# Polling: Unskewed Polls and comments on polling (moved from Harris Thread)

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-unskewed-polls-and-comments-on-polling-moved-from-harris-thread/1005665>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [August 13, 2024, 5:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-unskewed-polls-and-comments-on-polling-moved-from-harris-thread/1005665 "2024-08-13T17:10:05Z")\
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**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\
**Post date:** [September 27, 2024, 1:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-unskewed-polls-and-comments-on-polling-moved-from-harris-thread/1005665/234 "2024-09-27T01:52:51Z")

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> [@Pleonast](#):
>
> I don’t think it’s worth quibbling about whether or not those are Red Wave forecasts. But they both were forecasting more Republicans than actually became elected.

You mean … omigosh! Polls did not call every race right?!!!

It is not a quibble to dispute the false narrative of a predicted Red wave, especially when it is being used to imply that polls are predictably skewed in a direction.

Reality check as linked a bit above: polls almost always systemically err one way or the other, in Senate race 5.4%, and House races 6.1% on average. Both directions occur apparently randomly.

‘22 was actually a better performing year than usual.

> **[The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022](https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/2022-election-polling-accuracy/)**
>
> Let’s give a big round of applause to the pollsters. Measuring public opinion is, in many ways, harder than ever — and yet, the polling industry just had one of…

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