# Polling is broken, right? Or is it the news? Or all of the US?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** trump\
**Created:** [November 27, 2023, 5:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779 "2023-11-27T17:30:18Z")\
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**Author:** ![pulykamell](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pulykamell/32/3166_2.png) [@pulykamell](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pulykamell)\
**Post date:** [March 29, 2024, 1:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779/202 "2024-03-29T13:05:02Z")

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More like 90% dropping to 70%. That’s a big shift. 80 to 75 doesn’t feel qualitatively different to me. If you’re losing sleep over 75%, you’re losing sleep over 80.

> **[2016 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/)**
>
> Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump

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