# Poll/Pool: When will Trump get out of the race? **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [August 10, 2015, 10:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496 "2015-08-10T22:54:24Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![commasense](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/commasense/32/3017_2.png) [@commasense](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/commasense)\ **Post date:** [August 10, 2015, 10:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/1 "2015-08-10T22:54:24Z")
Personally, I don’t think Trump is serious about running for President. ---
**Author:** ![Trinopus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/2bfe46/32.png) [@Trinopus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Trinopus)\ **Post date:** [August 10, 2015, 10:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/2 "2015-08-10T22:56:31Z")
Agreed. I predict (mystically) he’ll participate in Iowa and New Hampshire, do badly, and drop out. And he’ll do it very petulantly. He’ll blame everyone but himself. ---
**Author:** ![running\_coach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/running_coach/32/15836_2.png) [@running\_coach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/running_coach)\ **Post date:** [August 10, 2015, 11:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/3 "2015-08-10T23:01:21Z")
Only when i am certain of winning will I reveal my prediction. 😃 ---
**Author:** ![USCDiver](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/uscdiver/32/354_2.png) [@USCDiver](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/USCDiver)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 12:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/4 "2015-08-11T00:07:48Z")
I’m going to wait for **adaher’s** prediction so I’ll have a good idea which direction to go… ---
**Author:** ![El\_Kabong](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/el_kabong/32/496_2.png) [@El\_Kabong](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/El_Kabong)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 12:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/5 "2015-08-11T00:13:43Z")
Not until he’s gotten thumped in a few primaries, I reckon, so I guess we’ll get to enjoy his unique talents until at least spring '16. ---
**Author:** ![Richard\_Parker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/35a633/32.png) [@Richard\_Parker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Richard_Parker)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 12:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/6 "2015-08-11T00:26:18Z")
I don’t think he will stay in after his loss becomes obvious and inevitable to him. But I don’t think that will happen before South Carolina, and probably not for a few states after that. I’m going with **March 16, 2016.** ---
**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 12:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/7 "2015-08-11T00:35:16Z")
**March 10, 2016.** That’a about a week after Super Tuesday, and a couple days after the 2nd group of primaries after ST. ---
**Author:** ![El\_Kabong](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/el_kabong/32/496_2.png) [@El\_Kabong](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/El_Kabong)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 12:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/8 "2015-08-11T00:41:16Z")
OK, I’ll go with **March 6, 2016**. ---
**Author:** ![commasense](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/commasense/32/3017_2.png) [@commasense](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/commasense)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 12:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/9 "2015-08-11T00:42:28Z")
Sorry, I didn’t realize that the thread had been created already. I meant this to be the first post. I don’t know about you, but I don’t believe Trump is serious about being president. Like many others, I think he’s a troll who’s just stirring things up to draw attention to himself. So I’ve created this poll (and pool) so that everyone can go on the record with the date they think he will drop out. The winners will be those who pick the first date after which he officially drops out. That is, if he drops out on Jan. 5, all those who picked Jan. 15 win. (I don’t know what we’ll do if there is any ambiguity about when he “officially” drops out.) I have included all currently scheduled primary and caucus dates, as well as every day of the two national conventions in July 2016. (I’d be surprised if he drops out during the Democratic con-vention, but I’ve included it for the sake of parity.) You can also say that you expect him to go all the way to election day and either win or lose. Please note that this is an open poll: your user name will appear with your vote, so that we can properly laud those prescient few who pick the correct date. (The praise of your fellow Dopers will be the only prize that winners will receive.) ---
**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 1:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/10 "2015-08-11T01:03:59Z")
> [@John\_Mace](#): > > **[del]March 10, 2016[/del].** > > That’a about a week after Super Tuesday, and a couple days after the 2nd group of primaries after ST. In light of post#9, I’m changing that to **March 13**. ---
**Author:** ![Terr](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/839c29/32.png) [@Terr](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Terr)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 1:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/11 "2015-08-11T01:06:48Z")
Trump wins. I voted like that just for the hell of it. And one can dream. All those heads 'splodin… On both sides of the aisle. ---
**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 1:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/12 "2015-08-11T01:25:14Z")
I picked late April. Trump’s got enough money and name recognition that losses in IA and NH shouldn’t deter him. He’ll keep going until he loses a few big states. ---
**Author:** ![DigitalC](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/ebca7d/32.png) [@DigitalC](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DigitalC)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 1:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/13 "2015-08-11T01:26:07Z")
If they keep trying to force him out with fake outrage he will be in to the bitter end. ---
**Author:** ![Leo\_Krupe](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/ebca7d/32.png) [@Leo\_Krupe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leo_Krupe)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/14 "2015-08-11T01:55:13Z")
I voted March 5, but in reality, can’t commit to a firm date. It’ll be by or in spring, I’m sure. There’s just no way he can keep the momentum going for very long. Something or someone burning that brightly just burns out that much faster. ---
**Author:** ![El\_Kabong](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/el_kabong/32/496_2.png) [@El\_Kabong](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/El_Kabong)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/15 "2015-08-11T01:59:12Z")
> [@El\_Kabong](#): > > OK, I’ll go with **March 6, 2016**. Adjusted one day to March 5, 2016. ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 2:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/16 "2015-08-11T02:02:26Z")
> [@DigitalC](#): > > If they keep trying to force him out with fake outrage he will be in to the bitter end. ^^^^^ This x 1000. I truly believe he is so delusional that he can’t even conceive the idea that he will lose. And the fact he keeps refusing to rule out a 3rd party/Independent run makes me believe he will be in it until he comes in a miserable 3rd place on Election Day 2016. And even then I seriously doubt he will shut up and go away. ---
**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 2:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/17 "2015-08-11T02:11:04Z")
Well, let’s remember that before now it was assumed that he would only talk about running and never actually do it because he’d have to release tax returns. The thing is, we don’t really know what makes that man tick. ---
**Author:** ![TriPolar](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tripolar/32/3008_2.png) [@TriPolar](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TriPolar)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 2:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/18 "2015-08-11T02:55:43Z")
He’ll probably drop out after March 8th when he hasn’t won a single primary, so I voted March 13th based on what I think the rules are. However depending on what happens among the other 300 GOP candidates he may not actually drop out at all. ---
**Author:** ![commasense](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/commasense/32/3017_2.png) [@commasense](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/commasense)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 2:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/19 "2015-08-11T02:56:03Z")
I messed up my first attempt at a poll. Somehow this isn’t an open poll as I wanted. I’ve asked the mods if they can close it so I can restart it correctly. ---
**Author:** ![TriPolar](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tripolar/32/3008_2.png) [@TriPolar](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TriPolar)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2015, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/20 "2015-08-11T03:02:22Z")
> [@commasense](#): > > I messed up my first attempt at a poll. Somehow this isn’t an open poll as I wanted. I’ve asked the mods if they can close it so I can restart it correctly. Don’t know what you mean. It is a public poll. [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496.md?page=2)