# Quebec Election:  Federalist Liberals take lead in polls over separatist Parti Québécois

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [March 22, 2014, 10:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273 "2014-03-22T10:45:24Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [March 22, 2014, 10:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/1 "2014-03-22T10:45:24Z")

</div>

There will be a general election in the province of Quebec on April 7. The Parti Québécois is currently in power, but with a minority government prior to calling the general election.

The PQ had a lead in the polls when they called the election, but the federalist Liberals have been surging in the polls, apparently because the PQ has been emphasising the sovereignty issue, and most Québécois seem to be tired of it.

[Quebec Election: Poll finds Liberals surging over PQ](http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/quebec/2014/03/20/quebec_election_poll_finds_liberals_surging_over_pq_with_first_debate_tonight.html):

> [@](#):
>
> Quebec Liberal Leader Philippe Couillard headed into Thursday night’s election debate with wind in his sails, a surging approval rating and the potential to form a majority government in Quebec, according to a new poll.
> 
> The Forum Research poll for the Toronto Star, which was conducted Wednesday, is in line with a string of surveys this week showing that the federalist Liberals are pulling out ahead of the incumbent Parti Québécois after a rocky campaign launch that was dominated by unpopular talk of a third referendum on Quebec independence.
> 
> Of the 1,650 respondents, 45 per cent said they intended to vote for the provincial Liberals compared to just 32 per cent for Pauline Marois’ PQ.

Those numbers translate into a potential Liberal majority government:

> [@](#):
>
> When the pollster translated the voting intentions into potential seats in the Quebec legislature, it projected the Liberals could win 78 of the province’s 125 ridings when the votes are counted on April 7. The sovereigntist PQ, which had 54 seats when Marois called the election earlier this month, would win only 43 ridings. The poll projects that the CAQ and Québec Solidaire would win just two seats each on election day.

It appears that recruiting Karl Peladeau was a mistake for the PQ, as he put the separatism issue front and centre, instead of letting the PQ concentrate on their record in government.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [March 24, 2014, 6:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/2 "2014-03-24T06:29:59Z")

</div>

The PQ is having trouble giving a straight answer to the simple question, “Would a PQ majority government hold a referendum on sovereignty?”

Liberal leader Philippe Couillard is exploiting it:

> [@](#):
>
> Earlier in the day in Quebec City, Couillard accused the PQ of running a campaign of “organized confusion,” with at least four candidates disagreeing on the question of if and when a sovereignty referendum will be held should they win the upcoming election.
> 
> Following a luncheon speech to the Union of Quebec Municipalities, Couillard gave a rundown of the recent contradictions within the PQ when it comes to the referendum question. During Thursday night’s debate, PQ Leader Pauline Marois couldn’t categorically state there wouldn’t be a referendum. PQ strategist Jean-Francois Lisée said Wednesday he hopes there will be a referendum, but maybe not in the first year of a PQ mandate. PQ candidate Linda Goupil said Friday she wouldn’t have returned to politics had she known there’d be a referendum. And multimillionaire media mogul Pierre Karl Péladeau said he wouldn’t have gone into politics if there wasn’t going to be a referendum.
> 
> “It’s organized confusion to hide their true intentions,” the Quebec Liberal leader told reporters.

[‘We are the traditional democracy of Quebec,’ Couillard says](http://www.montrealgazette.com/business/traditional+democracy+Quebec+Couillard+says/9646978/story.html)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![QuickSilver](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/quicksilver/32/7832_2.png) [@QuickSilver](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/QuickSilver)\
**Post date:** [March 24, 2014, 5:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/3 "2014-03-24T17:32:45Z")

</div>

They ought to hold a vote to change the vehicle plates from:

“Je me souviens”

to,

“Plus ça change…”

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [March 24, 2014, 6:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/4 "2014-03-24T18:58:57Z")

</div>

Pauline Marois warns smaller, more hard-line sovereigntist party about dangers of vote-splitting. That’s usually the sign a party is in trouble in an election.

> **[The Toronto Star - Breaking News, Toronto News, Ontario News, Canada News](https://www.thestar.com/?redirect=true)**
>
> Live news, investigations, politics, sports news and the heartbeat of Toronto, Canada's largest city.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [March 25, 2014, 1:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/5 "2014-03-25T13:20:20Z")

</div>

Another poll suggesting a majority Liberal government:

[Quebec Liberals on track to majority, poll shows](http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/quebec-liberals-on-track-to-majority-poll-shows/article17656139/)

The shift to the Liberals seems to have come from a drop in the support of the Coalition Avenir Québec, which was a third party formed before the last election, campaigning on trying to put the sovereignty issue away and concentrating on economic and general social issues.

