# Peter Morris and Randi

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/peter-morris-and-randi/573164>\
**Category:** The BBQ Pit\
**Created:** [March 2, 2011, 4:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/peter-morris-and-randi/573164 "2011-03-02T04:36:06Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 7\
**Page:** 10

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FinnAgain](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/finnagain/32/12500_2.png) [@FinnAgain](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FinnAgain)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2011, 9:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/peter-morris-and-randi/573164/181 "2011-03-04T21:16:46Z")

</div>

Well, I can say that his obsession with Randi has brought the JREF to my attention, and I learned a lot about it while I hadn’t known earlier. That’s always useful.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/8edcca/32.png) [@Hentor\_the\_Barbarian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hentor_the_Barbarian)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2011, 9:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/peter-morris-and-randi/573164/182 "2011-03-04T21:21:39Z")

</div>

> [@Fotheringay-Phipps](#):
>
> As I wrote, the study wasn’t structured in that manner.
> 
> But according to that article, if a man guesses which women is in their fertile period based on how attractive he finds them, he will pick a higher percentage accurately than he would based on chance. Obviously, he would still be very far from perfect.

Can’t you think of anything else that varies with fertility cycle, and would be related to how attractive a woman would be to a man?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Valgard](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/7feea3/32.png) [@Valgard](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Valgard)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2011, 9:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/peter-morris-and-randi/573164/183 "2011-03-04T21:26:33Z")

</div>

> [@acsenray](#):
>
> In that video, Randi showed how, while he was talking to you, he could bend a key by jamming it against the edge of the table in front of him.

My skills are so incredible that I don’t need expensive professional magician gear like “tables”.

I must be legit.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Shot\_From\_Guns](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/ccd318/32.png) [@Shot\_From\_Guns](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shot_From_Guns)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2011, 9:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/peter-morris-and-randi/573164/184 "2011-03-04T21:29:01Z")

</div>

> [@kaylasdad99](#):
>
> I think there’s something kinda weird about an actuary using a word like “zillions.”

Wait, wait, wait; back up a minute.

\*\*Fotheringay-Phipps \*\*is claiming to be an _actuary_? Like, what, he took a couple community college classes on stats 20 years ago? Because there’s \*no way \*that someone with an actual bachelor’s in actuarial science who’s an ASA (or FSA), MAAA, and/or EA is \*this fucking ignorant \*about statistics.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FinnAgain](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/finnagain/32/12500_2.png) [@FinnAgain](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FinnAgain)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2011, 9:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/peter-morris-and-randi/573164/185 "2011-03-04T21:32:16Z")

</div>

Ooooh, pissing contest about actuarial science.  
_Shit just got real_.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Musicat](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/musicat/32/20189_2.png) [@Musicat](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Musicat)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2011, 11:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/peter-morris-and-randi/573164/186 "2011-03-04T23:04:58Z")

</div>

> [@Fotheringay-Phipps](#):
>
> Because _if_ there really is something in any of these paranormal phenomena, it’s likely to be a rather weak effect. (Otherwise they would manifest themselves a whole lot more.) So for my own purposes, the entire question is not really being addressed by these tests, and people have the incorrect impression that it is.

And if there really is NOT something to paranormal phenomena, it is also likely to be a weak effect. So how can we tell the difference? The lower the effect, the more it will get lost in noise.

We are now into the realm of [pathological science](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pathological_science), which I suggest you read up on. It is often the last refuge of those who haven’t a leg to stand on. It’s not real science, but if often looks like it at first.

_Pathological Science_ was coined by Irving Langmuir, and some of the characteristics are:[ul][li]The maximum effect that is observed is produced by a causative agent of barely detectable intensity, and the magnitude of the effect is substantially independent of the intensity of the cause.[_]The effect is of a magnitude that remains close to the limit of detectability, or many measurements are necessary because of the very low statistical significance of the results.[_]The effect disappears as controls are tightened, suggesting that any effect ever detected was only due to sloppy observational work.[/ul][/li]As far as the female article, check out [this recent thread](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=598125) which addressed the study that you cite, or something like it.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Princhester](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/3e96dc/32.png) [@Princhester](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Princhester)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2011, 11:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/peter-morris-and-randi/573164/187 "2011-03-04T23:42:10Z")

</div>

So **FP** , upthread I issued you with a direct challenge to put up a cite to support your basic underlying factual premise about what Randi says and the basis upon which he says it.

You’ve now participated in this thread signficantly since my last post and you have put up nothing.

Can we take it as read that you accept that your basic premise is some shit you made up and move on already?

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/peter-morris-and-randi/573164.md?page=9)
