# Our government is planning to use nukes? You have to be  \*&@#$ kidding me!

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937>\
**Category:** The BBQ Pit\
**Created:** [April 9, 2006, 8:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937 "2006-04-09T08:12:13Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 4:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/21 "2006-04-09T16:14:03Z")

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> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> It will be interesting to see how Bush’s apologists spin this one. Bush is about to engage in mass murder and make the United States a pariah like the world hasn’t seen since Hitler. Somehow Faux News will blame this on the Democrats. Rash Limpballs will be bursting with pride. Sean Crappity will ridicule those who express concern about the operation.

There’s nothing to spin. This is an article quoting anonymous sources. We really don’t know anything about the details. You want anonymous sources? How about this, from the [NYT article:](http://www.nytimes.com/2006/04/09/world/middleeast/09iran.html?_r=1&oref=login)

> [@](#):
>
> Asked about the article, Frederick Jones, a National Security Council spokesman, said Saturday: “We’re not going to discuss military planning. As the president has said repeatedly, we along with the international community are pursuing a diplomatic solution to the issues surrounding Iran’s nuclear program.”
> 
> But four Pentagon, military and administration officials who participate in high-level deliberations on Iran and who were granted anonymity to speak candidly rejected the article’s contention that the Bush administration was considering nuclear weapons in a possible strike against Iran.
> 
> “I’ve never heard the issue of nukes taken off or put on the table,” a senior Pentagon official said.

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**Author:** ![clairobscur](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/839c29/32.png) [@clairobscur](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/clairobscur)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 4:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/22 "2006-04-09T16:17:57Z")

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> [@jjimm](#):
>
> Regarding exaggeration of nuclear desruction: this may be indeed true, but “nuclear” has now acquired a tokenistic cachet, like the stock market hitting 10,000 or something - meaningless yet emotionally significant. .?

Yes, that’s indeed the problem. Nukes have a huge symbolical value. they’re viewed as the ultimate weapon. Using them would be breaking a taboo. Besides, the non-proliferation treaties are based on the assumption that nuclear powers will use nukes responsably, which means : not at all. Using even a tactical nuke, even once will open the Pandora box of nuclear banalization and proliferation.

That’s apart from the general stupidity of the assumptions made. Iranians, in my experience are the most nationalist and patriotic people around, along with americans and chinese. Most view themselves as the proud heirs of a milleniums old civilization. Most certainly, a part of the population is fed up with the mullah regime. But many others are brainwashed hardliners. The surprising electoral success of the current president shows that he has a lot of support in the population. And even the formers aren’t going to blame other iranians if a foreign country (let alone the USA) bomb the shit out of them. They wil rally around the flag, while hardliners will tell them “We told you so…”.

As for the diplomatic downfall in the middle-east, in muslim nations and in the world at large of using nukes against iran…well…

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**Author:** ![Quartz](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/quartz/32/267_2.png) [@Quartz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Quartz)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 4:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/23 "2006-04-09T16:30:07Z")

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> [@Der Trihs](#):
>
> No, if a nuke is the only way to do it, you _don’t do it_.

Why not? Nukes are not much different from other bombs, just more powerful. Would it be OK if we used a MOAB, a Grasscutter, or a Grand Slam? Why?

> [@](#):
>
> Yeah, then we’d have to hesitate before mass murdering them.

Nice reasoned phrasing there. The Iranians are aiming to develop nuclear weapons. Therefore it’s a military target. Therefore, it’s not mass murder.

> [@](#):
>
> Funny how nukes are only bad when _other_ people have them. It’s OK for us to have them - and use them - but we can’t allow brown foreign heathens to have any.
> 
> They can’t.

Umm… we’re preventing them getting nukes so they don’t become a threat. Do you really want an Islamic nuke detonated in New York? Or worse, over?

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**Author:** ![crowmanyclouds](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/crowmanyclouds/32/19884_2.png) [@crowmanyclouds](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/crowmanyclouds)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 4:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/24 "2006-04-09T16:35:12Z")

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> [@Quartz](#):
>
> …Do you really want an Islamic nuke detonated in New York? Or worse, over?

Why not? Nukes are not much different from other bombs, just more powerful. :dubious:

CMC fnord!

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 4:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/25 "2006-04-09T16:57:39Z")

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Seems like one of these treads has to pop up every 3 months or so. And every 3 months or so I offer a bet which, so far, no one has been willing to take. Well, here it is again: **We will not use nukes against Iran unless they use them first.** Does anyone want to take that bet?

