# Polling is broken, right? Or is it the news? Or all of the US? **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Tags:** trump\ **Created:** [November 27, 2023, 5:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779 "2023-11-27T17:30:18Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 1\ **Showing post:** 686
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 12:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779/686 "2024-11-03T00:34:12Z")
> [@Jas09](#): > > What if, for example, Harris has weakened marginally with black and hispanic men, but strengthened significantly with white women (of all education levels) relative to Biden 2020? Care to participate here? > [@Prediction for specific demographic changes compared to 2020](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/prediction-for-specific-demographic-changes-compared-to-2020/1009511): > > Up down for total turnout to which side using 2020 as the baseline. Sources: for [younger voters subgroups](https://circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/2020-youth-voter-turnout-raceethnicity-and-gender); and [other groupings](https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/06/30/behind-bidens-2020-victory/). Younger apparently gets defined as 18 to 29. My short version: Younger voters have an increase in female voter turnout and D preference across all subgroups. Biggest increase in young Black women, increasing from 47 to 55 or even 60%. The younger male vote remains an unchanged total turnout for Latino and Black men (39 and 31%) with a marginal but real improvement to… --- _[View the full topic](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779)._