# Polling is broken, right? Or is it the news? Or all of the US?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** trump\
**Created:** [November 27, 2023, 5:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779 "2023-11-27T17:30:18Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 520

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**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\
**Post date:** [October 17, 2024, 7:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779/520 "2024-10-17T19:17:17Z")

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An article of interest for this thread. Gift link.

> **[What Past Polling Misses Can Tell Us About the 2024 Election](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/17/us/politics/national-polls-election-results.html?unlocked_article_code=1.S04.cDIF.g51T04eigRzs&smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare)**
>
> Pre-election polls will never perfectly match election results. But an examination of three decades of polling helps put recent misses into context.

To me the big point:

> Since 2000, polls in close states have been off by an average of 3.1 points.

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