# Regarding Iran War Prediction thread **URL:** \ **Category:** About This Message Board\ **Created:** [May 11, 2026, 2:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/regarding-iran-war-prediction-thread/1029977 "2026-05-11T02:13:33Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 1\ **Showing post:** 2
**Author:** ![ParallelLines](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/parallellines/32/3575_2.png) [@ParallelLines](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ParallelLines)\ **Post date:** [May 11, 2026, 2:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/regarding-iran-war-prediction-thread/1029977/2 "2026-05-11T02:32:59Z")
So, please note that I didn’t say it was a hijack (see the word sidetrack above) and I didn’t use mod color. I saw the _possibility_ coming, and so strove to specifically address your points while explicitly tying it back to how it applied to the Iran War (see the rest of the cited post). Perhaps I was _wrong_ in trying to incorporate my ‘nudge’ into an otherwise all poster-hat-on post. And I’m NOT denying your position that oil prices are absolutely a weapon that Iran is using to manipulate the outcomes and consequences of the war. But talking about it _without_ without talking how it affects your predictions or forecasts is drifting away from your own OP: > [@Predictions and forecasts about the ongoing Iran War](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-and-forecasts-about-the-ongoing-iran-war/1029103/1): > > Pros make forecasts, which are probabilistic. Scenario evaluation is also topical, as is the gaming out of events. Which was what I was trying to do in the rest of the post you cited. Again, I will fully accept the criticism that I mixed “business” and pleasure/posting in an unfair way. I was trying to keep it as informal as possible because I didn’t think it had in anyway risen to the level of a hijack. --- _[View the full topic](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/regarding-iran-war-prediction-thread/1029977)._