# Poll/Pool: When will Trump get out of the race? **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [August 10, 2015, 10:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496 "2015-08-10T22:54:24Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 5
**Author:** ![Johnny\_Ace](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/6bbea6/32.png) [@Johnny\_Ace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Johnny_Ace)\ **Post date:** [August 12, 2016, 3:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/81 "2016-08-12T03:47:38Z")
Oddly enough, today is the first day I’ve ever heard him actually deal with the prospect of losing. It only took him over a year. ---
**Author:** ![Superdude](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/superdude/32/13450_2.png) [@Superdude](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Superdude)\ **Post date:** [August 14, 2016, 4:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/82 "2016-08-14T16:09:39Z")
September 26 ---
**Author:** ![septimus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/septimus/32/410_2.png) [@septimus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/septimus)\ **Post date:** [August 14, 2016, 4:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/83 "2016-08-14T16:23:55Z")
Can I change my vote? I want to go with _ **After** _ Nov. 8. With his brand-name in tatters and sensible people all deserting him, all Trump has left is his “candidacy.” I predict that long after his Election Day loss, we’ll be hearing accusations of cheating, more prattle about the Second Amendment, etc. He’ll announce some products to cash in on his new admirers, but I’m not sure what. Trump shotguns? Adult diapers? ---
**Author:** ![manila](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/e5b9ba/32.png) [@manila](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/manila)\ **Post date:** [August 14, 2016, 8:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/84 "2016-08-14T20:39:42Z")
Am actually scared that this is the year of the crazy, Brexit first then Duterte in the Philippines, maybe Trump can pull it off? ---
**Author:** ![alphaboi867](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alphaboi867/32/3898_2.png) [@alphaboi867](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/alphaboi867)\ **Post date:** [August 14, 2016, 10:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/85 "2016-08-14T22:01:54Z")
> [@Czarcasm](#): > > It’ll be the day he loses, when approximately 80% of the headlines will read “_ **YOU’RE FIRED!** _” “The position has been filled” would be more accurate (even would a generic email thanking him for his recent application, but advising we’ve decided to go with a candidate better suited to our needs). ---
**Author:** ![Johnny\_Ace](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/6bbea6/32.png) [@Johnny\_Ace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Johnny_Ace)\ **Post date:** [August 15, 2016, 12:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/86 "2016-08-15T00:23:16Z")
Eh I kinda like “We’ve decided to go in a different direction.” The classic put-off. Don’t go away mad, just go away. Of course, “You’re fired!” is highly viscerally satisfying in a number of ways. ---
**Author:** ![coremelt](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/4491bb/32.png) [@coremelt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/coremelt)\ **Post date:** [August 15, 2016, 12:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/87 "2016-08-15T00:55:53Z")
End of September 16 so I put 1st October. Trump is already exhausted and making less and less sense, some of his latest rallies have degenerated into rambling word salad for parts of the speech. He suffers from psychological issues that he can’t control and a melt down of some kind is inevitable. ---
**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\ **Post date:** [August 15, 2016, 1:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/88 "2016-08-15T01:04:28Z")
In the few clips I’ve seen in the last few days, he appears to be drunk. ---
