# Predictions for the 2020 US Presidential Election **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [October 8, 2020, 10:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525 "2020-10-08T22:06:35Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 15\ **Page:** 25
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 9:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/481 "2020-11-03T21:27:32Z")
This whole country needs a reprieve from suffering and Florida going Biden would give us that. Just end it! No way Trump wins if FL goes blue. ---
**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 10:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/482 "2020-11-03T22:02:22Z")
Curious how many points will be considered “uncontestable”. Praying Biden takes Florida by at least four? five? points. ---
**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 2:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/483 "2020-11-04T02:26:03Z")
NC is going to be tight ---
**Author:** ![Lantern2](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lantern2/32/3010_2.png) [@Lantern2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern2)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 2:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/484 "2020-11-04T02:45:10Z")
The Needle is giving Trump a 95% chance of winning NC. It’s probably gone. PA may be the last hope… ---
**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/485 "2020-11-04T03:41:02Z")
Ha!!! No way. I hope I’m wrong on PA, but I don’t think I am. ---
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [October 9, 2021, 1:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/486 "2021-10-09T13:52:44Z")
> [@Polerius](#): > > As I’ve done in past elections, here are the results of my calculations for predicting the winner of the 2020 US presidential election Hey, so this site shows up “blank” for me and has been since the election. Does it not stay up in-between elections? ---
**Author:** ![Polerius](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/d78d45/32.png) [@Polerius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Polerius)\ **Post date:** [October 11, 2021, 1:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/487 "2021-10-11T01:45:26Z")
> [@Mahaloth](#): > > Hey, so this site shows up “blank” for me and has been since the election. Does it not stay up in-between elections? It’s [back up now](http://prespredict.com/). Were you looking for something specific? ---
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [February 10, 2024, 5:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/488 "2024-02-10T17:35:13Z")
> [@Polerius](#): > > Were you looking for something specific? Will you be running prespredict for this year’s election and if so, when will it go up? @Polerius ---
**Author:** ![Polerius](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/d78d45/32.png) [@Polerius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Polerius)\ **Post date:** [February 12, 2024, 5:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/489 "2024-02-12T05:52:58Z")
> [@Mahaloth](#): > > Will you be running prespredict for this year’s election and if so, when will it go up? Yes, I’m planning on running it this year. The math relies on state polls, so when state polls start coming out for Biden vs Trump, I’ll update the site AFAIK, there aren’t many state polls, it’s mostly nationwide polls of Biden vs Trump, which are effectively meaningless given the electoral college ---
**Author:** ![TeroSunbear](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/terosunbear/32/14748_2.png) [@TeroSunbear](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TeroSunbear)\ **Post date:** [February 12, 2024, 2:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/490 "2024-02-12T14:20:56Z")
(2020!) not 2024 deleted ---
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [February 12, 2024, 2:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/491 "2024-02-12T14:57:46Z")
> [@Polerius](#): > > Yes, I’m planning on running it this year. The math relies on state polls, so when state polls start coming out for Biden vs Trump, I’ll update the site Cool, thanks. ---
**Author:** ![Polerius](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/d78d45/32.png) [@Polerius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Polerius)\ **Post date:** [June 14, 2024, 5:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/492 "2024-06-14T17:56:32Z")
> [@Mahaloth](#): > > Will you be running prespredict for this year’s election and if so, when will it go up? > @Polerius Here are the calculations based on the latest state polls: Probability of winning: - Biden: 44.9% [15.1%, 46.5%] - Trump 55.1% [53.5%, 84.9%] Number of electors: Biden 261, Trump 277 There are a lot of websites now that track this prediction, so I’m not sure if I’ll make my website track it daily for the 2024 election like in the past. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [June 14, 2024, 6:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/493 "2024-06-14T18:07:19Z")
Uhm, so if I correctly predict the outcome of the 2020 US Presidential election, what do I win? ---
**Author:** ![Polerius](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/d78d45/32.png) [@Polerius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Polerius)\ **Post date:** [June 14, 2024, 7:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/494 "2024-06-14T19:16:12Z")
A lollipop ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [June 15, 2024, 7:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/495 "2024-06-15T07:06:26Z")
Why is this thread active? It has nothing to do with 2024. I’m so confused. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525.md?page=24)