# Paris is Burning

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [November 14, 2015, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523 "2015-11-14T03:02:36Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 7

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**Author:** ![MOIDALIZE](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/e274bd/32.png) [@MOIDALIZE](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MOIDALIZE)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 5:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/121 "2015-11-14T17:24:07Z")

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I feel like everyone should leave this thread for about a week, and then come back to it.

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**Author:** ![Guinastasia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guinastasia/32/5751_2.png) [@Guinastasia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guinastasia)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 6:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/122 "2015-11-14T18:35:36Z")

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> [@CoolHandCox](#):
>
> I’m probably very ignorant, but not dumb.

Jury’s still out on that one.

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 7:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/123 "2015-11-14T19:06:24Z")

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> [@Kobal2](#):
>
> Just in case anybody’s wondering (I highly doubt it, but eh) : I’m fine, so are my peoples.

In fact, I was thinking about both you and **clairobscur**. Not sure who else here posts from France.

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**Author:** ![CoolHandCox](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/coolhandcox/32/16233_2.png) [@CoolHandCox](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CoolHandCox)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 7:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/124 "2015-11-14T19:20:50Z")

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> [@Guinastasia](#):
>
> Jury’s still out on that one.

Yeah, well, Scooby Doo can doo-doo, but Jimmy Carter is smarter.

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 7:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/125 "2015-11-14T19:32:47Z")

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> [@Kobal2](#):
>
> Yeah. But it just so happens that lately “the best available intelligence” often boils down to statistical probabilities based on metadata rather than, you know, \*actual \*intelligence. Or even simple, basic identification of who exactly the people getting blown up are. John Oliver [did a whole segment](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4NRJoCNHIs) on how disturbingly low the bar is set for drone strike approval and how that affects the lives of innocent people - and not just those getting blown up, either.

> [@CarnalK](#):
>
> People don’t think that and that’s not what clairobscur said.

Yep, to both. Maybe some people think that, but I don’t know how common it is. This whole business of targeting killings based on movement patterns is very iffy, at best.

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 7:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/126 "2015-11-14T19:48:51Z")

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Anyone interested can look up “Signature Strikes” if they want some details about what we are talking about.

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**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 8:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/127 "2015-11-14T20:58:44Z")

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> [@Guinastasia](#):
>
> Jury’s still out on that one.

That’s enough of that from both of you.

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**Author:** ![Donald\_Rump](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/9fc29f/32.png) [@Donald\_Rump](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Donald_Rump)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 10:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/128 "2015-11-14T22:38:18Z")

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A question for the board. The US has been pretty successful foiling terrorist plots since 9/11. The would-be underwear bomber, the would-be Times Square bomber, a bunch of other random plots over the years, etc. The Boston bombers slipped through the cracks, but generally we have not experienced much in the way of large-scale Islamic terrorism since 9/11. Is the US just doing a better job than France when it comes to policing and intelligence, or is the recent frequency of attacks in France more a reflection of its demographics and geographic position? Could France address the problem by emulating whatever the US is doing in its (domestic) approach to counter-terrorism?

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**Author:** ![CarnalK](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnalk/32/486_2.png) [@CarnalK](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CarnalK)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 10:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/129 "2015-11-14T22:55:06Z")

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The underwear bomber? Seriously? Yes that was quite the coup for American anti-terrorist intelligence work. And yes, let’s ignore the Boston bombing because reasons.

France has a higher muslim population and that population is much less integrated. France is also not the “island nation” that the U.S. is. This makes them more susceptible, imho. Even still, not sure these two recent attacks (Hebdo and this one) proves a pattern. I am sure the French authorities could trot out a similar number of thwarted plans that US authorities might.

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**Author:** ![Kobal2](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kobal2/32/20_2.png) [@Kobal2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kobal2)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 11:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/130 "2015-11-14T23:02:04Z")

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> [@Donald\_Rump](#):
>
> Could France address the problem by emulating whatever the US is doing in its (domestic) approach to counter-terrorism?

