# Predictions: the President of Nigeria

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [January 13, 2010, 10:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776 "2010-01-13T10:46:32Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 13\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![orcenio](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/orcenio/32/1036_2.png) [@orcenio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/orcenio)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2010, 10:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776/1 "2010-01-13T10:46:32Z")

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The President of Nigeria ([Umaru Musa Yar’Adua](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Umaru_Yar%27Adua)) has been pulling a Castro for the last two months. He was rushed to a Saudi hospital in November and [has stayed out of the spotlight](http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/8455130.stm) since then; understandably, this has embolden his political rivals who have been accusing the administration of forging his signature for bills and have been calling this a phantom regime. There are also unsquashable [rumours of his death](http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/01/12/is_the_president_of_nigeria_brain_dead).

So, how is this gonna play out for Africa’s most populous country? My predictions range from Yar’Adua “biting it” and the vice president taking over to him weakly recovering. Do share your opinion…

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**Author:** ![orcenio](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/orcenio/32/1036_2.png) [@orcenio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/orcenio)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2010, 10:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776/2 "2010-01-13T10:49:58Z")

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and no I didn’t start this thread with “I am the president of…”

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**Author:** ![Giles](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/giles/32/60_2.png) [@Giles](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Giles)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2010, 4:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776/3 "2010-01-13T16:06:42Z")

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> [@orcenio](#):
>
> and no I didn’t start this thread with “I am the president of…”

Dear **Orcenio** ,

I am the Former President of Nigeria, and I am Seeking your Esteemed Assistance in transfering 22 million Pounds Sterling to a Bank in your Country … .

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**Author:** ![Fear\_Itself](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fear_itself/32/19637_2.png) [@Fear\_Itself](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fear_Itself)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2010, 4:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776/4 "2010-01-13T16:13:34Z")

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My DopeDollars [are on him biting it.](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showpost.php?p=11943214&postcount=405)

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**Author:** ![Mighty\_Mouse](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mighty_mouse/32/7776_2.png) [@Mighty\_Mouse](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mighty_Mouse)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2010, 4:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776/5 "2010-01-13T16:15:21Z")

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> [@Giles](#):
>
> Dear **Orcenio** ,
> 
> I am the Former President of Nigeria, and I am Seeking your Esteemed Assistance in transfering 22 million Pounds Sterling to a Bank in your Country … .

Dear Orcenio,

You were recently contacted by husband, the former President of Nigeria about the transfer of 22 mln GBP. You may have also seen reports of his demise in the media, which is being kept secret by members of the government while they try to uncover the location of the money. I assure you that I am still in control of the funds, and with your cooperation we can transfer these to a safe location, and you can earn the $2m fee that you had agreed to…

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**Author:** ![Giles](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/giles/32/60_2.png) [@Giles](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Giles)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2010, 4:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776/6 "2010-01-13T16:29:52Z")

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Dear Orcenio

I understand that one of my wives is trying to swindle you out of some money. Rest Assured that she is not the Favourite Wife of mine, and that it is another (my Senior Wife) who has the password to my bank accounts. …

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**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2010, 4:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776/7 "2010-01-13T16:48:41Z")

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This just in…

Umaru Musa Yar’Adua is still valiantly holding on in his struggle to remain dead. More after this…

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**Author:** ![orcenio](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/orcenio/32/1036_2.png) [@orcenio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/orcenio)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2010, 6:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776/8 "2010-01-13T18:52:06Z")

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It seems that the [vice president can rule](http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/8456688.stm) while the president is off dying in Saudi Arabia

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**Author:** ![orcenio](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/orcenio/32/1036_2.png) [@orcenio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/orcenio)\
**Post date:** [January 22, 2010, 8:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776/9 "2010-01-22T20:03:50Z")

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The previous Nigerian president ([Olusegun Obasanjo](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Olusegun_Obasanjo)) [suggests that](http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/8474189.stm) Yar’Adua [should resign](http://234next.com/csp/cms/sites/Next/Home/5515720-146/resign_now_obasanjo_tells_yar_adua.csp). And now… [

> [@](#):
>
> The Nigerian cabinet has been ordered by the federal court to decide within 14 days if ill President Umaru Yar’Adua is fit to lead the country.

]([BBC News - Nigeria cabinet told to rule on sick President Yar'Adua](http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/8474669.stm))

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**Author:** ![Chief\_Pedant](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/a6a055/32.png) [@Chief\_Pedant](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chief_Pedant)\
**Post date:** [January 23, 2010, 2:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776/10 "2010-01-23T14:14:08Z")

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They will continue to be the world’s happiest people [BBC NEWS | Africa | Nigeria tops happiness survey](http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/3157570.stm) and probably continue to have an inordinate amount of bodies stuffed in wells [BBC News - Nigeria religious riot bodies found in village wells](http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/8476534.stm)

PM me your bank info so I can help you make money off this information.

In summary: Same old same old.

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**Author:** ![Chief\_Pedant](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/a6a055/32.png) [@Chief\_Pedant](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chief_Pedant)\
**Post date:** [January 23, 2010, 2:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776/11 "2010-01-23T14:22:15Z")

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President Yar’Adua probably has something worse than ordinary pericarditis since he is supposedly worsening and has been hospitalized for so long. I bet he checks out of the hospital in a permanently horizontal mode. But good luck with Goodluck changing anything for Nigeria, if that’s your question.

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**Author:** ![orcenio](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/orcenio/32/1036_2.png) [@orcenio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/orcenio)\
**Post date:** [February 10, 2010, 2:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776/12 "2010-02-10T14:01:30Z")

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[Sick Nigeria President Yar’Adua ‘to hand over power’](http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/8501301.stm)

[New acting president for Nigeria](http://english.aljazeera.net/news/africa/2010/02/2010291543446645.html)

[Nigeria: Goodluck Jonathan becomes acting president](http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/8507289.stm)

I knew Yar’Adua couldn’t keep the naysaying rivals at bay forever. I wonder how is this going to play out in the Muslim north? I hope Jonathan’s reign is responsible, competent, and short lasting… for Nigeria’s sake.

However I tend to have faith in Nigeria, the federal government seems to always pride itself in being a stabilizing force (even if it is still badly corrupted).

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![orcenio](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/orcenio/32/1036_2.png) [@orcenio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/orcenio)\
**Post date:** [May 6, 2010, 12:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-the-president-of-nigeria/524776/13 "2010-05-06T00:31:16Z")

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[So, all the rumours can be put to rest…](http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8663824.stm)
