# President Joe Biden and the runup to the 2024 election **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 15, 2021, 2:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/president-joe-biden-and-the-runup-to-the-2024-election/954384 "2021-11-15T14:54:57Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 1\ **Showing post:** 904
**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\ **Post date:** [March 2, 2024, 3:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/president-joe-biden-and-the-runup-to-the-2024-election/954384/904 "2024-03-02T15:07:06Z")
That poll shows that 97% of 2020 Trump voters are sticking with him – this doesn’t at all comport with the primary results so far, in which 30-50% of Republican primary voters are rejecting Trump (and many/most of those say they won’t vote for him in the general). General election polling this early still doesn’t mean anything, statistically speaking – no correlation with the eventual result – but considering the primary results, I stand by my earlier hypothesis that there’s something profoundly wrong with polling right now: > [@Polling is broken, right? Or is it the news? Or all of the US?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/polling-is-broken-right-or-is-it-the-news-or-all-of-the-us/993779/90): > > Through the year, Democrats have been winning special elections by an average of 11 points over what the typical partisanship index for that district/state would indicate: I have a theory on why this is, and it also explains why Biden seems to be underperforming among young people in recent polls: There’s a segment of very tech savvy, very internet savvy young voters who are overwhelmingly progressive but are skilled enough (and cynical enough) to deliberately avoid polling. Let’s call them… It’s just a hypothesis, but we’ll see. I’m not particularly worried by these way-too-early polls. --- _[View the full topic](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/president-joe-biden-and-the-runup-to-the-2024-election/954384)._