**Author:** ![coremelt](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/4491bb/32.png) [@coremelt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/coremelt)\ **Post date:** [August 15, 2016, 1:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/89 "2016-08-15T01:34:18Z")
> [@John\_Mace](#): > > In the few clips I’ve seen in the last few days, he appears to be drunk. Trump claims to never drink alcohol. It’s more likely to me that he’s doped up on prescription medications. Powerful anti-anxiety meds and possibly some form of legal amphetamine. He is known to have been a regular visitor to a Doctor Joseph Greenberg who who was notorious for prescribing speed like diet pills to every one of his visitors. [http://gawker.com/the-best-theory-of-1992-donald-trump-took-amphetamine-1755299885](http://gawker.com/the-best-theory-of-1992-donald-trump-took-amphetamine-1755299885) Those things can only keep you going for so long, the crash is inevitable. ---
**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\ **Post date:** [August 15, 2016, 1:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/90 "2016-08-15T01:37:29Z")
Yeah, I know he supposedly doesn’t drink. But his demeanor is that of someone who is drunk. ---
**Author:** ![coremelt](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/4491bb/32.png) [@coremelt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/coremelt)\ **Post date:** [August 15, 2016, 1:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/91 "2016-08-15T01:46:47Z")
> [@John\_Mace](#): > > Yeah, I know he supposedly doesn’t drink. But his demeanor is that of someone who is drunk. The point I was trying to make is that there are plenty of prescription medications that can make someone look like they are drunk if abused, and that Trump is suspected to have a history of such abuse. ---
**Author:** ![Sam\_Lowry](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/e95f7d/32.png) [@Sam\_Lowry](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sam_Lowry)\ **Post date:** [August 15, 2016, 2:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/92 "2016-08-15T14:38:22Z")
> [@commasense](#): > > I agree with your first sentence, but I assume from the :rolleyes: that you know that this campaign has [seriously hurt his brand](http://www.insidesources.com/trumps-brand-at-risk-in-trumps-campaign/). From that article: I am afraid that Trump is riling up people and something bad could happen, but hearing how his campaign has hurt him and his brand does bring me some happiness. ---
**Author:** ![Son\_of\_a\_Rich](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/son_of_a_rich/32/5439_2.png) [@Son\_of\_a\_Rich](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Son_of_a_Rich)\ **Post date:** [August 15, 2016, 3:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/93 "2016-08-15T15:01:54Z")
He’ll stay running as long as there are huge rallies of cheering fans to salve his massive ego. ---
**Author:** ![Boyo\_Jim](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/87869e/32.png) [@Boyo\_Jim](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Boyo_Jim)\ **Post date:** [August 15, 2016, 3:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/94 "2016-08-15T15:19:22Z")
I used to think he would stay to the bitter end. Now I think that the blowout will be so huge, and so undeniable, that he’ll bow out in mid-October while claiming the fix is in and the whole thing will be rigged. ---
**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\ **Post date:** [August 15, 2016, 3:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/95 "2016-08-15T15:29:22Z")
> [@Sam\_Lowry](#): > > I am afraid that Trump is riling up people and something bad could happen, but hearing how his campaign has hurt him and his brand does bring me some happiness. Here is something I posted a week or two ago about how the campaign is hurting his corporate properties: > **[How the Trump Presidential Campaign is Affecting Trump Businesses](https://medium.com/foursquare-direct/how-the-trump-presidential-campaign-is-affecting-trump-businesses-c343178e3c03)** > > At Foursquare, our data scientists are often called upon to analyze real world trends; we use Big Data to determine how commercial fortunes… ---
