# Red or Blue?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653>\
**Category:** In My Humble Opinion\
**Created:** [April 29, 2026, 7:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653 "2026-04-29T19:57:08Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![WalterBishop](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/aeb1de/32.png) [@WalterBishop](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/WalterBishop)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 7:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/1 "2026-04-29T19:57:08Z")

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In 24 hours, every single person on Earth will be transported to individual soundproof rooms, each containing a red button and a blue button.

If 50% or more people press the blue button, everyone lives.

If 50% or more people press the red button, only those who pressed the red button will live.

Everyone must participate, even toddlers and the mentally handicapped. Not choosing isn’t an option. If you refuse to choose you’ll simply be brutally tortured until you do. Nobody has a chance to confer with anyone before making their choice. Every choice is individual. You won’t know what anyone else chooses.

Do you choose red or blue?

_Poll ([view on site](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/1))_

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**Author:** ![Kron](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kron/32/12444_2.png) [@Kron](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kron)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 8:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/2 "2026-04-29T20:03:31Z")

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> [@Red button or blue button dilemma](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-button-or-blue-button-dilemma/1024041):
>
> A content creator I listen to a lot popped up in my feed yesterday confused by the repeated outcome of a particular experiment. “The situation is this: You are presented with two buttons, one red, the other blue. Everyone in the country is expected to push a button. If a majority select the blue button, everybody lives. If a majority push the red button, they live, but anyone who pushed the blue button dies.” He thought it was a no-brainer, blue right? But apparently several polls show a bias t…

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**Author:** ![WalterBishop](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/aeb1de/32.png) [@WalterBishop](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/WalterBishop)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 8:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/3 "2026-04-29T20:06:30Z")

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Ah, thanks. A day late and a dollar short. Mods you can close this.

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**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 8:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/4 "2026-04-29T20:54:07Z")

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The way to communicate with the mods is to report your OP.

Mods don’t generally read every post in every thread. They do however get notified immediately and react quickly to post reports.

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**Author:** ![Pardel-Lux](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pardel-lux/32/20182_2.png) [@Pardel-Lux](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pardel-Lux)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 9:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/5 "2026-04-29T21:00:18Z")

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The rational thing to do is to hope that everybody presses red. Except the suicidal. So be it.

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**Author:** ![steronz](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/steronz/32/11765_2.png) [@steronz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/steronz)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 10:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/6 "2026-04-29T22:01:11Z")

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Ugh, you’re right. Now I hate this. It’s golden balls all over again.

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**Author:** ![Pardel-Lux](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pardel-lux/32/20182_2.png) [@Pardel-Lux](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pardel-Lux)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 10:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/7 "2026-04-29T22:14:40Z")

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Why do you hate it? Everybody presses red, nothing changes. We get on with our lives as if nothing ever happened. In fact: it didn’t. Carry on.  
Obviously I don’t understand what golden balls means

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**Author:** ![griffin1977](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/977dab/32.png) [@griffin1977](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/griffin1977)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 10:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/8 "2026-04-29T22:17:06Z")

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> [@steronz](#):
>
> golden balls

I don’t understand what David Beckham has got to do with it? 😉

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**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 10:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/9 "2026-04-29T22:18:19Z")

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The even more rational thing to do is to hope that most people press blue.

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**Author:** ![Pardel-Lux](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pardel-lux/32/20182_2.png) [@Pardel-Lux](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pardel-Lux)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 10:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/10 "2026-04-29T22:29:45Z")

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Assuming the OP has the power to potentially kill 49.9999…% of the world’s population by setting up this game, I don’t want to play. But “not choosing is not an option”. OK, then I fight the hypothetical by finding a way to not play his game so that nobody loses. My solution is that everybody, with no exception (except the suicidal) press red.  
It feels rational and neat to me.  
ETA: This is an answer to **Chronos** just above.

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**Author:** ![steronz](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/steronz/32/11765_2.png) [@steronz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/steronz)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 10:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/11 "2026-04-29T22:30:46Z")

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Well the obvious downside is “anyone who doesn’t pick red dies.” And picking blue is the pro-social, altruistic choice. So you’ve got to convince 100% of the players to choose the anti-social option or else _someone_ is going to die. And I don’t want that.

* * *

Golden balls was a British game show where two players faced off with two golden balls in front of them. One ball represented “split”, and the other “steal.” If both players picked “split,” they’d walk away with half the money each – the pro-social option. If exactly one player chose “steal”, the anti-social option, _they’d_ walk away with all of the money. (2 steals = everyone loses).

The game, as the producers intended it and how it always (bar once) played out, was that both players would try to convince the other that they were picking split, even if they were lying. However, in [this one case](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S0qjK3TWZE8), one player stated immediately and firmly that he was going to pick steal. The other player could then choose split and he promised he’d share half the money after the show, an act of faith in someone who was deliberately and shockingly choosing the anti-social option.