Well we could emulate being 10.000 kilometers and a large-ish ocean away from the Middle East I suppose. Possibly using a couple of very large buzzsaws, some booster rockets… I’ll napkin the math and get back to you.

😉

(that’s not just a very clever and amusing joke, btw. You can \*drive \*from Syria to France in three or four days if you care to. Won’t face a border check from the time you hit Bulgaria onwards, either).

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**Author:** ![boffking](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/858c86/32.png) [@boffking](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/boffking)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 11:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/131 "2015-11-14T23:04:52Z")

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> [@Donald\_Rump](#):
>
> A question for the board. The US has been pretty successful foiling terrorist plots since 9/11. The would-be underwear bomber, the would-be Times Square bomber, a bunch of other random plots over the years, etc. The Boston bombers slipped through the cracks, but generally we have not experienced much in the way of large-scale Islamic terrorism since 9/11. Is the US just doing a better job than France when it comes to policing and intelligence, or is the recent frequency of attacks in France more a reflection of its demographics and geographic position? Could France address the problem by emulating whatever the US is doing in its (domestic) approach to counter-terrorism?

What about Dylan Roof, or the attack on Gabrielle Giffords, or the many small attacks by white supremacists? Not all terrorists are muslim.

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**Author:** ![Magiver](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/4491bb/32.png) [@Magiver](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Magiver)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 11:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/132 "2015-11-14T23:17:25Z")

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> [@davida03801](#):
>
> Just yesterday morning the White House claimed that ISIS is being “contained”.

Well none of them have landed on the moon yet. So that claim is true.

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**Author:** ![CarnalK](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnalk/32/486_2.png) [@CarnalK](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CarnalK)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 11:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/133 "2015-11-14T23:21:57Z")

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> [@boffking](#):
>
> What about Dylan Roof, or the attack on Gabrielle Giffords, or the many small attacks by white supremacists? Not all terrorists are muslim.

Giffords murder wasn’t a terrorist attack by any useful definition afaik.

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**Author:** ![Claverhouse](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/13edae/32.png) [@Claverhouse](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Claverhouse)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 11:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/134 "2015-11-14T23:46:12Z")

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> [@Donald\_Rump](#):
>
> A question for the board. The US has been pretty successful foiling terrorist plots since 9/11. The would-be underwear bomber, the would-be Times Square bomber, a bunch of other random plots over the years, etc. The Boston bombers slipped through the cracks, but generally we have not experienced much in the way of large-scale Islamic terrorism since 9/11. Is the US just doing a better job than France when it comes to policing and intelligence, or is the recent frequency of attacks in France more a reflection of its demographics and geographic position? Could France address the problem by emulating whatever the US is doing in its (domestic) approach to counter-terrorism?

The French, being weak and dainty, with their trademark frivolity and unwillingness to think things through, don’t have the strength of mind and Can-Do spirit that has led to each American _refusing_ to be attacked; nor have they been willing to be spied on so much for their own good.

Americans trust the NSA and are sure it will always do the right thing. Other countries have less love for those charged with controlling them.  
**Those who would give up essential Protection, to purchase a little temporary Privacy, deserve neither Protection nor Privacy.**

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**Author:** ![Broomstick](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/broomstick/32/246_2.png) [@Broomstick](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Broomstick)\
**Post date:** [November 14, 2015, 11:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/135 "2015-11-14T23:57:48Z")

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> [@Donald\_Rump](#):
>
> Many of these attacks are said by their perpetrators to be in response to Western military activities in the Middle East. To the extent those statements are true, a reduced Western military footprint in the Middle East would diminish the casus belli driving terrorist attacks on the West. That’s how doing less would, in the long run, help. Of course, this approach would have to be coupled with vigilant police and intelligence work, of the sort that has foiled so many would-be attackers in the US since 9/11.
> 
> Now, maybe the terrorists are lying about why they’re attacking us. Or maybe the occasional terrorist attack is a necessary trade-off for us pursuing our interests in the Middle East. Or maybe a better solution altogether is indeed _more_ military engagement with the source of the threat and the real policy failure has been to do too little against ISIS, which seems to be the establishment consensus on the issue.

