# OH-12 Special Election 8/7

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [April 27, 2018, 5:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227 "2018-04-27T17:01:33Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 18\
**Page:** 4

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**Author:** ![GreysonCarlisle](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/a87d85/32.png) [@GreysonCarlisle](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GreysonCarlisle)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2018, 5:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/61 "2018-08-08T17:20:40Z")

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> [@RTFirefly](#):
>
> Since there’s no other thread for primary results from last night, I’ll just mention what I thought was the biggest news of the night: the absolutely **crushing** defeat of right-to-work in Missouri. Looks like the final tally was 32.5% Yes, 67.5% No, with ‘Yes’ being a vote for RTW.

Particularly since

> [@](#):
>
> When Missourians gathered more than 300,000 petition signatures to force a referendum on the state’s right-to-work law, Republicans who control the state legislature tried to protect the union-busting law with a maneuver they thought would tip the outcome in their favor.
> 
> Their move: Put the referendum on the ballot in the August primary, when they expected strong Republican turnout, rather than in the November general election, when they expected pro-union Democrats would show up in full force.
> 
> It backfired spectacularly.

- [CNN](https://www.cnn.com/2018/08/08/politics/takeaways-ohio-special-election-michigan-kansas-missouri-washington-primaries/index.html)

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**Author:** ![Silver\_lining](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/aca169/32.png) [@Silver\_lining](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Silver_lining)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2018, 5:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/62 "2018-08-08T17:51:56Z")

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With 99 percent of precincts reporting ( As of this afternoon ) , Balderson has 50.1 percent of the vote to O’Connor’s 49.3 percent.

Trump tweet for the night, which is some spin and some truth:

> [@](#):
>
> The Republicans have now won 8 out of 9 House Seats, yet if you listen to the Fake News Media you would think we are being clobbered. Why can’t they play it straight, so unfair to the Republican Party and in particular, your favorite President! - President Trump

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**Author:** ![elucidator](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/8edcca/32.png) [@elucidator](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elucidator)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2018, 6:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/63 "2018-08-08T18:19:57Z")

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“Some truth”, indeed. Trump is, in fact, President. Sorta, kinda.

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**Author:** ![Rick\_Kitchen](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rick_kitchen/32/522_2.png) [@Rick\_Kitchen](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rick_Kitchen)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2018, 6:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/64 "2018-08-08T18:44:36Z")

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> [@The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](#):
>
> I’m not sure I follow you; if O’Connor had gotten every single one of the Green votes, then wouldn’t Balderson still be ahead?

Not at the time I posted that.

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**Author:** ![dalej42](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/67e7ee/32.png) [@dalej42](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dalej42)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2018, 6:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/65 "2018-08-08T18:55:16Z")

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The Green Party candidate is even odder than I thought. I’m not sure what ICE and Trump’s policy is on aliens from other planets, but Joe Manchik claims that some of his relatives are:

My distant relatives originally came to planet Earth from a planet orbiting a star in the Pleiades star cluster located in the constellation of Taurus.

> **[Joe Manchik](https://www.facebook.com/manchikengineering/about?lst=1168124595%3A701693075%3A1533739939&section=bio)**
>
> Joe Manchik is on Facebook. Join Facebook to connect with Joe Manchik and others you may know. Facebook gives people the power to share and makes the world more open and connected.

And, of course, he has the silly Facebook privacy notice which has been debunked numerous times.

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**Author:** ![Shodan](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/9f8e36/32.png) [@Shodan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shodan)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2018, 7:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/66 "2018-08-08T19:41:02Z")

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> [@dalej42](#):
>
> The Green Party candidate is even odder than I thought. I’m not sure what ICE and Trump’s policy is on aliens from other planets, but Joe Manchik claims that some of his relatives are:
> 
> My distant relatives originally came to planet Earth from a planet orbiting a star in the Pleiades star cluster located in the constellation of Taurus.

“Look, when I said I was against illegal aliens, THIS IS NOT WHAT I MEANT!”

Regards,  
Shodan

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**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\
**Post date:** [August 8, 2018, 9:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/67 "2018-08-08T21:57:24Z")

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Well, what’s wrong with what he said? The Pleiades are, in fact, in Taurus.

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**Author:** ![Johanna](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johanna/32/8318_2.png) [@Johanna](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Johanna)\
**Post date:** [August 10, 2018, 10:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/68 "2018-08-10T10:51:47Z")

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An amateur astronomer I once met cast doubt on New Age claims of Pleiadean visitors to Earth, because the stars of the Pleiades are too young and too hotfor life to have formed there. Also too close together?: I don’t know enough about astrophysics to evaluate this, but it seems to me the level of radiation within the cluster must be too lethal for anything to live there.

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [August 10, 2018, 12:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/69 "2018-08-10T12:01:04Z")

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> [@dalej42](#):
>
> My distant relatives originally came to planet Earth from a planet orbiting a star in the Pleiades star cluster located in the constellation of Taurus.

Sounds like bull to me.  
I rather doubt OH-12 will come out for the Dems in the special election. Are these same 2 guys going to square off again in November?

