# Predict the next war(s) **URL:** \ **Category:** Great Debates\ **Created:** [November 9, 2016, 4:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-next-war-s/771225 "2016-11-09T16:05:18Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 7\ **Page:** 8
**Author:** ![HurricaneDitka](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/96bed5/32.png) [@HurricaneDitka](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/HurricaneDitka)\ **Post date:** [May 17, 2019, 2:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-next-war-s/771225/141 "2019-05-17T02:53:35Z")
> [@Gray\_Ghost](#): > > I wonder how big the missile is? It took B-52s or similar to carry the old CALCM or AGM-129 but something not that much smaller like [JASSM-ER](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AGM-158_JASSM) is capable of being carried by smaller aircraft like F-15Es. I think the F-35 can carry it, but not internally. I think. I remember reading that they hoped to put it on JASSM-ER, but I don’t know if they ever did. > [@Gray\_Ghost](#): > > Interesting that they’re able to generate such a strong microwave burst. I’m guessing some type of explosively-generated induced current? I’ve read several different possibilities: chemical explosion, something with a vacuum tube, or an AESA. I don’t know what it actually is. ---
**Author:** ![HurricaneDitka](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/96bed5/32.png) [@HurricaneDitka](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/HurricaneDitka)\ **Post date:** [May 17, 2019, 10:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-next-war-s/771225/142 "2019-05-17T22:00:03Z")
Here’s a round-up of goings-on and rumors on the Iranian front. First up, Reuters reports the insurance company thinks the ships were sabotaged by the IRGC: > [@](#): > > [Exclusive: Iran’s elite Revolutionary Guards are likely to have facilitated attacks on four tankers off Fujairah in the UAE last Sunday, according to an insurers’ report seen by Reuters](https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1129481979131551744) Second, some ominous saber-rattling from Iran: > [@](#): > > [#Iran: “War against Iran will lead to World War III. Any attack on Iran would mean the elimination of #Israel within half an hour.”](https://twitter.com/AuroraIntel/status/1129453687137611776) Third, the IDF may have struck IRGC targets in Syria: > [@](#): > > [8 surface to surface missiles from the #IDF was possibly launched at unknown targets in #Syria. > Current chatter suggests these targets were #IRGC targets. > Can’t confirm any airstrikes occurred & due to how short this event was it’s very possible it was decoys used by #Israel.](https://twitter.com/Deven_Intel/status/1129473891724713985) The Syrian IADS appears to have responded: > [@](#): > > [Syrian Air Defence firing this evening #Syria](https://twitter.com/ConflictsW/status/1129473711134904320) > [@](#): > > [Syria claiming (like clockwork) to have downed numerous of the projectiles launched into #Damascus. > > Waiting for further information.]([https://twitter.com/IntelCrab/status/1129463845280473088](https://twitter.com/IntelCrab/status/1129463845280473088)) And apparently the Russians have already forgotten just how dangerous that can be, at least for Syria’s allies: > [@](#): > > [Russian Air Force is active over north Damascus and over the coast line > > 3 Su-35s are noted]([https://twitter.com/Syrian\_MC/status/1129464053393494018](https://twitter.com/Syrian_MC/status/1129464053393494018)) ---
**Author:** ![Velocity](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/velocity/32/18006_2.png) [@Velocity](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Velocity)\ **Post date:** [May 17, 2019, 10:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-next-war-s/771225/143 "2019-05-17T22:18:10Z")
Time for F-22 to get first air-to-air kills… ---
**Author:** ![HurricaneDitka](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/96bed5/32.png) [@HurricaneDitka](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/HurricaneDitka)\ **Post date:** [May 17, 2019, 10:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-next-war-s/771225/144 "2019-05-17T22:30:04Z")
> [@Velocity](#): > > Time for F-22 to get first air-to-air kills… Or the JSF. I think I heard that the F-22s rotated out and were replaced by F-35s. ---
**Author:** ![Defensive\_Indifference](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/defensive_indifference/32/6502_2.png) [@Defensive\_Indifference](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Defensive_Indifference)\ **Post date:** [May 19, 2019, 1:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-next-war-s/771225/145 "2019-05-19T01:49:11Z")
US officials have issued a warning to commercial airlines to stay away from the Persian Gulf to avoid the risk of being “misidentified”. So I guess if we pull another Vincennes we can say, “Hey, we warned you! It’s your fault!” Also, in a rare display of concern for human life, ExxonMobil has begun evacuating its staff from Basra. > **[U.S. warns airliners flying in Persian Gulf amid Iran tensions](https://www.politico.com/story/2019/05/18/airliners-flying-persian-gulf-iran-1331724)** > > The order said said that commercial aircraft needed to be aware of “heightened military activities and increased political tension.” ---
**Author:** ![Defensive\_Indifference](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/defensive_indifference/32/6502_2.png) [@Defensive\_Indifference](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Defensive_Indifference)\ **Post date:** [May 22, 2019, 10:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-next-war-s/771225/146 "2019-05-22T22:40:57Z")
The Pentagon is preparing a plan to send 10,000 more troops to the Middle East. Officials say this is still in the proposal stage, and no decisions have been made. > **[US officials: Plan may send up to 10,000 troops to Mideast](https://apnews.com/a770998e42de4ed98257c91210b2fbbf?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=AP&utm_campaign=SocialFlow)** > > WASHINGTON (AP) — The Pentagon on Thursday will present plans to the White House to send up to 10,000 more troops to the Middle East, in a move to beef up defenses against potential Iranian threats, U.S. ---
**Author:** ![Defensive\_Indifference](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/defensive_indifference/32/6502_2.png) [@Defensive\_Indifference](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Defensive_Indifference)\ **Post date:** [January 3, 2020, 3:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-next-war-s/771225/147 "2020-01-03T03:56:17Z")
As this thread proves, I have no idea what I’m talking about. But I guess we just killed some high-ranking Iranian military leader. That doesn’t sound like a good start to 2020. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-next-war-s/771225.md?page=7)