# Predict: Likelihood Palin will show for the debate?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866>\
**Category:** The BBQ Pit\
**Created:** [September 30, 2008, 4:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866 "2008-09-30T16:17:34Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 8

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**Author:** ![Boyo\_Jim](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/87869e/32.png) [@Boyo\_Jim](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Boyo_Jim)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 8:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/141 "2008-10-01T20:43:56Z")

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> [@mlees](#):
>
> I’d _so_ like to see Biden call Palin “babycakes”. 😛

“Sweet cheeks” would be better. Or “Caribou Barbie”.

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**Author:** ![Malthus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/85f322/32.png) [@Malthus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Malthus)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 8:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/142 "2008-10-01T20:55:39Z")

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> [@Euphonious\_Polemic](#):
>
> I"m in agreement with many of the posters here:
> 
> Palin will show, with a 99.9% probability.
> 
> She will turn in a barely competent performance, and will spout off sound bites and talking points that have a passing resemblance to answers to the questions.
> 
> Biden will do fine, and will say at least one “Huh?” comment. He’ll try to avoid being too smug when she appears confused. He will avoid calling her “dear, darling, honey, or baby-cakes”
> 
> The media will say it is a tie, with Republican spinners talking about “gotcha” questions and how the moderator/Biden was unfair. Democrat spinners will say she tanked. Repub spinners will say she was “presidential”. Democrats will say she’s an idiot. Repubs will say she’s learning.
> 
> In the end, it will make not one bit of difference to the election result.

I agree with this.

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**Author:** ![Lord\_Ashtar](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ea924/32.png) [@Lord\_Ashtar](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lord_Ashtar)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 9:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/143 "2008-10-01T21:01:37Z")

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Sarah Palin could be in a severe car wreck this afternoon, with her bloodied and mangled body in intensive care, and there would be people crying, “Republican cover up! That’s not her, that’s a body double like what John Travolta did in _Swordfish_! Cover up, cover up, OMG, cover up!!!11!11!!1”

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**Author:** ![HMS\_Irruncible](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hms_irruncible/32/7394_2.png) [@HMS\_Irruncible](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/HMS_Irruncible)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 9:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/144 "2008-10-01T21:07:57Z")

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> [@Lord\_Ashtar](#):
>
> Sarah Palin could be in a severe car wreck this afternoon, with her bloodied and mangled body in intensive care, and there would be people crying, “Republican cover up! That’s not her, that’s a body double like what John Travolta did in _Swordfish_! Cover up, cover up, OMG, cover up!!!11!11!!1”

And there would also be people crying “OMG it was terrorists sent by Barack Hussein Obama!” Seriously, you have any point to make here?

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**Author:** ![Lord\_Ashtar](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ea924/32.png) [@Lord\_Ashtar](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lord_Ashtar)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 9:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/145 "2008-10-01T21:19:55Z")

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My point is that anyone who seriously suggests that Palin won’t be at the debate tonight is retarded.

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**Author:** ![Cervaise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cervaise/32/16693_2.png) [@Cervaise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Cervaise)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 9:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/146 "2008-10-01T21:24:02Z")

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I am suggesting exactly that.

Primarily because the debate will be tomorrow.

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**Author:** ![Frank](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Frank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frank)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 9:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/147 "2008-10-01T21:25:10Z")

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> [@Cervaise](#):
>
> I am suggesting exactly that.
> 
> Primarily because the debate will be tomorrow.

Well, it would be funny if she shows up tonight.

“Where is everybody?”

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**Author:** ![Jolly\_Roger](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/91b2a8/32.png) [@Jolly\_Roger](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jolly_Roger)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 9:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/148 "2008-10-01T21:28:48Z")

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> [@Lord\_Ashtar](#):
>
> My point is that anyone who seriously suggests that Palin won’t be at the debate tonight is retarded.

The debate isn’t tonight so the people you speak of wouldn’t be retarded…they’d be correct.

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**Author:** ![Cervaise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cervaise/32/16693_2.png) [@Cervaise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Cervaise)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 9:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/149 "2008-10-01T21:30:35Z")

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Too slow! Neener neener neener.

