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> [@For You](#):
>
> Mitt is riding with Jeremy, who went a bit into the grass around the Hammerhead and they are now just passing the tirewall. Barack is riding with the Stig, just coming up to Gambon.

Why are you so nice to Mitt? Wouldn’t Captain slow be a better option for him?

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**Author:** ![MrDibble](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mrdibble/32/114_2.png) [@MrDibble](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MrDibble)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 8:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/72 "2012-11-02T08:37:39Z")

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It’s the start of the last over of the Romney innings, Last Man Jack is in, Obama is up by 24 runs and he’s brought in the Chinaman.

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**Author:** ![John\_Stamos\_Left\_Ear](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_stamos_left_ear/32/3198_2.png) [@John\_Stamos\_Left\_Ear](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Stamos_Left_Ear)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 9:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/73 "2012-11-02T09:44:50Z")

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The thing I didn’t like about Nate’s analogy is that I can dig being up a field goal with three minutes left but what I don’t know is who has the ball and where.

Bring up by a FG with the opposing team facing a third and 22 on their own 6 yard line is way preferable to being up by the same amount with the other team already in field goal range.

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**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 9:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/74 "2012-11-02T09:46:39Z")

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Obama and Romney are playing checkers; Romney is slightly distracted by something on the TV.

Huh. I guess checkers doesn’t lend itself to this kind of analysis.

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**Author:** ![Malden\_Capell](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/malden_capell/32/5274_2.png) [@Malden\_Capell](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Malden_Capell)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 9:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/75 "2012-11-02T09:50:40Z")

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Obama uses FEMA!

It’s super effective!

Romney is paralysed!

Romney uses CHARITY!

It’s not very effective…

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**Author:** ![John\_Stamos\_Left\_Ear](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_stamos_left_ear/32/3198_2.png) [@John\_Stamos\_Left\_Ear](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Stamos_Left_Ear)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 9:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/76 "2012-11-02T09:59:22Z")

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By the way, as a poker player, I prefer poker analogies (plus they fit in with percentages that Nate likes… AND Nate spent some time as an internet poker pro)…

Right now, Obama is an 80.9% favorite. This would be like, in a game of Hold 'Em, getting it all in with [pocket Kings against pocket deuces](http://twodimes.net/poker/?g=h&b=&d=&h=kd+kc%0D%0A2h+2s) with both players having different suits. Even the chances of a tie are not horribly off: 0.3% according to Nate, 0.5% for the poker hand (although the results of a tie are very different - in the event of an EV tie, Romney will almost certainly become president whereas on a poker table, both players split the pot evenly.)

As a poker professional, I would love getting it in with all of my money on the line in this circumstance. However, as a poker player who is not a pro but an amateur who plays recreationally, I would be be fine if my entire buy-in for that day was in the middle of the pot with those odds. But it would really suck if everything I owned was in that pot since 20% of the time I lose everything… I don’t play for everything, but the election kinda is for everything…

This is why I’m still nervous!

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 10:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/77 "2012-11-02T10:30:43Z")

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Romney is lying on his back on the Colosseum floor, his sword lies several feet away. Obama stands over him, his sword tip on Romney’s throat. He looks up at the emperor’s box…

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**Author:** ![Mr\_Shine](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mr_shine/32/464_2.png) [@Mr\_Shine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mr_Shine)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 10:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/78 "2012-11-02T10:52:38Z")

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Obama has got a Lesser Onion, however it’s Mitt’s turn to draw, and he already has 6 8s and a wild onion and is looking to Cripple Obama’s onion.

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**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 11:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/79 "2012-11-02T11:22:54Z")

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I’m just worried about the fact that Diebold made the scoreboard.

> [@mkecane](#):
>
> That’s not a word!

Clearly Obama should play TNETENNBA.

As in “[Good morning. That’s a nice tnetennba](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lsFAokXCxTI).”

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**Author:** ![gamerunknown](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/6bbea6/32.png) [@gamerunknown](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/gamerunknown)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2012, 1:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-up-by-3-with-3-minutes-to-go-football-analogy/639603/80 "2012-11-02T13:36:09Z")

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Obama is free, Romney doesn’t read [xkcd](http://xkcd.com/391/).

Also, Hounslow Manor - I used to go to school in Hounslow. Which I suppose puts me in Nidd.

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