# Predict the Senate rACES **URL:** \ **Category:** In My Humble Opinion\ **Created:** [November 2, 2008, 1:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-senate-races/470711 "2008-11-02T13:07:03Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 3\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![jimmmy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/73ab20/32.png) [@jimmmy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jimmmy)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2008, 1:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-senate-races/470711/1 "2008-11-02T13:07:03Z")
The current US Senate split: 49 Dem, 2 Independents, and 49 Reps (both independents caucus with Dems). ## Current split of 35 Senate seats up for election: 12 D, 23 R 1. What will be the Democratic vs. Republican Split be after the election results Tuesday take effect 2. If you want to specifically handicap a few: A. Chambliss (GA) B. Dole (NC) C. Coleman (MN) D. Stevens (AK) E. Gordon (OR) F. Sununu (NH) G. Landrieu (LA) H. MCConell (KY) 1. Any other surprises? * * * My prediction the Dems “net” 6 seats making the Senate split: 55 Dems, 2 Independents, and 44 Reps. With the Independents making an effective 57 Seat Dem. Senate (altho Lieberman as always is a wild card) 1. A. Chambliss wins B. Dole Loses C. Coleman Loses d. Stevens Loses E. Gordon Loses F Sununu Loses G. Landrieu Wins H. MCConnell wins 1. I would not be shocked if Mississippi breaks down if the African American vote really turns out at tremendous levels. I would not be shocked if there are hours and hours of waiting more McCain than Obama voters in Ms say “ferget it” and go home. If that happens, I would no be shocked if Wicker loses … not saying “so” just that I would not be shocked. ---
**Author:** ![jimmmy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/73ab20/32.png) [@jimmmy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jimmmy)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2008, 1:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-senate-races/470711/2 "2008-11-02T13:30:34Z")
> [@jimmmy](#): > > My prediction the Dems “net” 6 seats making the Senate split: > 55 Dems, 2 Independents, and 44 Reps. > . is dumba$$ for 55 Dems 2 Independents 43 Republicans ---
**Author:** ![Captain\_Carrot](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/f0a364/32.png) [@Captain\_Carrot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Captain_Carrot)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2008, 2:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predict-the-senate-races/470711/3 "2008-11-02T14:20:44Z")
You forgot Warner and both Udalls, all three of whom are Democrats taking formerly Republican seats. I personally think Merkley, Hagan, Shaheen, Warner, T. Udall, M. Udall, and Begich will win, Franken has a very good chance, and Martin is more likely to have an upset win (either with huge black turnout on the 4th, or in a runoff) than Lunsford or Musgrove. So probably 56-58 D, 2 I, 40-42 R.