In retrospect, the CAQ probably did well last time out of disgust with the corruption issue, which tarred the Liberals, then in power, but it looks like a classic “vote-parking.” Now that the Liberals have been out of power for a couple of years, and the sovereignty issue has come up again, voters are leaving the CAQ and heading solely to the Liberals.

> [@](#):
>
> The poll’s adjusted results:
> 
> Liberals: 40 per cent  
> PQ: 33 per cent  
> Coalition Avenir Québec: 15 per cent  
> Quebec Solidaire: 9 per cent
> 
> The level of support for the PQ has dropped marginally compared to previous polls, while the Liberals have grown along with the drop in CAQ support.

there is a real disconnect on the issue of a possible referendum:

> [@](#):
>
> The threat of another referendum on sovereignty has emerged as the key ballot question. When asked if they believed that a PQ government would hold another referendum on sovereignty, 77 per cent of those who said they would vote Liberal said yes, as well as 56 per cent of CAQ supporters.
> 
> Yet 61 per cent of PQ supporters said they didn’t believe there would be another referendum if the PQ were elected.
> 
> Close to half of those polled – 48-per cent – said the Liberals will win the election.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [April 5, 2014, 12:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/6 "2014-04-05T12:36:21Z")

</div>

The PQ support continues to fall. Significantly, not only are they behind the Liberals in the polls, the Liberals are polling neck and neck with the PQ amongst francophone voters. That is unusual; the PQ normally has a consistent lead over the Liberals amongst francophones:

[Quebec election poll puts Liberals at 37% as PQ sees ‘exodus of votes’](http://news.nationalpost.com/2014/04/03/new-quebec-election-poll-shows-exodus-of-votes-from-the-pq-points-to-growing-support-for-liberals/)

> [@](#):
>
> A new poll of voter intentions released Wednesday evening puts Philippe Couillard’s Liberal Party ahead by a growing margin leading up to Monday’s provincial election.
> 
> The Liberals have support from 37% of decided voters compared to 28% for the Parti Québécois, 19% to François Legault’s Coalition Avenir Québec and 13% for Québec solidaire.
> 
> What is significant about the Ipsos-Reid poll is that it gives the Liberals and the PQ equal support among francophones, with 31% each, while the Liberals have 83% of support among anglophones.  
> …  
> “There was an exodus of votes from the PQ to the three other major parties, but especially to the CAQ and Québec solidaire,” explained Ipsos president Luc Durand. Support for both the CAQ and QS went up 3% since the last Ipsos Reid poll March 19. “There was a lot of bad news for the PQ in the last few days that didn’t help them.”
> 
> “That support for the PQ continues to fall is important,” Durand said. “The francophone vote is now equally divided among Liberals and the PQ — the PQ is on a slippery slope. But a third of voters are saying they could still change their vote. It’s still a very volatile race.”

Pundits are already beginning the post-mortem:

[Michael Den Tandt: Four catastrophic miscalculations in the Pauline Marois’ election campaign](http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2014/04/01/michael-den-tandt-four-catastrophic-miscalculations-in-the-pauline-marois-election-campaign/)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [April 5, 2014, 12:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/7 "2014-04-05T12:39:56Z")

</div>

And, there seems to be a concerted campaign to keep anglophone voters off the voters’ list, leading to a last-minute court application:

[McGill students fight for right to vote](http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/mcgill-students-fight-for-right-to-vote/article17820212/)

In one extreme example, a student who has been nominated to stand in the election for the Green Party has been told he isn’t eligible to vote.

> [@](#):
>
> All five are English speakers from other provinces who say they were unfairly prevented from registering by Quebec elections officials.
> 
> The legal battle comes amid complaints that out-of-province students have faced undue obstacles getting on voters’ lists. The student unions of Montreal’s English-language universities say they have received dozens of complaints and qualified the situation as “voter suppression and intimidation.”
> 
> The five McGill students brought documents such as passports, leases, hydro bills and Quebec medicare-card applications to revisions offices but were turned down and told they didn’t meet residency requirements. The heart of the dispute comes down to the legal notion of “domicile,” which requires voters to have lived in Quebec for at least six months and also prove their intent to make the province their home.
> 
> One of the five students, Brendan Edge, is a Green Party candidate in a Montreal-area riding. As it stands, the 21-year-old has been accepted as an office-seeker but not a voter. The Superior Court judge hearing the case, Robert Mongeon, called Mr. Edge’s situation “a contradiction” that raised a “very serious problem.”

