# Polling is broken, right? Or is it the news? Or all of the US?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** trump\
**Created:** [November 27, 2023, 5:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779 "2023-11-27T17:30:18Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 388

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**Author:** ![bordelond](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bordelond/32/150_2.png) [@bordelond](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bordelond)\
**Post date:** [June 26, 2024, 4:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779/388 "2024-06-26T16:35:12Z")

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Since this article bases many of its arguments on 2022 (mid-term) and 2024 polling, I’ll cross-post this here.

> [@Trump's reported increases in minority-voter support are - at best - heavily exaggerated](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/trumps-reported-increases-in-minority-voter-support-are-at-best-heavily-exaggerated/1003157/47):
>
> ( @PhillyGuy , The New Republic’s Susan Milligan went with “vastly” - see below ) Milligan asks the reader a question I find myself asking over and over again: Is polling itself dispositive? Beyond mere musing, however, Milligan brings receipts: Democrats have weathered similar scares in recent cycles. In 2022, a preelection poll by the nonpartisan National Association of Latino Elected Officials found that [57 percent of Latinos favored Democratic](https://naleo.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/10_26_22_-_NEF_Release_-_Tracking_Poll_-_Week_7_-_FINAL-1.pdf) candidates for Congress. [Exit polls determin…](https://2022electionpoll.us/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/5-Midterm-Survey-Latino-National-Crosstab.pdf)

> **[Reports of Biden’s Black and Hispanic Problem Are Vastly Overstated](https://newrepublic.com/article/182841/biden-black-hispanic-voters-trump-2024)**
>
> Yes, the president has work to do with Black and Hispanic voters, but no, they’re not flocking to Donald Trump.

Looking at the OP of this thread … this article makes more the case that “_it’s the news_” – that the problem is coverage about poll results and an apparent unwillingness to dig below surface interpretation of the numbers.

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_[View the full topic](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779)._
