# Okay Folks! Election Prediction Thread! **URL:** \ **Category:** Great Debates\ **Created:** [November 4, 2008, 3:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/okay-folks-election-prediction-thread/471060 "2008-11-04T15:33:27Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 7\ **Page:** 3
**Author:** ![BarnOwl](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/e95f7d/32.png) [@BarnOwl](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BarnOwl)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2008, 9:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/okay-folks-election-prediction-thread/471060/41 "2008-11-04T21:04:33Z")
> [@Shayna](#): > > My pie-in-the-sky, extraordinarily unlikely, pigs-with-lipstick-will-fly-first [prediction](http://www.flickr.com/photos/23298617@N05/3003802044/sizes/o/). > > šŸ˜ƒ Over the moon delightful!! šŸ˜› ---
**Author:** ![Orbifold](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/o/779978/32.png) [@Orbifold](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Orbifold)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2008, 9:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/okay-folks-election-prediction-thread/471060/42 "2008-11-04T21:07:17Z")
My admittedly cynical prediction, copied from [here](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showpost.php?p=10393289&postcount=1058): Obama 289 McCain 249 McCain wins FL, NC, VA, and CO; Obama wins PA (duh), OH, NM, and NV. I like to make ā€œIā€™d be happy to be proved wrongā€ predictions. ---
**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2008, 9:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/okay-folks-election-prediction-thread/471060/43 "2008-11-04T21:25:25Z")
> [@Shayna](#): > > My pie-in-the-sky, extraordinarily unlikely, pigs-with-lipstick-will-fly-first [prediction](http://www.flickr.com/photos/23298617@N05/3003802044/sizes/o/). > > šŸ˜ƒ No way McCain takes New Mexico! šŸ˜ƒ ---
**Author:** ![BarnOwl](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/e95f7d/32.png) [@BarnOwl](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BarnOwl)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2008, 11:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/okay-folks-election-prediction-thread/471060/44 "2008-11-04T23:06:51Z")
> [@Phlosphr](#): > > **Barnowl** that is a great [website](http://politics.betfair.com/)- gambling odds are more accurately totaled than I anticipated. cool. Uh, **Phlosphr** , any way you can describe how to read the odds at this site? Explain (if applicable) please, Lay vs Back. I know shite from shinola about betting. I was too ashamed to admit this before. ---
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2008, 4:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/okay-folks-election-prediction-thread/471060/45 "2008-11-05T16:09:49Z")
> [@Lantern](#): > > Based on late polls especially Gallup I am predicting a big win in the popular vote:around 9-10 points > > Obama: 53% > McCain: 44% > > In the EV I am assuming that Obamaā€™s ground game will deliver almost every state where he is tied or better: > Kerry + Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Missouri > > Obama: 364 > McCain: 174 Assuming that NC finally gets called, **Lantern** wins! Even Obamaā€™s percentage right. Me, I am disappointed that Hispanics didnā€™t come out more but find some solace in the facts that Harris and Dallas counties are blue, as is Austin. I also was at least right on record absolute number of voters both overall and for a single candidate ever. [link](http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15306.html) ---
**Author:** ![BarnOwl](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/e95f7d/32.png) [@BarnOwl](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BarnOwl)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2008, 7:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/okay-folks-election-prediction-thread/471060/46 "2008-11-05T19:03:02Z")
> [@atomicbadgerrace](#): > > I read this somewhere a few weeks ago ā€“ Iā€™ve been following it on InTrade, though. I wonder how itā€™ll play out tonight. I think [http://politics.betfair.com/](http://politics.betfair.com/) worked out well!! Maybe youā€™d like to go there and check out the gamblers predictions. No tribute to me at all, of course. I just upchucked some of what the site forcast. ---
**Author:** ![Lakai](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/9de0a6/32.png) [@Lakai](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lakai)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2008, 11:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/okay-folks-election-prediction-thread/471060/47 "2008-11-05T23:42:45Z")
> [@DSeid](#): > > Assuming that NC finally gets called, **Lantern** wins! Even Obamaā€™s percentage right. > > Me, I am disappointed that Hispanics didnā€™t come out more but find some solace in the facts that Harris and Dallas counties are blue, as is Austin. I also was at least right on record absolute number of voters both overall and for a single candidate ever. [link](http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15306.html) Not so fast there. Missouri hasnā€™t been called yet. If Missouri and North Carolina go to Obama, then Iā€™ll be right. Not on the popular vote though. Missed that one by a mile. I know MSNBC called Missouri, but theyā€™re the only ones. Iā€™m keeping hope alive. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/okay-folks-election-prediction-thread/471060.md?page=2)