People with Exactly Two Children and At Least One Daughter

Damn, forgiveness is easier than permission I suppose.
Scratch one of the “Yes” then. I answered for my parents.

I have no children, but I voted on behalf of my brother who has two daughters. :slight_smile:

I think (based on what I’m learning in Stats) that one should have an N of 100 to have a nice good sample size but I have no idea if that’s really true or not, and I’m doubting it.

Also, I think you should also have a 2:1 ratio in this test of yours.

The 4 TRUE options should have been:

MM/MF/FM/FF (and thus getting 2:1:1 as your possible answers). It would only be 50% if you compared it as “Same Sex” vs. “Not-same sex” with each having a 50% ratio, at least that’s the case if we were doing punnet squares and vastly simplifying the inheritance rations and such to 50% with 2 variables of the ration (XX*XY).

I doubt it’s that easy and realistic in the real world.
But hey, that’s a nice AP Bio question right there if you simplified it down that way!

Meh. I think you’re thinking of 30, at least for a t-distribution.

Of course. But if you look at the thread linked in post 3, there are those out there who believe the answer should be 50/50. I thought this poll might convince doubters that, even if they don’t believe it’s 1:2, at least it’s not 1:1.

Rejecting a null hypothesis that it is 1:1 is easy, using the t-distribution. With the present breakout of 14:27, we get 65.9% that the other child is a son, and a standard error with 41 observations of 7.4%. So even right now we can say with 95% confidence that the real breakout in the full population is somewhere between 51% and 81%.

In other words, it ain’t 50/50.

This does assume that the people who answered the poll have no expected bias from the population at large that has two kids, one of whom is a daughter.

fair enough.

I have only two children, both girls, but I’ve been pregnant four times in my life if that matters.

I’ve got two little girls, I’m surrounded by estrogen.

Oh yeah … to further muddy the waters … my boy and girl, the fraternal twins … they have a half sister and half brother too.

Two children: one boy, one girl.

Updating the stats - having the other child a boy is now at 63.4%, with a standard error of 5.7%.

One of each for me.

Two girls.

It’s good to see that this poll matches my math!

Both my son and my daughter love counterintuitive things.

I have two children, both daughters.

And I love them with all my being.

Two children, both daughters.

Nice results!