# Polling is broken, right? Or is it the news? Or all of the US?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** trump\
**Created:** [November 27, 2023, 5:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779 "2023-11-27T17:30:18Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 618

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**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\
**Post date:** [October 31, 2024, 8:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779/618 "2024-10-31T20:58:09Z")

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Continuing the discussion from [Stop Panicking!](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/stop-panicking/1003447/1272):

> [@Stop Panicking!](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/stop-panicking/1003447/1272):
>
> That it’ll be a close one seems like the only take that’s congruent with the available evidence.

Nope. It is the middle point of a wide variety of outcomes congruent with the available evidence from one to the other sweeping the swing states.

Probably a relatively not so close race is more congruent than there being one. Adding both directions as equally possible.

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