# \* \* \* ! Official 2016 US Presidential Election Day Thread ! \* \* \*

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 7, 2016, 2:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947 "2016-11-07T14:05:01Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![FloatyGimpy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/floatygimpy/32/7750_2.png) [@FloatyGimpy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FloatyGimpy)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 12:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/21 "2016-11-08T00:39:17Z")

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Good luck tomorrow, Americans! This Canadian is starting to get butterflies hoping it all goes the way it should. I wish you all safe, boring lines and a positive outcome!

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**Author:** ![enipla](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/54ee81/32.png) [@enipla](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/enipla)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 12:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/22 "2016-11-08T00:57:33Z")

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> [@Honey](#):
>
> \<snip\>
> 
> Post your real-time state updates, interesting things seen at the polls, or anything else having to do with election day 2016.
> 
> **I will be very glad when this is over**. What a ride it’s been.\<snip\>

Bolding mine.

My Wife and I both work for County Government. Both our buildings are polling places. It’s a small mountain County in Colorado.

I’m curious if we get any of Trumps ‘Poll watchers’. And while the commercials will go away, no matter who is elected, it’s far from over.

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**Author:** ![Hari\_Seldon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hari_seldon/32/5173_2.png) [@Hari\_Seldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hari_Seldon)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 12:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/23 "2016-11-08T00:57:47Z")

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Who is going to stay up till 12:05 AM EST to hear the results from Dixville notch?

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**Author:** ![scabpicker](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/scabpicker/32/8268_2.png) [@scabpicker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/scabpicker)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 5:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/24 "2016-11-08T05:11:46Z")

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I did, because I have to be up for work. Results From Dixville Notch (they named it naughty on purpose, I’m sure of it):

Clinton: 4  
Trump:2  
Johnson: 1  
Write in for Romney: 1

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**Author:** ![scabpicker](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/scabpicker/32/8268_2.png) [@scabpicker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/scabpicker)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 5:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/25 "2016-11-08T05:42:08Z")

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And just for fun, Hart’s Location:

Clinton: 17  
Trump: 14  
Johnson: 3  
write-ins:  
Bernie Sanders: 1  
John Kasich: 1

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**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 6:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/26 "2016-11-08T06:30:37Z")

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> [@scabpicker](#):
>
> I did, because I have to be up for work. Results From Dixville Notch (they named it naughty on purpose, I’m sure of it):
> 
> Clinton: 4  
> Trump:2  
> Johnson: 1  
> Write in for Romney: 1

Trump must be going: “You are on my list, Mittens!”

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**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 6:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/27 "2016-11-08T06:48:13Z")

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Probably this is the best place to put some final expert models final popular vote predictions:

538: C +3.6  
PEC: C +4  
HuffPo: C +5.2  
RCP rolling average: C +3.3 (4-way)  
PollyVote: C +5.2

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**Author:** ![scabpicker](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/scabpicker/32/8268_2.png) [@scabpicker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/scabpicker)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 7:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/28 "2016-11-08T07:01:29Z")

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> [@GIGObuster](#):
>
> Trump must be going: “You are on my list, Mittens!”

Luckily, keeping a shit list looks to be the only way he’s as competent as Nixon. (crosses fingers)

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**Author:** ![Alessan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alessan/32/465_2.png) [@Alessan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Alessan)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 7:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/29 "2016-11-08T07:19:28Z")

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I just want to tell you good luck. We’re all counting on you.

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**Author:** ![AK84](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/85e7bf/32.png) [@AK84](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AK84)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 7:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/30 "2016-11-08T07:30:03Z")

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> [@Alessan](#):
>
> I just want to tell you good luck. We’re all counting on you.

Yes. Make sure Trump wins. 4 more years! (of hilarity).  
Plus You said that 18 hours ago.:eek:

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**Author:** ![Nametag](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/nametag/32/406_2.png) [@Nametag](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Nametag)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 8:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/31 "2016-11-08T08:28:58Z")

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> [@Alessan](#):
>
> I just want to tell you good luck. We’re all counting on you.

> [@AK84](#):
>
> Yes. Make sure Trump wins. 4 more years! (of hilarity).  
> Plus You said that 18 hours ago.:eek:

And it’s another _Airplane_ reference fail!

Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit drinking.

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 8:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/32 "2016-11-08T08:35:39Z")

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As far as Airplane! references go, I’m thinking we’ll hear announcements about getting “all emergency vehicles” out to the runway, which will include a Budweiser truck, a cement mixer and :eek: … a Trump Vodka truck.