**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\ **Post date:** [August 15, 2016, 3:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/96 "2016-08-15T15:45:49Z")
I am of the opinion that Donald J. Trump is in some deep financial shit and the $43 million write off was not one he could easily afford nor was something he was expecting to do when he started this ego trip. He has to continue the campaign so he can generate revenues for Trump corporate properties, and that is likely the #1 issue facing his campaign (in his mind) - how can he recoup that $43 million? He will do this by having rallies near Trump properties (like the one in CT - very close to NYC), book his travel through Trump companies, use Trump organization employees and bill the campaign for their use, more. There is going to come a day, however, when he looks at the cash flow projections and realizes that, to continue, more will need to go out than will come back in - the spigot of cash coming into his campaign will eventually stop, but the spigot of cash going out will continue. Ain’t nobody going to donate after November 8th\*, but there will still be plenty of bills to pay. The businessperson inside of me is really interested in this issue - is Trump going to stiff his campaign and try a cash grab? I know he’s not allowed to… but that doesn’t mean that he won’t _try_. After all, his actions of the past two weeks are the words of somebody building a case for a (very public) lawsuit: rigged elections, crooked press, crooked process, crooked polls… and I won’t be surprised if DJT convinces himself that he is due the donations because, “since the process was rigged, there was no need to spend money on organizations that were going to rig the election further against me, so why not let me keep the money since it was given to me?” So, we will see. Again, I don’t think he will quit, but _if_ he quits, it will be dictated by three things: 1. If the other Republicans can push him out. (Not likely) 2. His health. (A real possibility) 3. His financial state. (the most likely thing that will cause him to quit) \*Really, about a week or two before, right? And for the Trump campaign, the donations well may run dry sometime in late September, early October… if not earlier. ---
**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\ **Post date:** [August 15, 2016, 4:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/97 "2016-08-15T16:35:38Z")
is Trump desperate/stupid enough to do a disappearing act, claiming that assassins are out to get him? It is certainly a story his Trumpettes would swallow. ---
**Author:** ![commasense](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/commasense/32/3017_2.png) [@commasense](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/commasense)\ **Post date:** [January 17, 2021, 10:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/98 "2021-01-17T22:41:58Z")
I’m reviving this thread I created five and a half years ago. Since it appears that the poll results did not survive the transition to Discourse, I found them on the Wayback Machine (thanks @Thudlow_Boink) and am posting them below. Further commentary in the post below that. ---
**Author:** ![commasense](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/commasense/32/3017_2.png) [@commasense](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/commasense)\ **Post date:** [January 17, 2021, 10:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/99 "2021-01-17T22:48:07Z")
| Sept. 1, 2015 | 1 | 0.56% | | --- | --- | --- | | bobo blesinger | | | | Sept. 15, 2015 | 1 | 0.56% | | dracoi | | | | Oct. 1, 2015 | 0 | 0% | | Oct. 15, 2015 | 1 | 0.56% | | Bosda Di’Chi of Tricor | | | | Nov. 1, 2015 | 1 | 0.56% | | foolsguinea | | | | Nov. 15, 2015 | 1 | 0.56% | | Locrian | | | | Dec. 1, 2015 | 0 | 0% | | Dec. 15, 2015 | 0 | 0% | | Jan. 1, 2016 | 2 | 1.12% | | commasense, silverfish | | | | Jan. 15, 2016 | 2 | 1.12% | | Snowboarder Bo, wolfpup | | | | Feb. 1, 2016 (Iowa Caucus) | 2 | 1.12% | | boffking, llcoolbj77 | | | | Feb. 9, 2016 (NH primary) | 3 | 1.68% | | Billdo, FatOrangeCat, Octarine | | | | Feb. 20, 2016 (SC primary) | 5 | 2.79% | | Blaster Master, Daffyd, Dr. Drake, Happy