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [April 5, 2014, 12:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/8 "2014-04-05T12:51:14Z")

</div>

And there has been speculation that this election may be a watershed for the sovereigntists. Unlike previous elections, there hasn’t been a major push by the normal agents of federalism, such as the federal parties or the federal government. It’s been fought entirely as a Quebec election, with sovereignty as the issue, whether the PQ likes it or not: and they’ve dropped steadily in the polls the more sovereignty is seen as the issue:

[Quebec election campaign a devastating blow to sovereigntists: Hébert](http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2014/04/04/quebec_election_campaign_a_devastating_blow_to_sovereigntists_hbert.html)

> [@](#):
>
> It is not necessary to wait for the votes to be cast and counted in Monday’s Quebec election to know the score in the longer game of sovereignty versus federalism.
> 
> The campaign has been a washout for sovereigntists. At a minimum it stands to set their referendum agenda back for years. Some PQ insiders are gloomily thinking decades.
> 
> …
> 
> Now, in the final minutes of the third period, a traumatizing defeat is staring Marois in the face. Win or lose next week, the PQ knows that a referendum in the next mandate has become a non-starter.
> 
> If the party loses power on Monday, it will be back in opposition after having spent only 18 months of the past decade in office.
> 
> It may be that the loss of traction of sovereignty is turning the Parti Québécois into little more than the spare wheel of Quebec politics.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![MichaelEmouse](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/michaelemouse/32/101_2.png) [@MichaelEmouse](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MichaelEmouse)\
**Post date:** [April 5, 2014, 12:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/9 "2014-04-05T12:54:08Z")

</div>

PLQ’s lead: It seems that in the 2012 elections, the PQ won against the PLQ because the CAQ took votes away from the PLQ, right?

I’m getting the impression that the CAQ is losing votes which are going back to the PLQ.  
I’m guessing the PQ got scared by QS, sought to have an exciting program but left a lot of people uneasy with secession and the proposed charter.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [April 5, 2014, 12:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/10 "2014-04-05T12:55:28Z")

</div>

[Parti Québécois’s referendum woes go deeper than Pierre Karl Péladeau](http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/quebec-votes-2014/parti-qu%C3%A9b%C3%A9cois-s-referendum-woes-go-deeper-than-pierre-karl-p%C3%A9ladeau-1.2590701)

> [@](#):
>
> The fear of even a possible referendum has become an obvious hindrance to the PQ’s fortunes.
> 
> So last Friday, one of the party’s most recognizable faces, former journalist Jean-François Lisée, said he is “struck” by the reaction of Quebecers, and says he has “rarely been so pessimistic” about the possibility of holding a referendum if the PQ is re-elected.
> 
> Jean-François Lisée admitted Quebecers taste for a referendum isn’t there right now. (Radio-Canada)
> 
> “We can clearly see that [Quebecers] are not ready, and honestly, as you know, I have always been optimistic about sovereignty, and have rarely felt as pessimistic as I do right now,” Lisée told reporters in French.
> 
> Even Péladeau himself has since stated his primary goal is the “economic independence” of Quebec. The rest can wait until a later date.
> 
> In other words, without Marois having to say it herself, Lisée and Péladeau, hoping to ease voter anxiety, are strongly implying there won’t be a referendum if the PQ forms a majority government.
> 
> And that may reveal the true weakness that led to the PQ’s seemingly quick and easy slip in popularity.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [April 5, 2014, 1:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/11 "2014-04-05T13:04:21Z")

</div>

> [@MichaelEmouse](#):
>
> PLQ’s lead: It seems that in the 2012 elections, the PQ won against the PLQ because the CAQ took votes away from the PLQ, right?
> 
> I’m getting the impression that the CAQ is losing votes which are going back to the PLQ.

I think that’s right - although the Coalition did get a bump in the polls after the last debate, which their leader seems to be have won.

> [@](#):
>
> I’m guessing the PQ got scared by QS, sought to have an exciting program but left a lot of people uneasy with secession and the proposed charter.

My impression is that Marois has fractured the coalition between pur laine sovereigntists and the leftist sovereigntists, both by the Charter of Values, and by Peladeau. How can a party that puts forward Peladeau as a star candidate simultaneously claim to be left-wing?

And, the values Charter seems to be turning off those sovereigntists who put a lot of emphasis on respecting individual equality, even if it plays well among the pur laine types.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![MichaelEmouse](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/michaelemouse/32/101_2.png) [@MichaelEmouse](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MichaelEmouse)\
**Post date:** [April 5, 2014, 1:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/12 "2014-04-05T13:25:16Z")

</div>

Never go full pure laine.  
Kinda weird what the PQ’s been doing. Aligning with the students and then having them turn on the PQ, Peladeau, Charter of Values (and saying that ain’t no Supreme Court gonna tell 'em what to do).

