# Predict the midterm voter turnout % for 2022

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-midterm-voter-turnout-for-2022/974099>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [October 31, 2022, 10:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-midterm-voter-turnout-for-2022/974099 "2022-10-31T22:01:06Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 3\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![Omar\_Little](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omar_little/32/269_2.png) [@Omar\_Little](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omar_Little)\
**Post date:** [October 31, 2022, 10:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-midterm-voter-turnout-for-2022/974099/1 "2022-10-31T22:01:06Z")

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2018 was 49% average for the country. One of the highest in decades, primarily driven by dissatisfaction of the Trump administration. I’m going with lower than 49%, but not as low as 2014, 38.5%. **I’ll say 43%.**

> **[Voter turnout in U.S. midterms by age 1966-2018 | Statista](https://www.statista.com/statistics/1096379/voter-turnout-midterms-by-age-historical/)**
>
> In the U.S.

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**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\
**Post date:** [October 31, 2022, 11:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-midterm-voter-turnout-for-2022/974099/2 "2022-10-31T23:04:29Z")

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54%. This will be a wild outlier.

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**Author:** ![Bootb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/e19b73/32.png) [@Bootb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bootb)\
**Post date:** [November 1, 2022, 3:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-midterm-voter-turnout-for-2022/974099/3 "2022-11-01T03:37:56Z")

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I’ll say 43% as well, with the drop from last time being driven mainly by the decrease in the 18-24 sector mentioned in the OP’s link.