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**Author:** ![Lord\_Feldon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lord_feldon/32/341_2.png) [@Lord\_Feldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lord_Feldon)\
**Post date:** [August 10, 2018, 12:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/70 "2018-08-10T12:26:23Z")

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> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> I rather doubt OH-12 will come out for the Dems in the special election.

Yeah, there just aren’t enough votes left. I think I read that only around 5-10% of unreturned absentee ballots show up, so together with the ~80% of provisional ballots that are usually valid, the 8,000 will dwindle to around 3,000 and O’Connor would need something like 75% of that.

> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> Are these same 2 guys going to square off again in November?

Yes, the same candidates. It’s not like that district in Michigan that just nominated [different Democrats](https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/2018/08/08/brenda-jones-congress-conyers-race/934566002/) for the special and general elections (which will occur on the same day in November).

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [August 10, 2018, 1:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/71 "2018-08-10T13:57:51Z")

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> [@dalej42](#):
>
> My distant relatives originally came to planet Earth from a planet orbiting a star in the Pleiades star cluster located in the constellation of Taurus.

My distant relatives drove around planet Earth in a used Ford Taurus.

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**Author:** ![septimus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/septimus/32/410_2.png) [@septimus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/septimus)\
**Post date:** [August 10, 2018, 2:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/72 "2018-08-10T14:04:28Z")

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> [@Silver\_lining](#):
>
> With 99 percent of precincts reporting ( As of this afternoon ) , Balderson has 50.1 percent of the vote to O’Connor’s 49.3 percent.
> 
> Trump tweet for the night, which is some spin and some truth:

Quick quiz:  
(1) Do you even know why Democrats were delighted to do this well in Ohio-12?  
(2) Do you still think stats from the 2008 election give the best look at the 2016 election?  
(3) Did I miss your comment on the following? :–  
**Silver lining** : “www.thegatewaypundit. …”  
**Wikipedia** : “The website [The Gateway Pundit] is known for publishing falsehoods and spreading hoaxes.”  
[We’re discussing some of these matters in another thread.](https://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=859995)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![scr4](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/59ef9b/32.png) [@scr4](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/scr4)\
**Post date:** [August 10, 2018, 2:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/73 "2018-08-10T14:33:56Z")

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> [@RTFirefly](#):
>
> My distant relatives drove around planet Earth in a used Ford Taurus.

And a Subaru too, probably.

(That’s the Japanese name for the Pleiades).

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**Author:** ![Silver\_lining](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/aca169/32.png) [@Silver\_lining](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Silver_lining)\
**Post date:** [August 11, 2018, 6:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/74 "2018-08-11T18:09:13Z")

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> [@septimus](#):
>
> Quick quiz:  
> (1) Do you even know why Democrats were delighted to do this well in Ohio-12?  
> (2) Do you still think stats from the 2008 election give the best look at the 2016 election?  
> (3) Did I miss your comment on the following? :–  
> **Silver lining** : “www.thegatewaypundit. …”  
> **Wikipedia** : “The website [The Gateway Pundit] is known for publishing falsehoods and spreading hoaxes.”  
> [We’re discussing some of these matters in another thread.](https://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=859995)

The guy ran poorly and made a major gaffe about Franklin county. The news to me is many Trump voters did not come out, yet he still won.

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [August 11, 2018, 8:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/75 "2018-08-11T20:59:21Z")

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> [@Silver\_lining](#):
>
> The guy ran poorly and made a major gaffe about Franklin county. The news to me is many Trump voters did not come out, yet he still won.

It’s not news to any of us who are paying attention that you interpret absolutely every single political event in the most positive light possible for Trump. The Trump campaign and GOP apparatus thanks you for your efforts in helping to spin a \<1 pt win in a R+12 district as positive for them.

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**Author:** ![bobot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bobot/32/21622_2.png) [@bobot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bobot)\
**Post date:** [August 11, 2018, 9:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/76 "2018-08-11T21:27:12Z")

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> [@Silver\_lining](#):
>
> The guy …made a major gaffe about Franklin county. …

Ok I am unfamiliar with this, please educate me about this major gaffe. I would love to know what a Trump supporter considers to be a major gaffe. And I would love to compare this major gaffe with Trump’s campaigning history, and his apparent lack of major gaffes. You know, just for the comparison and informational/educational potential. It’s for science.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [August 14, 2018, 11:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/77 "2018-08-14T11:23:14Z")

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> [@bobot](#):
>
> Ok I am unfamiliar with this, please educate me about this major gaffe. I would love to know what a Trump supporter considers to be a major gaffe. And I would love to compare this major gaffe with Trump’s campaigning history, and his apparent lack of major gaffes. You know, just for the comparison and informational/educational potential. It’s for science.

Major gaffe for anyone but Donald: saying it’s Tuesday when it’s really Wednesday.

Major gaffe for Donald: Starting WW III because of a mean tweet. Anything less than that is just fine.

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**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [August 14, 2018, 11:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/oh-12-special-election-8-7/813227/78 "2018-08-14T11:50:00Z")

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> [@Silver\_lining](#):
>
> The guy ran poorly and made a major gaffe about Franklin county. The news to me is many Trump voters did not come out, yet he still won.

I can’t help but note that this doesn’t answer any of the three questions in the post you were responding to. Is there a reason you aren’t answering them?

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