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**Author:** ![Spiny\_Norman](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/9de0a6/32.png) [@Spiny\_Norman](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spiny_Norman)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 5:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/26 "2006-04-09T17:36:49Z")

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- and now we’ve spent the army, what else can we do ?

> [@](#):
>
> One former defense official said the military planning was premised on a belief that “a sustained bombing campaign in Iran will humiliate the religious leadership and lead the public to rise up and overthrow the government,” The New Yorker pointed out.

Of course! We can base our plans on daydreams that the option we have left will actually work! Brillant!

Seriously: This is idiocy of the finest order. What the _fuck_ makes anyone think that “sustained bombing” will make the Iranians replace their government with one that’s more benevolent to the US ? Sheesh. To say nothing of the situation in Iraq - does anyone think that the recently liberated Shiites will sit on their hands while the US bomb Shiites in the neighbour country ?

> [@Quartz](#):
>
> Why not? Nukes are not much different from other bombs, just more powerful.

Nuclear weapons have a symbolic impact way beyond their tactical value. The idiot-in-charge can go on TV and talk about precision and tactical warheads, but his act will send a clear message to the Iranians: Fuck you and fuck the pretense of semi-civilized warfare. The Iranian Gvt. is not as poor and isolated as the Iraqi one was. Is it a smart idea to send them the message that there are no longer any rules ? They’ll feel justified in hurting the US back in any way they can. They’ll pretty much have to.

Incidentally, do you _really_ want your country to be the one to implement the “it’s just a big bomb” mindset ? India & Pakistan are taking notes. As is China.

> [@](#):
>
> Umm… we’re preventing them getting nukes so they don’t become a threat. Do you really want an Islamic nuke detonated in New York? Or worse, over?

Yeah, Iran’s first act will be to nuke New York. Iran’s government hates the US more than they like ruling Iran, obviously.

_Using_ the first nuke is an invitation to be ostracized from the circle of civilized nations. _Having_ one seems to be the “Get-out-of-invasion” card that the current US administration honors.

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**Author:** ![Der\_Trihs](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/der_trihs/32/233_2.png) [@Der\_Trihs](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Der_Trihs)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 6:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/27 "2006-04-09T18:07:37Z")

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> [@Quartz](#):
>
> Why not? Nukes are not much different from other bombs, just more powerful. Would it be OK if we used a MOAB, a Grasscutter, or a Grand Slam? Why?

Other people have already answered this.

> [@Quartz](#):
>
> Nice reasoned phrasing there. The Iranians are aiming to develop nuclear weapons. Therefore it’s a military target. Therefore, it’s not mass murder.

Unprovoked killing is murder. Doing it on a larger scale doesn’t make it any less so. By your logic, if I walk up to a soldier and shoot him in the face, it’s not murder. For that matter, if I shoot some random citizen in a town with an oil refinery, that’s not murder by your "logic; that’s a military target too.

> [@Quartz](#):
>
> Umm… we’re preventing them getting nukes so they don’t become a threat. Do you really want an Islamic nuke detonated in New York? Or worse, over?

:rolleyes: Yeah sure, they’re gonna do something that will give us a justification to flatten their country, and kill them, personally.

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**Author:** ![jjimm](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/ba8739/32.png) [@jjimm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jjimm)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 6:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/28 "2006-04-09T18:12:21Z")

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> [@Spiny Norman](#):
>
> Incidentally, do you _really_ want your country to be the one to implement the “it’s just a big bomb” mindset ?

Minor point: **Quartz** is a Brit not a Yank. That said, unless we get some regime change over here, Blair will probably be riding on top of the first American ICMB to be fired shouting “yahoo”.

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**Author:** ![Squink](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/b5e925/32.png) [@Squink](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Squink)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 6:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/29 "2006-04-09T18:12:26Z")

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What’s an Islamic nuke, and how does it differ from Christian, Buddhist or Jewish nukes?

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**Author:** ![Johnny\_L.A](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnny_l.a/32/1084_2.png) [@Johnny\_L.A](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Johnny_L.A)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 6:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/30 "2006-04-09T18:13:27Z")

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> [@jjimm](#):
>
> For all our sakes get rid of them, will you?

I tried, but I was outvoted.

> [@Spiny Norman](#):
>
> _Using_ the first nuke is an invitation to be ostracized from the circle of civilized nations.

