# Polling: Unskewed Polls and comments on polling (moved from Harris Thread)

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-unskewed-polls-and-comments-on-polling-moved-from-harris-thread/1005665>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [August 13, 2024, 5:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-unskewed-polls-and-comments-on-polling-moved-from-harris-thread/1005665 "2024-08-13T17:10:05Z")\
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**Author:** ![Pleonast](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pleonast/32/1183_2.png) [@Pleonast](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pleonast)\
**Post date:** [September 22, 2024, 4:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-unskewed-polls-and-comments-on-polling-moved-from-harris-thread/1005665/159 "2024-09-22T04:09:06Z")

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> [@How can Donald Trump win at this point?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-can-donald-trump-win-at-this-point/1005351/2307):
>
> But I have the general impression the she’s slowly increasing her lead.

She is, and it’s especially clear if we look at the states she has a statistically significant lead in.

**Electoral College 2024 Excluding States Where the Candidates are Statistically Tied**  
[![](https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2024/Pres/ec_graph-2024-solid.png) ](https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2024/Pres/ec_graph-2024-solid.png)

Starting from when Biden dropped out, Trump’s likely electoral vote count is clearly trending down. Harris’ count is slightly trending up. Neither has reached 270, so we’re still in the coin flip region. But the movements are both in good directions.

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