Fun Ball, Trinopus | | | | Feb. 23, 2016 (NV caucus) | 2 | 1.12% | | Baffle, John Bredin | | | | March 1, 2016 (Super Tuesday) | 11 | 6.15% | | BeeGee, BobLibDem, Crotalus, DSeid, jebert, JKellyMap, missred, Paranoid Randroid, Prof. Pepperwinkle, Tatterdemalion, XT | | | | March 5, 2016 (LA, NE-D) | 7 | 3.91% | | 42fish, bubba001, bup, El\_Kabong, Jas09, Leo Krupe, USCDiver | | | | March 8, 2016 (HI-R, MS, MI) | 2 | 1.12% | | Cheerful Pessimist, Shodan | | | | March 13, 2016 (PR-R) | 1 | 0.56% | | John Mace | | | | March 15, 2016 (OH, FL, IL, MO) | 2 | 1.12% | | DinoR, sunstone | | | | March 22, 2016 (AZ, UT) | 2 | 1.12% | | Richard Parker, Ulf the Unwashed | | | | March 26, 2016 (HI-D) | 0 | 0% | | April 5, 2016 (WI) | 0 | 0% | | April 22, 2016 (CT, DE, MD, PA, RI) | 2 | 1.12% | | adaher, DirtyHippy | | | | May 3, 2016 (IN) | 1 | 0.56% | | moldmonkey | | | | May 10, 2016 (NE-R, WV) | 0 | 0% | | May 17, 2016 (KY, OR) | 0 | 0% | | June 5, 2016 (PR-D) | 0 | 0% | | June 7, 2016 (CA, MT, NJ, NM, SD) | 2 | 1.12% | | GIGObuster, SpoilerVirgin | | | | June 14, 2016 (DC) | 0 | 0% | | 1-Jul-16 | 2 | 1.12% | | GreenElf, PhillyGuy | | | | July 18, 2016 (Rep. Convention) | 2 | 1.12% | | April R, Mr Shine | | | | July 19, 2016 (Rep. Convention) | 0 | 0% | | July 20, 2016 (Rep. Convention) | 1 | 0.56% | | RTFirefly | | | | July 21, 2016 (Rep. Convention) | 3 | 1.68% | | Kimble, Qin Shi Huangdi, tullsterx | | | | July 25, 2016 (Dem. Convention) | 0 | 0% | | July 26, 2016 (Dem. Convention) | 0 | 0% | | July 27, 2016 (Dem. Convention) | 1 | 0.56% | | John DiFool | | | | July 28, 2016 (Dem. Convention) | 0 | 0% | | Aug. 1, 2016 | 0 | 0% | | Aug. 15, 2016 | 0 | 0% | | Sept. 1, 2016 | 1 | 0.56% | | yanceylebeef | | | | Sept. 15, 2016 | 2 | 1.12% | | pohjonen, Velocity | | | | Oct. 1, 2016 | 1 | 0.56% | | coremelt | | | | Oct. 15, 2016 | 1 | 0.56% | | Boyo Jim | | | | Nov. 1, 2016 | 2 | 1.12% | | asahi, The Great Sun Jester | | | | Nov. 8, 2016 (Election Day) Trump wins | 14 | 7.82% | | Arcite, bb49, Claverhouse, control-z, dude77, Einstein was a Hippie, Idle Thoughts, Jamicat, janeslogin, manila, marshmallow, Nema98, Terr, thunderdog | | | | Nov. 8, 2016 (Election Day) Trump loses | 92 | 51.40% | | AHunter3, alphaboi867, AndrewL, Aro, Aspidistra, ataraxy22, baronsabato, Bijou Drains, Bryan Ekers, Buck Godot, Cardigan, Celidin, Chisquirrel, Chronos, Corry El, Czarcasm, c\_carol, Dave\_Enn, ddsun, Der Trihs, DerekMichaels00, desertmonk, DigitalC, digs, duality72, ElvisL1ves, Erik the Viking, Ethilrist, eulalia, FloatyGimpy, Folacin, Frank, Frodo, Gyrate, Hari Seldon, Hawkeyeop, HeatherPA, hende, Hermitian, iamthewalrus(:3=, Inner Stickler, Jack Batty, jayjay, jjohns828, Johnny Ace, JohnT, kaylasdad99, Knorf, Kolak of Twilo, Larry Borgia, Leaffan, Left Hand of Dorkness, Lightnin’, MacCat, manitou, Mind’s Eye, Watering, Munch, Neo-Calredic, Nobody, otoh, penultima thule, pieceoftheuniverse, PigArcher, pmwgreen, Procrustus, Qadgop the Mercotan, quimper, raventhief, Really Not All That Bright, Renee, RickJay, SaharaTea, saje, SantaMan, septimus, Shalmanese, silenus, SmartAlecCat, Steve MB, straight man, sweepkick, The Mighty Boosh, The Stainless Steel Rat, TheSeaOtter, TonySinclair, Trepa Mayfield, Twoflower, Typo Negative, Wallet, What Exit?, willthekittensurvive?, xenophon41 | | | | Other (specify) | 6 | 3.35% | | bucketybuck, DCnDC, Enginerd, nearwildheaven, Superdude, YogSothoth | | | ---
**Author:** ![CardboardBoxx](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cardboardboxx/32/7079_2.png) [@CardboardBoxx](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CardboardBoxx)\ **Post date:** [January 17, 2021, 10:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/100 "2021-01-17T22:51:09Z")
I’m assuming most of the “Election Day- Trump Loses” are from after he became the nominee, and most of the “Election Day- Trump wins” were from after it was known. **Terr** anounced ED-TW early but even he admitted it was for the yuks, I’m guessing almost all the correct responses were not from 2015. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496.md?page=4) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496.md?page=6)