# Predict the Outcome of Florida vs. George Zimmerman

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-outcome-of-florida-vs-george-zimmerman/661528>\
**Category:** In My Humble Opinion\
**Created:** [June 21, 2013, 1:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-outcome-of-florida-vs-george-zimmerman/661528 "2013-06-21T01:47:38Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 9\
**Page:** 7

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**Author:** ![Terr](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/839c29/32.png) [@Terr](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Terr)\
**Post date:** [July 8, 2013, 6:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-outcome-of-florida-vs-george-zimmerman/661528/121 "2013-07-08T18:36:00Z")

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> [@Projammer](#):
>
> Does the defense really need to do much more than go through the motions at this point? From what I’ve read on the proceedings, the prosecution’s witnesses did at least as much good for the defense as for the prosecution.

In my experience of lawyers (as their client, so thank G-d not criminal lawyers) for them anything worth doing is worth overdoing.

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**Author:** ![Projammer](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/projammer/32/559_2.png) [@Projammer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Projammer)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2013, 5:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-outcome-of-florida-vs-george-zimmerman/661528/122 "2013-07-12T17:53:32Z")

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Final bump. Last chance to get your vote in.

Jury has instructions including manslaughter.

Prosecutions has put on a less-than-stellar performance with their witnesses apparently doing as much to support Zimmerman as to indict him.

Defence has been adequate without being the dream team.

I’ll stick with my original assessment of not guilty of murder or manslaughter and acquitted.

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**Author:** ![Fotheringay-Phipps](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/d9b06d/32.png) [@Fotheringay-Phipps](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fotheringay-Phipps)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2013, 6:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-outcome-of-florida-vs-george-zimmerman/661528/123 "2013-07-12T18:13:09Z")

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I’ve not been following this thread; have the percentages changed appreciably over the course of the trial?

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**Author:** ![Projammer](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/projammer/32/559_2.png) [@Projammer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Projammer)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2013, 8:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-outcome-of-florida-vs-george-zimmerman/661528/124 "2013-07-12T20:28:33Z")

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I wish it had occurred to me to do a daily tracking, but too late now.

IIRC, all of the choices have tracked fairly linearly until the beginning of this week where option 1, innocent/acquitted has jumped from 5 behind to 5 ahead of 3, guilty/acquitted.

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**Author:** ![Tollhouse](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/e99b99/32.png) [@Tollhouse](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tollhouse)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2013, 9:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-outcome-of-florida-vs-george-zimmerman/661528/125 "2013-07-12T21:07:08Z")

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> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> I think he’s guilty but will be acquitted. Right wingers flood emergency rooms nationwide after having erections lasting more than four hours.

This.

Enough said.

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**Author:** ![Tollhouse](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/e99b99/32.png) [@Tollhouse](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tollhouse)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2013, 9:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-outcome-of-florida-vs-george-zimmerman/661528/126 "2013-07-12T21:13:55Z")

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> [@Bruce\_Wayne](#):
>
> Barring some last minute piece of evidence from the prosecution or a complete failure of the jury, it’s pretty clear Zimmerman will walk. The states case is weak and has been from the beginning. How 74 of 166 people could think Zimmerman is guilty(so far) is completely flabbergasting.

Apparently those 74 people are not blind, among other things

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**Author:** ![Lumpy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lumpy/32/446_2.png) [@Lumpy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lumpy)\
**Post date:** [July 14, 2013, 12:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-outcome-of-florida-vs-george-zimmerman/661528/127 "2013-07-14T00:46:20Z")

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At this point I don’t think the state’s argument (or lack of one) is the deciding factor. It’s pretty much up to the vagaries of the jurors. As these threads have shown, people can interpret the known facts completely at odds from the other side.

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**Author:** ![Projammer](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/projammer/32/559_2.png) [@Projammer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Projammer)\
**Post date:** [July 14, 2013, 5:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-outcome-of-florida-vs-george-zimmerman/661528/128 "2013-07-14T05:00:42Z")

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Verdict is in. Not Guilty. Quick snapshot of the poll results at this point.

34.02% 66 Not Guilty/Acquitted  
6.70% 13 Not Guilty/Convicted  
30.93% 60 Guilty/Acquitted  
11.86% 23 Guilty/Convicted  
8.76% 17 Hung  
7.73% 15 Other

194 Total Votes

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**Author:** ![Grrr](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/grrr/32/146_2.png) [@Grrr](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Grrr)\
**Post date:** [July 14, 2013, 6:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-outcome-of-florida-vs-george-zimmerman/661528/129 "2013-07-14T06:35:49Z")

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> [@Shakes](#):
>
> Well, if the jury selection is any indication of how this trail is going to go, the State is going to have their ass handed to them.

Nailed it.

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