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**Author:** ![Lord\_Ashtar](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ea924/32.png) [@Lord\_Ashtar](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lord_Ashtar)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 9:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/150 "2008-10-01T21:36:35Z")

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:smack:

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**Author:** ![Snowboarder\_Bo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/snowboarder_bo/32/229_2.png) [@Snowboarder\_Bo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snowboarder_Bo)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 10:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/151 "2008-10-01T22:09:04Z")

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> [@Shodan](#):
>
> Sorry, didn’t see that earlier. [Cite.](http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5gRVlNCfrTmHF-OGaFGEQyKgQI2Pg)

Thank you for providing a cite.

Your cite does not back up your assertion that

> [@Shodan](#):
>
> Obama says he has foreign policy experience because he lived in Kenya and Hawaii when he was a kid.

The article you linked to says

> [@](#):
>
> “The benefit of my life of having both lived overseas and traveled overseas … is, I have a better sense of how they’re thinking and what their society is really like,” Obama said.

You misquoted your own cite, and misrepresented what Sen. Obama said. Your cite may not even accurately quote Sen. Obama. I’m certain that he did not say “dot dot dot” and we have no way of knowing what may have been edited out there by the article writer.

Further, Sen. Obama goes on to say

> [@](#):
>
> “A lot of my knowledge about foreign affairs isn’t just what I studied in school – I studied international relations when I was in college – it’s not just the work I do on the Senate foreign relations committee.”
> 
> “It’s actually having the knowledge of how ordinary people in these other countries live.”

He never said what you say he said.

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**Author:** ![Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/left_hand_of_dorkness/32/7156_2.png) [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Left_Hand_of_Dorkness)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 10:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/152 "2008-10-01T22:10:10Z")

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> [@Lord\_Ashtar](#):
>
> :smack:

If it makes you feel any better, I read your post and immediately checked the timestamp and seeing that it was today, thought, “What, is the debate today? I thought it was tomorrow!”

It wasn’t until I started typing this that I realized how dumb it was to check the timestamp. Did I think it was gonna be Thursday’s timestamp?

:smack: indeed.

Daniel

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**Author:** ![Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/left_hand_of_dorkness/32/7156_2.png) [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Left_Hand_of_Dorkness)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 10:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/153 "2008-10-01T22:12:50Z")

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> [@Snowboarder\_Bo](#):
>
> You misquoted your own cite, and misrepresented what Sen. Obama said. Your cite may not even accurately quote Sen. Obama. I’m certain that he did not say “dot dot dot” and we have no way of knowing what may have been edited out there by the article writer.

Heh heh heh. My major run-in with **Shodan** , a few years ago, was exactly the same thing, except even dumber. He accused me of misrepresenting someone else’s words, despite the fact that I labeled my words as a biased paraphrase. He followed me around the boards sniping at me with this accusation in multiple threads. He supported his accusation by using quote marks around my words–except that they weren’t my words, but were, rather, an inaccurate paraphrase of what I’d said. It was pretty damn funny.

Good to see he’s up to his old tricks. As I posted before in post 100, if you parse what he says, he seems simultaneously aware and unaware of his own foolishness.

Daniel

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lord\_Ashtar](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ea924/32.png) [@Lord\_Ashtar](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lord_Ashtar)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 11:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/154 "2008-10-01T23:23:41Z")

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> [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](#):
>
> If it makes you feel any better, I read your post and immediately checked the timestamp and seeing that it was today, thought, “What, is the debate today? I thought it was tomorrow!”
> 
> It wasn’t until I started typing this that I realized how dumb it was to check the timestamp. Did I think it was gonna be Thursday’s timestamp?
> 
> :smack: indeed.
> 
> Daniel

I swear, I thought today was Thursday. My new job has my internal clock all kinds of screwed up.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Sampiro](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/2acd7d/32.png) [@Sampiro](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sampiro)\
**Post date:** [October 2, 2008, 1:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/155 "2008-10-02T01:03:19Z")

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Did anybody happen to hear the following line from Bay Buchanan in response to James Carville on Anderson Cooper last night? (It’s not namedropping if you’re just quoting a TV show is it?)