You can watch the clip I linked above, but the [Radiolab episode](https://radiolab.org/podcast/golden-rule-2304) that made the incident known to people outside the UK is better. I won’t spoil how it played out because it’s fascinating.

Anyway, you’d think that if we could just convince 51% of the players to push blue, nobody dies, of course that’s the best option. But it’s not the _selfish_ option. If I pick red, I’m guaranteed to live, but there’s a non-zero chance that someone will die.

However, like in golden balls, if I (and 51% of players) loudly proclaim that we’re picking red, that forces everyone’s hand. They have to go along with our anti-social option. Thus, we force everyone to be anti-social in order to actually be pro-social.

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**Author:** ![Pardel-Lux](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pardel-lux/32/20182_2.png) [@Pardel-Lux](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pardel-Lux)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 10:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/12 "2026-04-29T22:33:42Z")

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> [@steronz](#):
>
> Thus, we force everyone to be anti-social in order to actually be pro-social.

Social? Anti-social? Pro-social? You are making this a moral choice, I am making it a rational-utilitarian choice. My solution works.

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**Author:** ![steronz](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/steronz/32/11765_2.png) [@steronz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/steronz)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 10:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/13 "2026-04-29T22:47:11Z")

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It works for those who live… not so much the ones who don’t.

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**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 10:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/14 "2026-04-29T22:47:43Z")

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> [@Pardel-Lux](#):
>
> OK, then I fight the hypothetical by finding a way to not play his game so that nobody loses. My solution is that everybody, with no exception (except the suicidal) press red.

Except that’s a way to play the game so that a lot of people lose. The actual no-lose solution is everybody pressing blue. I don’t see why a lots-of-people-lose solution is preferable to a nobody-loses solution.

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**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 10:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/15 "2026-04-29T22:52:45Z")

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The other thread cited in post #2 hashed this out for ~350 posts not long ago.

It’s a manufactured dilemma designed to prove that morally-vacant selfishness is the best course of action for any complicated problem.

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**Author:** ![Pardel-Lux](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pardel-lux/32/20182_2.png) [@Pardel-Lux](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pardel-Lux)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 10:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/16 "2026-04-29T22:54:12Z")

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And now I have watched your links and I agree with the one that announces he is going to “steal”. He is **convincing** the other that he has to split, so they share the spoils afterwards. That was highly rational, so rational, that he could and did choose split and did not have to share afterwards, because the game masters would do that for them. But he made sure the other chose right: split. Of which he could not be sure otherwise. He was not appealing to morals, he convinced him to do the right thing for both. That is what I am claiming here too: choose red. All of you. Transcend the game.

> [@Chronos](#):
>
> I don’t see why a lots-of-people-lose solution is preferable to a nobody-loses solution.

Nobody has to lose if they all choose red. You are bending to the game setter. I claim you can beat the game setter. We all can. The game setter is the immoral one here, not the ones who chose red according to his rules. The rules are wrong. Immoral. He has to be defeated. And he is if we all choose red.

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**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 11:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/17 "2026-04-29T23:13:00Z")

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If everyone chooses the same thing, nobody dies, no matter what we choose. But the red option requires perfection. The blue option does not. And perfection is impossible.

> [@Pardel-Lux](#):
>
> The rules are wrong. Immoral. He has to be defeated. And he is if we all choose red.

Huh? How does that defeat him? It seems to me that the only reason for him to set up the situation is because he wants red to win.

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**Author:** ![griffin1977](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/977dab/32.png) [@griffin1977](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/griffin1977)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 11:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/18 "2026-04-29T23:24:22Z")

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> [@WalterBishop](#):
>
> If you refuse to choose you’ll simply be brutally tortured until you do.

This formulation makes less sense as plenty of people will be unable to choose no matter how much you torture them.

A better way to deal with non choosers is to simply treat them as blue button pressers but don’t include them in the total. So you can choose to not take part but it won’t help anyone, yourself included.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Pardel-Lux](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pardel-lux/32/20182_2.png) [@Pardel-Lux](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pardel-Lux)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 11:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/19 "2026-04-29T23:26:21Z")

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> [@Chronos](#):
>
> Huh? How does that defeat him?

Because we turn his immorality agaist him. He is immoral, he says so himself:

> [@WalterBishop](#):
>
> Not choosing isn’t an option. If you refuse to choose you’ll simply be brutally tortured until you do.

He wants people to die and is willing to torture. If we all choose red he does not get what he wants. And the people who would chose red for the wrong reasons are on board against their will.  
If the “good” people chose blue, as it seems “moral”, the “bad” ones can still win. If the “good” people choose red, the “bad” people have no option to act “bad”: acting “bad” leads to the “good” option.

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**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\
**Post date:** [April 29, 2026, 11:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653/20 "2026-04-29T23:28:39Z")

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But again, your plan only works if you can convince everyone. Which you can’t. For starters, half of all babies and half of all colorblind people will choose blue. Your plan guarantees hundreds of millions of deaths.

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/red-or-blue/1029653.md?page=2)