Perhaps they thought that the Charter, Lisée (a fork-tongued columnist) and Peladeau were going to be the charismatic stars that would rally people around the PQ? They forgot that while flash attracts attention, it doesn’t last long.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [April 5, 2014, 1:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/13 "2014-04-05T13:49:14Z")

</div>

Especially when Marois followed up with those musings:

“Of course we’ll still use the Canadian dollar, and probably a seat on the Bank of Canada.”

“Naturally, we’ll still have our Canadian passports.”

“No, there won’t be any border controls.”

One of the worst things a politician can do is look stupid. And to keep the conversation focused on sovereignty for a week was a bad mis-step as well.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [April 5, 2014, 1:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/14 "2014-04-05T13:53:22Z")

</div>

Saying that she’ll use the notwithstanding clause is pretty much an admission that her “values charter” infringes the “values” of freedom of religion and freedom of expression.

[PQ’s Marois vows to use notwithstanding clause to save values charter: Federal Conservatives have vowed to launch court challenge if Quebec ban on religious symbols becomes law.](http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2014/03/31/parti_qubcois_leader_pauline_marois_vows_to_use_notwithstanding_clause_to_save_values_charter.html)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![orcenio](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/orcenio/32/1036_2.png) [@orcenio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/orcenio)\
**Post date:** [April 5, 2014, 2:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/15 "2014-04-05T14:55:17Z")

</div>

I’ll wait until the votes are counted, but I remember the conversations that happened after the last PQ collapse. Sovereignists were searching for reasons on how Jean Charest’s Liberals could win despite the public being so annoyed by JC. Self reflecting conversations focused on Quebec’s possible homophobia toward Boisclair, however there was a small lingering doubt that maybe the Quebec people are starting to fear the PQ and that dreaded R-word.

Gone are the constitutional crisis days of the 80’s and 90’s that fueled sovereignist resentment above economic practicality. Pauline Marois has been slyly constructing controversy against religious minorities as a method of keeping cultural issues (PQ’s _raison d’etre_) at the forefront. This serves to goad people into voting PQ as a romanticized bulwark for tradition (as well as serving up easy “red meat” issues to party faithfuls). However, if this election goes the way the polls are saying the separatism window is truly closing.

Here’s hoping that the election after this will be fought mainly on real “bread and butter” issues that the Quebec people face and not on the possibility/fear of a referendum.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![keeganst94](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/a6a055/32.png) [@keeganst94](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/keeganst94)\
**Post date:** [April 6, 2014, 1:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/16 "2014-04-06T13:05:31Z")

</div>

Pure laine?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Raygun99](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/6f9a4e/32.png) [@Raygun99](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Raygun99)\
**Post date:** [April 6, 2014, 1:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/17 "2014-04-06T13:55:18Z")

</div>

Literally “pure wool” but meant to indicate “Dyed in the wool” Quebeckers, in the No True Scotsman fashion.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [April 6, 2014, 2:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/18 "2014-04-06T14:28:45Z")

</div>

also with the undertone of ethic Québécois, of traditional French heritage.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [April 7, 2014, 5:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/19 "2014-04-07T05:02:57Z")

</div>

Latest poll has the Liberals at 44%, and the PQ and the Coalition essentially tied at ~ 23% each. If that holds tomorrow, it could mean the Coalition has a shot at becoming the Official Opposition and the PQ in third place. Will depend on the voter distribution and the strength of each party’s “get out the vote” apparatus.

> **[CJAD 800 Montreal | Montreal's News Talk Radio Station](https://www.iheartradio.ca/cjad)**
>
> Breaking news in Montreal, live radio, weather, traffic, interviews, podcasts and local events.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![MichaelEmouse](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/michaelemouse/32/101_2.png) [@MichaelEmouse](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MichaelEmouse)\
**Post date:** [April 7, 2014, 9:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273/20 "2014-04-07T09:43:39Z")

</div>

It seems that Quebec politics are more the PLQ’s to lose than anything. The PLQ had been there for a while and even after a scandal, the PQ only got a minority government which it seems set to lose half a term later.

If I were in the PQ, I’d really wonder what I have to do to win. Boisvert’s preppiness didn’t work. Identity stuff didn’t work. Secession talk didn’t work.

Economic populism? With the popularity of Action Démocratique then and the CAQ now, it doesn’t seem fertile.

The landscape would chaneg very much if it became a game between the PLQ and the CAQ.

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/quebec-election-federalist-liberals-take-lead-in-polls-over-separatist-parti-quebecois/684273.md?page=2)
