# President Biden Dropping Out of Race

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/president-biden-dropping-out-of-race/1004540>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** kamala-harris\
**Created:** [July 21, 2024, 6:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/president-biden-dropping-out-of-race/1004540 "2024-07-21T18:05:28Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 549

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [August 2, 2024, 6:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/president-biden-dropping-out-of-race/1004540/549 "2024-08-02T18:37:08Z")

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> [@hajario](#):
>
> > [@hajario](#):
> >
> > Nate Silver just released his first model with Harris.
> > 
> > He gives Harris a 38% chance of winning the Electoral College and a 53% chance of winning the popular vote.
> > 
> > Biden was at a 27% chance in the final model before dropping out.
> 
> He posted this on X so I can’t link but after a lot more polls came out, Harris is now at 42.5% on Nate’s model.

Up to 47% today even accounting for this morning’s bad economic news which is part of his model.

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