# Quantify as best you can your odds of Biden winning vs anyone else. Be specific

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quantify-as-best-you-can-your-odds-of-biden-winning-vs-anyone-else-be-specific/1003536>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [June 30, 2024, 6:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quantify-as-best-you-can-your-odds-of-biden-winning-vs-anyone-else-be-specific/1003536 "2024-06-30T18:27:57Z")\
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**Author:** ![Dr.Drake](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/ad7895/32.png) [@Dr.Drake](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr.Drake)\
**Post date:** [June 30, 2024, 6:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quantify-as-best-you-can-your-odds-of-biden-winning-vs-anyone-else-be-specific/1003536/4 "2024-06-30T18:38:44Z")

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Biden v Trump: 45 % if nothing changes drastically between now & November.

Biden v Trump: actually impossible to calculate because the odds of heart attack, stroke, senior moments, and death are actually not too low for men of their age in a given four-month period of high stress and full-time work, not to mention world events.

Anyone else v. Trump is the Democrats unite behind them NOW: 75%

Anyone else v. Trump in any remotely realistic scenario: 45%.

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