Or maybe backing off from pressuring ISIS is the 21st Century’s [Munich Agreement of 1938](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Munich_Agreement). Trying to appease the other side/give them what they want/avoid war just leads to worse problems down the road.

While “the west” withdrawing from the Middle East would appease SOME radicals it will not appease ALL of them.

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**Author:** ![Broomstick](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/broomstick/32/246_2.png) [@Broomstick](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Broomstick)\
**Post date:** [November 15, 2015, 12:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/136 "2015-11-15T00:10:42Z")

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> [@CoolHandCox](#):
>
> Because it’s not true. The amount of places where 100+ people gather versus the amount of times some guys walk in there and shoot everyone up is practically non-existent.

There’s a world of difference between “practically non-existent” and “actually non-existent”. This may be news to you, but most people are not comfortable running a risk of being in the line of fire. That is, after all, why we invented laws and civilization.

> [@Donald\_Rump](#):
>
> A question for the board. The US has been pretty successful foiling terrorist plots since 9/11. The would-be underwear bomber, the would-be Times Square bomber, a bunch of other random plots over the years, etc. The Boston bombers slipped through the cracks, but generally we have not experienced much in the way of large-scale Islamic terrorism since 9/11. Is the US just doing a better job than France when it comes to policing and intelligence, or is the recent frequency of attacks in France more a reflection of its demographics and geographic position? Could France address the problem by emulating whatever the US is doing in its (domestic) approach to counter-terrorism?

As previously noted, there are significant differences between the US and France, such as a higher proportion of Muslims in France vs. the US, and the American Muslims being far better integrated into American society. There is also the matter of sheer distance and an ocean between the US and the MENA vs. as noted being able to drive or walk from France to the MENA.

> [@boffking](#):
>
> What about Dylan Roof, or the attack on Gabrielle Giffords, or the many small attacks by white supremacists? Not all terrorists are muslim.

That’s probably another difference between the US and France and some other nations - in the US, outside of 9/11, our worst terrorism events have mostly been perpetrated by home-grown white people.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [November 15, 2015, 12:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/137 "2015-11-15T00:18:48Z")

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> [@davida03801](#):
>
> Just yesterday morning the White House claimed that ISIS is being “contained”.

> [@Magiver](#):
>
> Well none of them have landed on the moon yet. So that claim is true.

Well, I have seen that the WH has reasons to claim that.

> **[Kurdish forces: ISIS 'defeated and on the run' in key Iraqi town](https://www.businessinsider.com/kurdish-forces-say-isis-defeated-in-sinjar-2015-11)**
>
> The number of Islamic State fighters in Sinjar had risen to nearly 600 in the run-up to the offensive.

> **[End of ISIS near? Caliphate so depleted it is recruiting disabled CHIL](https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/613583/Islamic-State-ISIS-child-soldiers-Putin-Russian-airstrikes-defeat)**
>
> DESPERATE Islamic State (ISIS) is forcing ever younger children to fight for it as it slides closer and closer to an all out defeat, a retired army leader has said.

> **["Sinjar is liberated," U.S.-allied Kurds declare](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/kurdish-peshmerga-isis-on-the-run-us-backed-battle-sinjar-iraq/)**
>
> Peshmerga troops pushed into strategic city in northern Iraq quickly with cover from airstrikes, and the Kurdish leader says he's delivered on his promise

And if we get credit to Russia:

> **[ISIS running scared: Militants 'retreating' from strongholds after Put](https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/612364/Islamic-State-ISIS-militants-running-scared-Syria-Vladimir-Putin-airstrikes)**
>
> VLADIMIR Putin's huge bombing campaign against Islamic State (ISIS) has got the panicked jihadis in full on retreat, it was claimed today.

This report from last year points to the problems ISIS has encountered.

> **[A month ago, ISIS’s advance looked unstoppable. Now it’s been stopped.](https://www.vox.com/2014/10/28/7079695/isis-iraq-syria-defeat)**
>
> Vox is a general interest news site for the 21st century. Its mission: to help everyone understand our complicated world, so that we can all help shape it. In text, video and audio, our reporters explain politics, policy, world affairs, technology,...

