# Poll: Electoral College Predictions

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-electoral-college-predictions/272174>\
**Category:** In My Humble Opinion\
**Created:** [October 31, 2004, 5:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-electoral-college-predictions/272174 "2004-10-31T17:41:09Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 8\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 2:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-electoral-college-predictions/272174/21 "2004-11-02T02:36:29Z")

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Kerry 272, Bush 266.

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**Author:** ![fruitbat](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/58f4c7/32.png) [@fruitbat](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/fruitbat)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 2:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-electoral-college-predictions/272174/22 "2004-11-02T02:38:02Z")

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I hate to say it, but I can separate what I want to happen from what I think will happen.

Bush 272  
Kerry 266

Sorry guys.

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**Author:** ![Kid\_A\_1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ed8c4c/32.png) [@Kid\_A\_1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kid_A_1)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 4:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-electoral-college-predictions/272174/23 "2004-11-02T04:32:59Z")

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> [@Happy Lendervedder](#):
>
> C’mon people! Predict! Predict! Pull some numbers out of your ass if you’d like! (Just make sure they add up to 538)
> 
> For **Kid\_A** ,  
> Happy

🙂 Thanks **Happy** for giving this thread another shot in the arm.

Seriously though, are there other electoral prediction on the board? I know there are popular vote ones and voter turnout threads. But they don’t really matter, this is the important part.

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**Author:** ![AHunter3](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ahunter3/32/368_2.png) [@AHunter3](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AHunter3)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 5:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-electoral-college-predictions/272174/24 "2004-11-02T05:01:38Z")

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[Of course there are.](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=280703)

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**Author:** ![Kid\_A\_1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ed8c4c/32.png) [@Kid\_A\_1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kid_A_1)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 6:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-electoral-college-predictions/272174/25 "2004-11-02T06:10:02Z")

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Yeah, I know about that thread but there’s too many words. 😉 Too much analysis and not enough on the concrete predictions. Keep it simple, that’s the motto for **Kid\_A** and thusly this thread.

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**Author:** ![stpauler](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/9d8465/32.png) [@stpauler](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/stpauler)\
**Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 9:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-electoral-college-predictions/272174/26 "2004-11-02T21:14:24Z")

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Here’s a helping hand from the [NYTIMES.COM](http://NYTIMES.COM), it’s an [Electoral Vote Calculator.](http://www.nytimes.com/packages/html/politics/2004_ELECTIONGUIDE_GRAPHIC/) Just click on the state and switch where its votes are going to. It also takes into account the numbers in Colorado, Nebraska and Maine as possible splits. And… it’s fun to make a blue Texas!

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**Author:** ![fruitbat](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/58f4c7/32.png) [@fruitbat](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/fruitbat)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 3:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-electoral-college-predictions/272174/27 "2004-11-03T03:59:50Z")

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I think I jinxed this election. My apologies.

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**Author:** ![duffer](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/duffer/32/1026_2.png) [@duffer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/duffer)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 8:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-electoral-college-predictions/272174/28 "2004-11-03T08:08:50Z")

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Wow, some of you Kerry voters were WAY off. 😃

Whoohoo! You get 4 more years of bitching! Congrats.

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