If I weren’t tired I’d give it it’s own pit thread. What’s terrifying and infuriating is that she wasn’t saying it as a criticism of Palin, but as something admirable! _ **Emphases** _ mine of course.

> [@](#):
>
> CARVILLE: I remember one Republican once famously who said, “Don’t confuse me with the facts. I have my mind made up.” And Bay, you’d better not confuse her with any facts.
> 
> BUCHANAN: You know, James, that’s so foolish. You’re so much smarter than that. Ronald Reagan – you only need a few facts to tell people and give the sense of that you know what you’re talking about. Then you speak with your heart. _You don’t speak with your **mind** if you want to reach American people. That’s what makes a great candidate._

Reminds me a bit of Kirstey Alley/Rebecca’s comment on CHEERS that

> [@](#):
>
> We have to pretend to care about others… that’s what makes you a good person!

except Rebecca was funny. Cause she wasn’t real. And Palin could well be our president as early as next year.

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**Author:** ![Count\_Blucher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/c5a1d2/32.png) [@Count\_Blucher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Count_Blucher)\
**Post date:** [October 2, 2008, 1:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/156 "2008-10-02T01:26:46Z")

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> [@Frank](#):
>
> Well, it would be funny if she shows up tonight.
> 
> “Where is everybody?”

Yes, but who has more to gain by rearranging her Microsoft Calendar?

“Now look. I got this Invite from Gwen … Gwen Stefani? Gwen somebody… right here. There’s supposed to be podiums up on stage and everything, and there isn’t even a tele-prompter set up! Somebody’s making a B-i-i-ig mistake here…” 😃

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Auntbeast](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/5f9b8f/32.png) [@Auntbeast](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Auntbeast)\
**Post date:** [October 2, 2008, 2:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/157 "2008-10-02T02:15:11Z")

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> [@Boyo\_Jim](#):
>
> “Sweet cheeks” would be better. Or “Caribou Barbie”.

My vote is he calls her “cupcake.”

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Snowboarder\_Bo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/snowboarder_bo/32/229_2.png) [@Snowboarder\_Bo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snowboarder_Bo)\
**Post date:** [October 2, 2008, 5:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/158 "2008-10-02T05:55:53Z")

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here’s an [article](http://www.theonion.com/content/news_briefs/palin_brushing_up_on) about how Gov. Palin is brushing up on foreign policy.

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**Author:** ![Shodan](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/9f8e36/32.png) [@Shodan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shodan)\
**Post date:** [October 2, 2008, 7:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/159 "2008-10-02T19:19:11Z")

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> [@Snowboarder\_Bo](#):
>
> Thank you for providing a cite.  
> You misquoted your own cite, and misrepresented what Sen. Obama said.

Nope, both wrong.

> [@](#):
>
> He never said what you say he said.

Sure he did.

> [@](#):
>
> Obama’s remarks came in response to a question about his perceived lack of experience

Obama also claimed

> [@](#):
>
> Obama cockily told a fund-raising crowd in San Francisco, but “foreign policy is the area where I am probably most confident that I know more and understand the world better than Senator Clinton or Senator McCain.”

and

> [@](#):
>
> . “Both as a consequence of living in Indonesia and traveling in Pakistan, having friends in college who were Muslim, I was very clear about the history of Shia-Sunni antagonism”

So he is making those claims. [Cite](http://www.newsweek.com/id/131750/page/1), as if it were necessary.

Regards,  
Shodan

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Snowboarder\_Bo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/snowboarder_bo/32/229_2.png) [@Snowboarder\_Bo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snowboarder_Bo)\
**Post date:** [October 2, 2008, 7:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-likelihood-palin-will-show-for-the-debate/465866/160 "2008-10-02T19:31:30Z")

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> [@Shodan](#):
>
> Nope, both wrong.

No, you are wrong.

> [@Shodan](#):
>
> Sure he did.

No, he didn’t.

> [@Shodan](#):
>
> Obama also claimed…  
> …and So he is making those claims. [Cite](http://www.newsweek.com/id/131750/page/1), as if it were necessary.
> 
> Regards,  
> Shodan

Those claims are not the same thing as you originally said. And neither of them support your earlier assertions.

Nice try.

Thank you; come again.

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