# Projecting the Electoral College for 2024 **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [July 29, 2013, 5:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/projecting-the-electoral-college-for-2024/664787 "2013-07-29T05:12:18Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 11\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![etv78](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/d78d45/32.png) [@etv78](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/etv78)\ **Post date:** [July 29, 2013, 5:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/projecting-the-electoral-college-for-2024/664787/1 "2013-07-29T05:12:18Z")
I realize we’re 12 years out, but humor me. What states are projected to 1)Move over 3 EV 2)Fall to 3 EV 3)Move over 10 EV 4)Fall under 10 EV ---
**Author:** ![IceQube](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/dfb087/32.png) [@IceQube](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/IceQube)\ **Post date:** [July 29, 2013, 6:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/projecting-the-electoral-college-for-2024/664787/2 "2013-07-29T06:21:36Z")
Florida. Rapidly changing demographics. Texas. Similarly changing demographics. ---
**Author:** ![etv78](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/d78d45/32.png) [@etv78](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/etv78)\ **Post date:** [July 29, 2013, 6:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/projecting-the-electoral-college-for-2024/664787/3 "2013-07-29T06:37:25Z")
> [@IceQube](#): > > Florida. Rapidly changing demographics. > > Texas. Similarly changing demographics. Their populations aren’t going to fall to the point where they only have 9 EV. ---
**Author:** ![Lord\_Feldon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lord_feldon/32/341_2.png) [@Lord\_Feldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lord_Feldon)\ **Post date:** [July 29, 2013, 6:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/projecting-the-electoral-college-for-2024/664787/4 "2013-07-29T06:48:57Z")
[This projection](http://isites.harvard.edu/fs/docs/icb.topic741392.files/ElectoralCollege.pdf) (PDF, page 7) says Rhode Island could fall to 3. ---
**Author:** ![etv78](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/d78d45/32.png) [@etv78](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/etv78)\ **Post date:** [July 29, 2013, 10:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/projecting-the-electoral-college-for-2024/664787/5 "2013-07-29T22:03:21Z")
Noted that “Strong R” is slated to grow, others tread at best. ---
**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\ **Post date:** [July 29, 2013, 10:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/projecting-the-electoral-college-for-2024/664787/6 "2013-07-29T22:20:56Z")
Montana is currently the highest-population 3-vote state, though I don’t think it’s projected to grow enough to gain a 4th any time soon. One of the other threemies might pass it up. ---
**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\ **Post date:** [July 29, 2013, 10:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/projecting-the-electoral-college-for-2024/664787/7 "2013-07-29T22:44:05Z")
The Electoral College in 2024 is gonna have a winning football season and **destroy** Southeast Direct-Voting State! **Go Electors!** ---
**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\ **Post date:** [July 29, 2013, 11:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/projecting-the-electoral-college-for-2024/664787/8 "2013-07-29T23:27:18Z")
They got no chance against the College of Cardinals or the Kollege of Musical Knowledge, though. ---
**Author:** ![NotDeadYet](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/22d042/32.png) [@NotDeadYet](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/NotDeadYet)\ **Post date:** [July 30, 2013, 3:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/projecting-the-electoral-college-for-2024/664787/9 "2013-07-30T03:37:21Z")
There was a lot of talk after the 2012 election by some red states of splitting their EC votes so that the winner of a congressional district would get that EC vote. That would change the EC in a big way. ---
**Author:** ![jayjay](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jayjay/32/6765_2.png) [@jayjay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jayjay)\ **Post date:** [July 30, 2013, 3:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/projecting-the-electoral-college-for-2024/664787/10 "2013-07-30T03:47:42Z")
> [@NotDeadYet](#): > > There was a lot of talk after the 2012 election by some red states of splitting their EC votes so that the winner of a congressional district would get that EC vote. That would change the EC in a big way. Those were actually in states that consistently vote Democratic for president but currently have Republican majorities in their legislatures and Republican governors. Otherwise known as “the GOP trying to steal the presidency”. ---
**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\ **Post date:** [July 30, 2013, 4:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/projecting-the-electoral-college-for-2024/664787/11 "2013-07-30T04:27:33Z")
> [@ElvisL1ves](#): > > They got no chance against the College of Cardinals or the Kollege of Musical Knowledge, though. But the Skool of Hard Nox might yet give 'em a run.