We already _have_ used the first nuke. But yeah, I agree that we’ll be shut out if we use them again. I think the Japanese, English, certainly the French, the Germans – _everyone_ – will lobby their governments to boycott the importation of American goods. I daresay that there would be pressure to not export anything to the U.S. as well. (We did it to the Japanese and Germans.) I remember the protests during the Reagan Administration. If we use nuclear weapons first (again) we would not win the economic battle that follows.

> [@astro](#):
>
> IMO this is all a big media bluff by the Administration to get Iran to cooperate.

I hope that’s all it is. Reagan had his ‘Star Wars’ bluff. But this is different. If it’s a bluff and someone calls it, then we’re in Big Trouble. But given my extremely low opinion of our current Administration, I’m not entirely sure it is a bluff. The current Administration has demonstrated its opposition to the ideals of America (wire-tapping, limiting the right to assemble and associate, lying to the American people in order to pursue a war of aggression, approval of torture, holding of prisoners without trial, etc., etc.). I shudder to think what an un-American gang such as we have would do with their nuclear toys. Let’s hope it really is a bluff.

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**Author:** ![jjimm](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/ba8739/32.png) [@jjimm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jjimm)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 6:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/31 "2006-04-09T18:14:07Z")

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> [@Squink](#):
>
> What’s an Islamic nuke, and how does it differ from Christian, Buddhist or Jewish nukes?

It’s got a beard.

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**Author:** ![astro](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/9dc877/32.png) [@astro](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/astro)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 6:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/32 "2006-04-09T18:46:54Z")

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> [@Johnny L.A.](#):
>
> I tried, but I was outvoted.
> 
> We already _have_ used the first nuke. But yeah, I agree that we’ll be shut out if we use them again. I think the Japanese, English, certainly the French, the Germans – _everyone_ – will lobby their governments to boycott the importation of American goods. I daresay that there would be pressure to not export anything to the U.S. as well. (We did it to the Japanese and Germans.) I remember the protests during the Reagan Administration. If we use nuclear weapons first (again) we would not win the economic battle that follows.
> 
> I hope that’s all it is. Reagan had his ‘Star Wars’ bluff. But this is different. If it’s a bluff and someone calls it, then we’re in Big Trouble. But given my extremely low opinion of our current Administration, I’m not entirely sure it is a bluff. The current Administration has demonstrated its opposition to the ideals of America (wire-tapping, limiting the right to assemble and associate, lying to the American people in order to pursue a war of aggression, approval of torture, holding of prisoners without trial, etc., etc.). I shudder to think what an un-American gang such as we have would do with their nuclear toys. Let’s hope it really is a bluff.

But that’s the whole point. Regardless of whether it’s a bluff or not in a realpolitik calculation the Iranians have less to lose in calling the bluff than in backing down. In this context it’s stupid for the Bush Administration to encourage any consideration of nuclear attack, and yet proving once again there is no international situation it’s can’t misread and mis-calculate here we are talking about nuking Iran.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Der\_Trihs](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/der_trihs/32/233_2.png) [@Der\_Trihs](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Der_Trihs)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 6:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/33 "2006-04-09T18:48:35Z")

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> [@jjimm](#):
>
> It’s got a beard.

No, but it does shout “Allah !” before exploding. In case you’re curious, the Christian ones use “Repent !” instead, and the Jewish ones “Your mother _told_ you this would happen !” .

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**Author:** ![crowmanyclouds](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/crowmanyclouds/32/19884_2.png) [@crowmanyclouds](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/crowmanyclouds)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 6:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/34 "2006-04-09T18:54:08Z")

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> [@Der Trihs](#):
>
> No, but it does shout “Allah !” before exploding. In case you’re curious, the Christian ones use “Repent !” instead, and the Jewish ones “Your mother _told_ you this would happen !” .

and the Buddhist one only contemplates going off!

CMC fnord!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![jjimm](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/ba8739/32.png) [@jjimm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jjimm)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 6:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/35 "2006-04-09T18:54:20Z")

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Actually, I don’t think there are any Buddhist countries with nukes, unless you count China.

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**Author:** ![Kythereia](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/e8c25b/32.png) [@Kythereia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kythereia)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 6:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/36 "2006-04-09T18:59:30Z")

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> [@crowmanyclouds](#):
>
> and the Buddhist one only contemplates going off!
> 
> CMC fnord!

Well, what does the FSM one do? How about the IPU’s?