> [@](#):
>
> There are at least three major causes of ISIS’s recent defeats. Each gives us reason to believe that ISIS may only become more vulnerable as time goes on.
> 
> First, while American airstrikes are not going to defeat ISIS, they have seriously limited the group’s ability to conduct offensive operations. “Airpower has made it difficult for ISIS to concentrate its forces in large numbers,” Jason Lyall, a political scientist at Yale University and an expert on counterinsurgency, writes via email. “It has made it more dangerous to reposition its equipment and forces, slowing down its reaction times and complicating its command and control. As a result, ISIS is a far more dispersed force than it was in June.”
> 
> The harder it is for ISIS to fight in the open, the harder it is for it to put together troop-intensive drives to conquer territory. If ISIS can’t expand, it can only preserve what it has or retract.
> 
> Second, ISIS’s enemies are adapting. ISIS “is a military power mostly because of the weakness and unpreparedness of its enemies,” Knights writes in West Point’s Sentinel journal. ISIS’s advances depend on its ability to launch lightning-quick strikes against opponents that aren’t ready for it. Iraqi and Kurdish forces, with American support, are finally learning how to counter these tactics.
> 
> Third, ISIS’s so-called caliphate has hamstrung its military options. “When they declared the caliphate, their legitimacy came to rest on the continuing viability of their state,” Gartenstein-Ross writes.

I did check the latest news from contested placed mentioned in the article, not good for DAESH/ISIS.

Good.

It seems to me that DAESH does want to get NATO forces in so as to get a more worthy martyrdom. They may still get that wish, but I still say that the less the USA intervenes, the better.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![octopus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/octopus/32/3716_2.png) [@octopus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/octopus)\
**Post date:** [November 15, 2015, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/138 "2015-11-15T00:29:50Z")

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> [@Donald\_Rump](#):
>
> A question for the board. The US has been pretty successful foiling terrorist plots since 9/11. The would-be underwear bomber, the would-be Times Square bomber, a bunch of other random plots over the years, etc. The Boston bombers slipped through the cracks, but generally we have not experienced much in the way of large-scale Islamic terrorism since 9/11. Is the US just doing a better job than France when it comes to policing and intelligence, or is the recent frequency of attacks in France more a reflection of its demographics and geographic position? Could France address the problem by emulating whatever the US is doing in its (domestic) approach to counter-terrorism?

It’s just a matter of luck and the fact that those who would commit these acts have been remarkably restrained. Think of the carnage 6 people with rifles can do at a mall, a downtown area, or really anywhere where people congregate and how easy it is to get rifles in the US and be thankful that it hasn’t happened. We do have school shootings and that madness in this country but a small group could do MUCH more than a lone madman.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\
**Post date:** [November 15, 2015, 12:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/139 "2015-11-15T00:32:25Z")

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> [@CarnalK](#):
>
> Giffords murder wasn’t a terrorist attack by any useful definition afaik.

Absolutely true — “murder” means the person is dead. 😉

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Donald\_Rump](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/9fc29f/32.png) [@Donald\_Rump](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Donald_Rump)\
**Post date:** [November 15, 2015, 12:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/paris-is-burning/737523/140 "2015-11-15T00:40:51Z")

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> [@Broomstick](#):
>
> Or maybe backing off from pressuring ISIS is the 21st Century’s [Munich Agreement of 1938](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Munich_Agreement). Trying to appease the other side/give them what they want/avoid war just leads to worse problems down the road.
> 
> While “the west” withdrawing from the Middle East would appease SOME radicals it will not appease ALL of them.

Dude, seriously? Germany in 1938 had a larger military budget than any of its immediate neighbors. They had a tremendous industrial base and had a legitimate shot at a bid for continental hegemony. Yes, ISIS can threaten the safety of various Western countries, in the same sense that mass shooters or domestic right-wing terrorists can. Not hard to do, given how open our societies are. But they pose nothing like the threat of Nazi Germany and it’s silly to invoke the ever-tired Munich analogy to argue for more robust action against them.

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