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**Author:** ![Princhester](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/3e96dc/32.png) [@Princhester](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Princhester)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 8:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/33 "2016-11-08T08:40:37Z")

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> [@Alessan](#):
>
> I just want to tell you good luck. We’re all counting on you.

Dammit, I came to this thread specifically to post this! [Shakes fist]

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**Author:** ![kambuckta](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/53a042/32.png) [@kambuckta](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kambuckta)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 8:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/34 "2016-11-08T08:51:29Z")

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Everybody VOTE!! The rest of the world is counting on you to piff that jaundiced moron to the sidelines. Please?

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**Author:** ![Jack\_Batty](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jack_batty/32/3201_2.png) [@Jack\_Batty](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jack_Batty)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 8:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/35 "2016-11-08T08:54:57Z")

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I’m going to be in a virtual media black-out tonight from about 6:00-10:00 Eastern (band practice). I’m fully expecting to hear that Clinton has been pronounced the winner on the radio on my drive home.

It’ll be strange not tracking results as they roll-in, but band practice is pretty much my favorite thing, so Clinton and Trumpy are on their own.

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 9:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/36 "2016-11-08T09:53:16Z")

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> [@DSeid](#):
>
> Probably this is the best place to put some final expert models final popular vote predictions:
> 
> 538: C +3.6  
> PEC: C +4  
> HuffPo: C +5.2  
> RCP rolling average: C +3.3 (4-way)  
> PollyVote: C +5.2

The [current polling average on 538](http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/national-polls/) as of 4:50am has Clinton 45.8, Trump 41.9, which is Clinton +3.9. Is there an actual prediction of the ultimate margin, other than that?

(Looks like the now-cast and the polls-only agree, which is good, because the election IS being held today. Thank goodness :))

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 10:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/37 "2016-11-08T10:10:34Z")

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Let me toss in [David Rothschild at PredictWise](http://predictwise.com/blog/2016/11/election-eve-2016/):

> [@](#):
>
> On the eve of Election Day Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton is 89 percent to defeat Republican nominee Donald Trump. Clinton is 94% in CO, NV, and PA, whose combined Electoral Votes bring her to 274. She has insurance in NH 87%, FL 77%, NC 64%, and OH 33%. Any of which she has a great chance of winning, but does not need to win. To put this in perspective on the eve of their elections: Obama 2012 68%, Obama 2008 91%, and Bush 2004 55%.
> 
> The Democrats are 67 percent to win the senate, but a lot of hinges on the presidential election, as there is a 24% likelihood of a 50/50 tie. The most likely outcome for the senate. Finally, I will highlight one governors race, in North Carolina, McCrory (R) is just 40% to hold on to his position.

He also gives the following House probabilities:

Dems \>= 218: 6%  
GOP 218-230 23%  
GOP 231-240 57%  
GOP 241-250 11%  
GOP \>250 3%

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Alessan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alessan/32/465_2.png) [@Alessan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Alessan)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 10:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/38 "2016-11-08T10:34:17Z")

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> [@Princhester](#):
>
> Dammit, I came to this thread specifically to post this! [Shakes fist]

Great minds, etc.

Personally, seeing as I’m 7 hours ahead of the U.S., I won’t be getting results until tomorrow morning my time. I’m thinking about pulling an all-nighter; it’s not as if I’ll get much sleep anyway.

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**Author:** ![lisiate](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/f05b48/32.png) [@lisiate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/lisiate)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 10:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/39 "2016-11-08T10:36:02Z")

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> [@kambuckta](#):
>
> Everybody VOTE!! The rest of the world is counting on you to piff that jaundiced moron to the sidelines. Please?

I’m not familiar with that line, it must be from Airplane II.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![shantih](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/f6c823/32.png) [@shantih](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/shantih)\
**Post date:** [November 8, 2016, 10:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/40 "2016-11-08T10:56:53Z")

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> [@Alessan](#):
>
> Great minds, etc.
> 
> Personally, seeing as I’m 7 hours ahead of the U.S., I won’t be getting results until tomorrow morning my time. I’m thinking about pulling an all-nighter; it’s not as if I’ll get much sleep anyway.

That’s what I’ll be doing, 6 hours ahead of the East Coast as I am. I’m just figuring out what I need to get accomplished today so I can see where a nap will fit in. There’s no way I’m waiting until I wake up tomorrow morning to find out how things went!

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