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**Author:** ![XT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/xt/32/456_2.png) [@XT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/XT)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 7:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/37 "2006-04-09T19:07:58Z")

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Not that I think its likely to happen, but really, aren’t we talking about a BUNKER BUSTER type nuke here? IIRC that means the nuke is ground penetrating…and ground DETONATING. Right? Its not like they are discussing dropping a 100 megaton nuke on a major city from altitude. How much destruction could it possibly do exploding underground? How much radiation (and for how long) are we really talking about here?? Tactical nukes IIRC are pretty small and relatively clean weapons.

I understand the whole ‘genie out of the bottle’ thing, that this might somehow open countries up to more easily use nukes. I just don’t understand where that comes from. Frankly the genie is ALREADY out of the bottle and has been since 1945. I don’t see how the US using a bunker buster type nuke would either encourage or discourage nations from using their own nukes…or really change the situation at all. Either they would calculate that they could get away with using a nuke (or they didn’t care about the consequences one way or the other if they are stark raving mad) or they would conclude that it wasn’t worth the risk. And this decision would be completely detached from whether or not the US used one against potential nuclear facilities in Iran.  
All that said, I have major doubts the US would do such a thing…or really even needs too if we decide that a military option is our own one. After all, we have conventional bunker busters that can probably do the job if needs be. IF nukes were on the table I wouldn’t be surprised knowing how the military operates when planning ANY military operation. The military likes to have a wide range of options to choose from after all…but every weapons system would need to be weighed not just in how effectively it would do the job but in the political fallout that would result in using it.

To use a different example if the easiest and less risky way to take out a small target is to firebomb an area crammed with civilians and then carpet bomb the entire area flat the military would probably have it on the table for evaluation. This would probably not be the method chosen though, despite being the easiest and least risky for our personnel because of the political fallout for killing hundreds or thousands of civilians to get at a military target…so they would probably choose an option that split the difference in terms of risk to our personnel and colateral civilan casualties…and accomplishing the mission.  
Oh, and FTR I think we should just let Iran have the damn things if they are so intent on getting them. My take on it all is basically ‘fuck it’. As others have said, if Iran gets froggy with them (something I have serious doubts about) then we will defend ourselves…and probably leave Iran a smoking hole in the ground. Since they must realize this I don’t see it as a likely scenerio.

-XT

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![crowmanyclouds](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/crowmanyclouds/32/19884_2.png) [@crowmanyclouds](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/crowmanyclouds)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 7:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/38 "2006-04-09T19:34:44Z")

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> [@Kythereia](#):
>
> …How about the IPU’s?

Everybody gather around and listen because,  
I’m the Invisible Pink Unicorn,

What can take a sunrise, sprinkle it with dew,  
Cover it with chocolate and a miracle or two,  
The IPUICBM, oh the IPUICBM can.  
The IPUICBM can 'cause she mixes it with love,  
and makes the world go boom. :eek:

What can take a rainbow, wrap it in the sky,  
Soak it in the sun and make a groovy lemon pie,  
The IPUICBM, the IPUICBM can.  
The IPUICBM can 'cause she mixes it with love,  
and makes the world go boom. :eek:

CMC fnord!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![jjimm](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/ba8739/32.png) [@jjimm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jjimm)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 7:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/39 "2006-04-09T19:39:20Z")

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Despite the seriousness of the subject, that made me 😃

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Squink](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/b5e925/32.png) [@Squink](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Squink)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2006, 7:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/our-government-is-planning-to-use-nukes-you-have-to-be-kidding-me/351937/40 "2006-04-09T19:43:55Z")

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> [@xtisme](#):
>
> Not that I think its likely to happen, but really, aren’t we talking about a BUNKER BUSTER type nuke here? IIRC that means the nuke is ground penetrating…and ground DETONATING. Right? Its not like they are discussing dropping a 100 megaton nuke on a major city from altitude. How much destruction could it possibly do exploding underground? How much radiation (and for how long) are we really talking about here?? Tactical nukes IIRC are pretty small and relatively clean weapons.

We haven’t got a nuclear bunker buster, and [there are no funds allocated to build one.](http://www.aip.org/fyi/2005/152.html)  
Here’s a lovely little Union of Concerned Scientists animation on [nuclear bunker busters.](http://www.ucsusa.org/global_security/nuclear_weapons/nuclear-bunker-buster-rnep-animation.html). I found the fallout maps particularly intriguing. You just _can’t_ get that kind of body count with conventional explosives.

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