# Polls and the Electoral College

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polls-and-the-electoral-college/415647>\
**Category:** Factual Questions\
**Created:** [August 15, 2007, 1:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polls-and-the-electoral-college/415647 "2007-08-15T01:14:49Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 5\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![ernesto](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/c2a13f/32.png) [@ernesto](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ernesto)\
**Post date:** [August 15, 2007, 1:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polls-and-the-electoral-college/415647/1 "2007-08-15T01:14:49Z")

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I was wondering if there were any sites or polls that indicated the US Presidental candidates chances in the Electoral College.

All I see are straight polls saying like “Clinton has 42%” which is fine but since we don’t elect the president via straight popular vote I thought it would be interesting to see what state a candidate could win and statistics like that.

Sorry if this is the wrong forum, I didn’t know which one to put it in, please move to appropriate one if this is wrong.

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**Author:** ![Kid\_A\_1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ed8c4c/32.png) [@Kid\_A\_1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kid_A_1)\
**Post date:** [August 15, 2007, 1:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polls-and-the-electoral-college/415647/2 "2007-08-15T01:18:52Z")

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My favourite site that deals with US politics in an unbiased manner is [electoral-vote.com](http://www.electoral-vote.com/). The site is currently updated around once a week but that will pick up once things get going.

The most recent polling data by state is [here](http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2007/Pres/Maps/Aug02.html).

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**Author:** ![Quartz](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/quartz/32/267_2.png) [@Quartz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Quartz)\
**Post date:** [August 15, 2007, 10:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polls-and-the-electoral-college/415647/3 "2007-08-15T10:22:09Z")

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I love some of the descriptions of the candidates.

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**Author:** ![Neptunian\_Slug](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/ce7236/32.png) [@Neptunian\_Slug](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Neptunian_Slug)\
**Post date:** [August 16, 2007, 12:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polls-and-the-electoral-college/415647/4 "2007-08-16T00:21:39Z")

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There aren’t a lot of state-level head-to-heads so its very hard to tell where candidates are in various states. I am not even sure that Real Clear Politics has the state-level general election polls posted, although I don’t go there enough to search around.

Here are a few that I found

[Colorado](http://news.yahoo.com/s/rasmussen/20070814/pl_rasmussen/coloradoprimary20070814_1)

[New Hampshire, Rasmussen](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/clinton_leads_top_republicans_in_new_hampshire)

[Florida, Rasmussen](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/clinton_leads_gop_hopefuls_in_florida)

[New Jersey, Quinnipiac](http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID=1080)

[Ohio, Rasmussen](http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/with_clinton_in_2008_race_ohio_is_still_a_toss_up)

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**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\
**Post date:** [August 16, 2007, 3:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polls-and-the-electoral-college/415647/5 "2007-08-16T03:20:59Z")

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[QUOTE=ernesto]  
I was wondering if there were any sites or polls that indicated the US Presidental candidates chances in the Electoral College.

All I see are straight polls saying like “Clinton has 42%” which is fine but since we don’t elect the president via straight popular vote I thought it would be interesting to see what state a candidate could win and statistics like that.

Sorry if this is the wrong forum, I didn’t know which one to put it in, please move to appropriate one if this is wrong.  
[/QUOTE]

It’s too early. Come next spring, there will be many sites with polls by state and electoral projections out the wazoo. You don’t give the current polls any serious consideration, do you?
